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Everything posted by Scarlet Pimpernel
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Oh, and hello to you @Bob Chill!! Welcome back, always good to hear your input and commentary, please don't let the usual craptastic posting and sniping deter you from stopping by!
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I know this is an older post (catching up in here on all the..."fun"!), but I agree Many knowledgeable people in here have called for a much more favorable setting compared to previous winters (as you indicate, @psuhoffman, @CAPE, @brooklynwx99, etc.). Of course, nobody is calling for a 2009-10 redux (though we'd take it!) or even a single HECS type storm, and nothing is "guaranteed". But it should be far better...maybe a low bar to cross, but still. Hell, last winter I got all of 0.5" snow on Feb. 1 that was gone before noon, and some snow-TV sometime at the end of Feb. Not even a single illustrious PSU-inch for the season!! Other than that and the mini Arctic blast around Christmas there was nothing; in my opinion it's hard to do worse (oh, and don't forget the +5 to +7 temperature departure, too!).
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Ha! Well, Cleveland holds its annual Polar Bear Plunge into Lake Erie during the middle of winter (proceeds do go to charity)!! Bunch of crazy people in bathing suits jumping into freezing water!!
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Happy Thanksgiving, AmWX Mid-Atlantic Family!!! A couple of photos...Japanese maples at the Audubon Nature Center, the color was insane, like an impressionist painting! And, a black and white of the National Cathedral taken from the rooftop deck where I currently live in Bethesda.
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Have a great time and a great Thanksgiving holiday, @mappy!!!
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I see what you did there! Very subtle and @ravensrule-like!!
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Black Friday everyday!!!
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Magic 8 ball says..."Not Bloody Likely!"
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Welcome! I used to "lurk" here too years ago when this was the old Eastern WX Forums (then joined)! Anyhow, you are absolutely right about the bolded part I highlight above. Meteorology and forecasting has to be about the most humbling field (though yeah, there are ironically a share of arrogant meteorologists around!). You can get one tough forecast right and feel good, then turn around and totally mess up another day!
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So you're basically asking if PSU's inches are statistically significant. (Sorry PSU, all in jest, someone was bound to go there eventually!). Oh, and I'm talking about SNOW you perverts!! But in all seriousness, I don't know how much "causation" there is, but there may be something to whether some locations get their first snow earlier vs. later and how that winter season goes area-wide. Then again, I know there are at least some winters that started "late" (back-loaded) and were pretty amazing or at least pretty darned good (2007, 2015 come to mind offhand...you could also argue the 2016 blizzard after record warmth in December). Fact is, around here it's been awhile since we had a decent December snow...I'm not talking HECS, but even a moderate event like 2002 or something like that.
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A butterfly farted somewhere in northwest Canada, releasing a lot of heat...so that system is now more AMPED with less of a chance of PSU getting ONE INCH, and it's only responding to the new BASE STATE!
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Ha! I forgot all about "base state!!" I guess that's the term from last year! Vodka pac puke?? Sounds like what you'd do the morning after too many martinis!!
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It seems most winters, there's some word or phrase that just becomes the "meme" of that year. The first inch thing might just be this year's!!! Remember in 2016, around the time of the blizzard, it was the word "amped"...and I'm sure "-PNA" has appeared many times!
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Shame, shame!
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Hey if it gets @psuhoffman his first inch (of SNOW, you dirty-minded heathens! ) by the first week or so of December, we should root for this!
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Yeah, it's like a bat-signal for @ravensrule!!
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Not so sure...looks like an avocado in Europe/Scandinavia, and maybe a small one around the Aleutians!!
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OK, I know it's a bit "late" here in a November thread, but here's my carved Jack-o'-Lantern from Halloween! @WxWatcher007, I hope the Reaper had a good and festive Holiday!
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So in other words, you look forward to a normal winter of posts in here! That's the one thing guaranteed, no matter how good or bad it is!!! I await the time we can dust off the "Jaws" music...
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This would literally be @Bob Chill's dream "glaciation" scenario!!
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Strange but I don't think I've ever actually seen a Woolly Bear myself. I do remember in northeast OH, Dick Goddard (the local and very good met there for decades...may he rest in peace!) hosted the annual Woolly Bear Festival every fall! It was quite popular and still going on each year I believe. And on another note, how much for Short Pump and that place in PA??? (Someone had to say it...)
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Sunset from yesterday evening...
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