Hyphnx

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

It gives Southern VA/Northern NC  2 feet of snow.  I'm pretty sure it's going to be right.

I think it includes Sleet

1 minute ago, nj2va said:

While DC/NVA are certainly not out of it, we need the southern trend to halt today and keep us close.  If RIC can stay the bullseye today with EZF on the northern edge of 3”, I’d feel good for getting that last 24 hour push north to get NVA/DC into the 3”+ totals.  

I’m hosting a bunch of family this weekend in Deep Creek including six nieces and nephews who really want to see snow...even just 2-3” there would be great for them.  

I don't want another 12/9.... 

Just now, Bob Chill said:

2-4 inches of snow gets covered with this. Temps are in the 20s during the ZR along and west of 95

Shit

20 minutes ago, ryanconway63 said:

GFS FV3 is winter storm warning type snow for 50-75% of Virginia for Saturday.  Unfortunately I dont believe in that model much at this time.

Let's go with a 50/50 split with GFS and the FV3. We both win

FV3 is a good hit for Central VA.

5 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Yea, it looks really good for now. 0z had more bigger hits but 12z just has more hits period. Many of the west tracks/mixed solutions are solid on the front end before ptype problems. Some are snow and sig ice. Not a bad run for a week+ away. 

Where is the R/S cutoff?

3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

GEFS is all over the place with the weekend but really hits on the bigger event. Best d10 GEFS weenie run I've ever seen. I have no faith or trust in the GEFS so my excitement level is tempered. 

17 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

I’d have doubled my seasonal snowfall to date by that point so it’s cool 

Pray for a southern shift

1 minute ago, WxUSAF said:

What a weenie run

Until the green moves in

Just now, osfan24 said:

Snowing across the area at 102.

Tad more south and it will be good for everyone. Seems to be a bit of ice mixing on the eastern shore.

3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Winter uncancel.
 

The reply is 10/10.

Just now, C.A.P.E. said:

Has Richmond had snow since the early Dec event? He mad.

We have not. Our time has come!

1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

Eh, I'll take it

1 minute ago, Ji said:

23 minutes ago, LP08 said:

I see lots of hits in the 6-10 day time frame scanning the members.  Like Bob said, not as many misses to the south but very few skunk us in that time frame.

We need misses to south

We want something out of this too, I would like to feel like I'm part of the forum.

Theres that RIC cutoff.

3 minutes ago, Ji said:

5 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

lol- it's HEAVY zr. Haven't seen a panel like this for a long time

Extremely disappointing run

Talk about bad...

4 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

I'm just looking for trends in the new regime were about to enter.  I think this one may trend better for many of us.  

DC and up

Just now, Hyphnx said:

Southern. In Chesterfield. It's always that fine line. We got about 13" on 12/9. I would like one more day to sit at home drinking bourbon without having to worry about going out.

Just now, BristowWx said:

I cant imagine we are all just done on Feb 11th.  Too much runway for winter.  Now if March 11th we are still chasing then stick a fork in it. 

what part of Richmond are you in?  looks like a fairly tight gradient for RA/SN line...which is probably almost always the case down there. 

Lower. In Chesterfield. It's always that fine line. We got about 13" on 12/9. I would like one more day to sit at home drinking bourbon without having to worry about going out.

1 minute ago, BristowWx said:

interesting.  you can see what the 2 wave scenario does on the GFS...rain then hoping the cold rushes in for the second piece.  delayed is denied in my mind although might be better for your location.  fun times ahead but somehow things always get messed as we close in so just conversational right now. 

I'm not getting my hopes up. But I feel as if it's either going to be rain or big totals. I'm hoping we can all go out with a bang.

ABC 8 calling for something, too. 

https://www.wric.com/weather/will-snow-make-a-comeback-in-central-virginia-next-week-/1772728834

7 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

That shafts the Baltimore area again, so it's likely dead on.

I'm going to go with a sharper cutoff from RVA down to Hampton Roads. You know... the typical set up

EURO is hinting at something

6 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

I'm with you. Ironically tho has anyone else noticed over the past few weeks that the FV3 OP has been more consistent than the gefs? Dont have verification stats just noting there have seemed to be fewer flips and flops from run to run. Maybe that model will be good for something after all?

I thought the FV3 did a good job with the 12/9 storm

When RIC and the beach get more snow than the Piedmont... This will never hold up