Hyphnx

GFS and FV3 are seeing something different. Seems like there is Dry Air that is quick to move in.

4 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

GFS looking similar to the ICON so far, even down to the thermals.   We may be in for a primarily rain event as depicted.  Not a forecast.  

h108 is blue for the Northern part of the subforum

Just now, BristowWx said:

Just messing around.  You’ll probably do better than me.  Or maybe we both fail.  Doesn’t matter in the big scheme of life.  

Going to the ABC store either way. I hope you're right and wrong. May the snow fall in your backyard.

8 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

I think no matter what happens we can all agree RIC is not getting snow from this event.  It happens.  I wanted an egg sandwich the other day but we ran out.  I was sad but realized it wasn’t meant to be. I had toast.  

I'm all for it! I rather move forward than to keep getting my hopes up.

1 minute ago, Scraff said:

The Euro caves to nobody. Are you new here?

Not at all 

21 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

We are going to be ok guys. 

As long as everything happens on Monday... Seems to be EURO vs all. Will see if the EURO caves in later.

Just now, H2O said:

S Fx Co fringe screw job for monday.  Imout

Me too

2 minutes ago, Scraff said:

 

Whoops. He forgot Charlottesville—pummeled!

I forgot CHO. Whoops

DT's "blog" is stating that there could be three events.

3/1 - DC, NoVA, Western MD Hit

3/3-3/4 NoVA, DC, All of MD. RIC gets 1"

3/5-3/6 All of the subforum should be happy.

2 minutes ago, Snowchaser said:

No word from DT yet haha

Models are showing CVA out of the game so he will wait

Timing seems to be different on the GFS and the FV3.

GFS @h144 vs FV3 @h132

Just now, Snowchaser said:

Lookin tasty! Especially for those of us near Charlottesville, and DC points south 

So over this damn winter and the R/S line

2 minutes ago, Yeoman said:

Seems off - double check the tarot cards

Even lower now.

4 minutes ago, Yeoman said:

Did Dark Sky update yet? It along with the Euro is a deadly combination

Lower accum for the RIC area on the 4th

As long as it's not on the 6th, we are good. Timing seems to be up in the air from what I've seen.

Darksky...

I feel like the HRDPS has too much of a dry slot in Central VA. Given how much the radar has shown, we weren't expecting the amount of moisture it has provided thus far

1 minute ago, snjókoma said:

If the HRRR is right (I don't think it will be) and DC gets 1" of snow... Closing the night before would be embarrassing. 

There is too much moisture..

00Z HRRR, eliminates the heavy bands

14 minutes ago, WesternFringe said:

I just bought that on my way home from work!  Devil's Backbone, right?

35/22 and snow is only 3 or 4 counties away, knocking on the doorstep!!

Yes!!

Flurries in RIC

Baby ones. Could be lint from the dryer

HRRR coming in hot. Good boost

1 minute ago, poolz1 said:

By 12z runs I hope to be sledding with the kids with a ripe ipa in my hand...computer off

Food Lion has the Hop Pack for 14.99. 

38/20

Just now, Bob Chill said:

34 and ready for my fully stocked winter wx buffet

Just to clear the air and not derail this thread... I took a break for 2 reasons. 1) was burned out and not enjoying myself at all around here and 2) have some important stuff (all good) going on in my personal life. I said I'd be back for obs and here I am. Let's do this man. 

I missed you. See the radar?

Just now, poolz1 said:

Precip aloft is closing in on the radar site.  It's a weenie radar but the atmosphere is moistening up to our SW.  A little early imo.... 

Radar indicated that a lot is happening early and not "forecasted". 12z runs will be interesting