JB Fins

Have been thinking and doing some prep since Wednesday, have a small generator that can run some things but not an electric heater. Have a wood fireplace so stocked there. Had an indoor propane heater on order for delivery today, but got notice yesterday, out of stock and order cancelled. Think I might be out of luck trying to find a Mr. Buddy portable propane heater around town.

That's pretty reserved for DT and looks in line. I hate his start time though.

Wakefield in the Freezing Rain camp. Yikes

As many times as we have seen this, RVA in the bullseye only to end up on the southern end or shutout, you think, or one would think, the models could be adjusted or a study should be done.

Looks like the Nicholson YES reaction is having issues, you will just have to imagine. Keep the good ju-ju coming Conway.

Yeah, still a little surprised at the model differences, NWS and TV mets, certainly using a blend because if they went all Euro, totals would be lower and they would be sounding the alarms louder. Will we see capitulation from EURO or all the others toward EURO, is lock in today's runs or tomorrow's? Also, GFS has the hurricane hunter data in it, as well as EURO, but heard some red taggers saying they should have spent more time on getting data on the high pressure in Canada.

OTBS, if RVA gets that 7” snowfall, breaks the drought of 6” plus and should put us over climo with still chances and time for more. I did not have that on my bingo card for a forecasted Nina winter.

Yeah, I was living on Gaskins Road for 1994 ice storm. Treacherous event but short in duration. My car skidded home that night and I could not make it up the hill next day to mar my shift and Ukrop’s Fresh Express. It melted pretty quick. So not like this one is projected. 1999 Super Bowl storm was more damaging and impactful, hope we don’t do that type of event.

Yeah, TV Mets seem to be leaning that way as well. Just based on history, seems to make sense.

Yeah, have to remind myself to take a step back as well. We had signs and feelings that this would be like 2003 and really looking that way. It’s still winter weather and will hope against hope that all in this sub forum don’t get any freezing rain.

Thanks for dropping in Yoda and posting those, per usual. Always appreciate those who remember mid-Atlantic extends beyond DC.

I just ordered a few non-electric portable heaters, so, expect this to trend back to more snow than ice, just doing my part.

Yeah, I hope he is right but everything we have seen in the main thread, it would look like this map was made on Monday.

Well, we still have a couple of days, praying for a better solution, including a shutout.

I would rather have nothing and let the DC crew have their snow. I love winter weather but not at this potential cost.

That amount of QPF and showing only 3-5" of snow has me worried about power and trees, temps in the 20's and all that precip has to fall as something and Dr. No is saying, it's not snow.

Yeah, I have no scientific, or otherwise, evidence to support this, other than memory for tracking this stuff since days back on Eastern, but have a feeling that the northern shift occurring early, works in our favor. Again, always know that RVA in the bullseye should be scrutinized heavily unless it is 48 hours out. But, typically we are in the bullseye for longer before the inevitable north shift occurs closer to the onset. This time the northern shift feels early, so gut tells me, expect some shift south, not RVA jack, but enough to push that ice threat down south some more. Total weenie post, so I did it for ya.

Yes, looks like the bleeding may have stopped. Just a tick south. Fingers crossed for a trend or at least locking in. Just don’t want a PDII redux as I have those vibes, we only ended up with 3-5”’of concrete.

Yeah ICON still good for us, as long as the bleeding has stopped on the Euro, will feel pretty good and maybe get some sleep. It’s tough in our little thread, and we only come out when there is a real threat, but between CHO, EZF, ROA, RIC, LYH, NOR and HR as a whole, we have a lot of differences, we are big damn state.

Yep, sign me up for that, then some cold so it sticks around, and I won't care what it does the rest of the season, I will have had my fix.

I just wish it was Thursday. I just can't stand the pit in my stomach where RVA, and Short Pump, are in the crosshairs this far out. Shoot, I am 55, I should not be worrying about this stuff, but weenieism knows no age limit. I feel like the TV mets have been burned enough that they are tempering as well, Frieden "snow likely, major possible" same Zach D and Matty D., very careful in their messaging.

Still, can't help but be nervous in they bullseye this far out. However, the setup does not seem to favor the inevitable shift to the north that has made me gun shy.

Those were the days...are we sure this wasn't Mike Brady working for TWC? That perm is solid.

This has to be a sign of the apocalypse.