Grayman

I love this thread. We are all getting out 3 years of frustration. I’m still flake less for 3 years now. I think global warming has changed the climate. Rockingham is now the new Augusta Ga. My only expectations moving forward over the next 5 years is a very rare snowstorm but I really doubt that will happen. Winter is over forever . 

Nobody knows if summer will be dry or wet. No dogging anybody but we can’t get 5 days right you weenies 

53 minutes ago, PackGrad05 said:

I believe the WPC probabilistic guidance is based on computer model output... I could be wrong though.

Yes but they use blends , they have a very board discussion for a wide area 

The whining thread is hot. You guys coming back for severe weather or hurricanes?  If not see y’all next year

18 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

I’m throwing in the towel ladies and gents. I’m sure we’ll see a light glaze of ice in Raleigh from one of these impulses but I don’t see a warning level event IE something worth my time and effort to track happening. Time to live in whining thread 

I would love to see a glaze or a even a flake. I’m not asking for much but yes sir it’s over. Might not even get out cold rain. 40s and cool. Worst advertised cold air in the history. We should have a pool to see who the best whiner is. I’m sure I would get a vote or two

Going out to mow my winter Rye grass. It’s over for my area. Dang I’m frustrated

1 minute ago, griteater said:

Big CAD setup on Euro Mon night into Tues. Ice down to Macon and Orangeburg. Retreats north but upstate stays below freezing full storm 

That’s pretty big Ice storm for most of the board if I’m looking correctly. 

CMC really brings the cold early next week

21 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said:

I’m right there with ya 4 miles south of 85 in Greenville     

Man, that last storm must have been tough for you to watch? 

22 hours ago, wncsnow said:

I tried being positive. It failed. Back to the whining thread for me. 

 

3 winter storm warnings for 4.5 inches of snow total. Fail rate-100%. 

O winter storm warnings and not a single flake for me 65 miles east of Charlotte. 

Just now, Waitingfor88 said:

The live feed from Traveler’s Rest on WYFF... I don’t think I’ve ever seen snow like that in my life. 

Me either man. Usually video does not do it justice but that was some serious heavy snow. Jealous 

Yeah I live in Rockingham . I’m not sure why I even come in to watch 

18 minutes ago, jburns said:

I know they can get irritating but doesn’t that really piss them off?

Heck I am a big weenie myself. What gets me is when no matter what model the one showing snow is the focus. 

27 minutes ago, FatherNature said:

Welcome to the chat, I’ve been expecting you all...

What’s for supper? I’m frying weenies in a pan. 

31 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said:

Except for Rockingham

Lol. It’s the truth. I’m the biggest jinx ever.  I should start a thread and say Mid Atlantic scores and storm will move south. 

Book it. That GFS runs cuts snow off in my back yard and that looks right to me. No way I would give up if I was in N NC or South VA. All I got left is hope for ice and I don’t want that . Good luck , I think some of you will score and I will chase so we all win.

I’ll take it.  Hope I can break my 3 year no snowflake drought. It really does look good. Lol

33 minutes ago, jburns said:

The main problem here is you. Why did you title the thread the way you did?  Snow THREAT?  On Christmas Eve everyone says Santa is coming tonight. Sure enough he shows.  We don’t say there is a Santa Threat. If we did the old SOB wouldn’t show up either.

Now that is funny . Lmao

21 minutes ago, magpiemaniac said:

RAH says my house could get 0.5” Saturday night.  RNK says my land in Stokes County (a half hour away) could get 3” to 5” Saturday night.

This might be the shortest chase distance on record.

It’s honestly nice for me to be on the outside looking in. No model watching just relaxing . Have not seen a flake in 3 years and dint expect to 

Raleigh forecast discussion. Interesting 

A great deal of uncertainty in the long term pattern but there
are indications of colder temperatures and the potential for wintry
precipitation at the end of the period...

Sunday into Monday: a surface low will be exiting the Outer Banks on
Sunday morning as the northern stream upper level trough axis moves
across the southern Appalachians. The main precipitation shield will
be lifting northeast away from central NC through the mid morning
hours with some light lingering drizzle or light rain persisting for
a couple of hours before the upper trough axis clears the area.
Boundary layer temperatures will be near and just above freezing
across the northern Piedmont. As the low shifts east, the above
freezing warm nose around 750mb cools which could result in a brief
rain/snow mix across the northern Piedmont. The potential for this
is offset by drying aloft and decreasing moisture in the ice
nucleation region. At this point, little impact is expected. Cold
advection will counteract increasing amounts of afternoon sunshine
with highs ranging in the mid 40s near the Virginia border to the
lower 50s across the south.

High pressure centered over the northern Plains and south-central
Canada will extend into the Great Lakes and Mid Atlantic on Sunday
night and into the Carolinas on Monday. With clear skies and light
winds, lows Monday morning will range in the mid to upper 20s with
some of the typically colder spots having lows closer to 20. Fair
weather with some mid and high clouds are expected on Monday with
highs moderating a bit into the mid 40s north to lower 50s south.

Forecast confidence goes out the window for the remainder of the
work week as a broad upper trough over much of central and eastern
Canada and the U.S. A wave will likely transit the eastern U.S. on
Tuesday with a general westerly flow across the south. With time,
the trough amplifies across the central U.S., Arctic air spills
south, and the flow becomes increasingly active and southwesterly
across the South and the Carolinas. Indications are that the flow
will become amplified on Thursday into Friday as a storm system
moves across the Southeast. With a piece of the Arctic high setting
up over eastern Canada, there is a potential for some wintry
precipitation although details are impossible to resolve at this

2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

I’m back!!!

Me too. I might be out again. Winter over . 

Does anybody have ice or sleet accumulation map?

Just now, wncsnow said:

Euro is focusing on a 2nd wave Saturday night into Sunday.

Yep. Gfs did sort of same thing. Looks good at 216

6 minutes ago, griteater said:

The Canadian CMC brings a 1064mb high into Montana (that will verify!) and suppresses everything into oblivion...it has a light wintry mix right on the Gulf Coast in Houston / New Orleans / Pensacola, then later across S Georgia

Man, we walk a fine line in the southeast. 

Wow is all I got