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BooneWX

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Everything posted by BooneWX

  1. BooneWX
    You can toss the UKMET in the improved department too
  2. BooneWX
    Yea and it’s important to stay wary of the main thread. For most, I hate to say it, they live in areas where storms in borderline perfect setups don’t work in their favor. And when they don’t, it’s all pessimism and hate for anyone that does score.
  3. BooneWX
    I need a stiff drink
  4. BooneWX
    ICON much closer to the GFS solution
  5. BooneWX
    Annnnnnnd we’re back to an east coast solution. Gonna be curious to see if we get any level of agreement from the euro.
  6. BooneWX
    And the windshield wiper continues
  7. BooneWX
    Ridge looks flatter than 18z at hr 90 but let’s see how this goes
  8. BooneWX
    Even if it trends towards 2 inches of rain it just feels so dang good to be tracking something - anything.
  9. BooneWX
    I’m chuckling because you’re 100% right - how do you split the difference between a foot of snow and a severe weather outbreak? The models are laughable at this point and the most we should take away is that the ensembles show a favorable pattern.
  10. BooneWX
    For what it’s worth, the gfs and GEFS have been consistent with the signal for days.
  11. BooneWX
    Another angle of that to consider: the GFS and a vast majority of its ensembles have honed in on a similar setup for days and continue to do so. It’s the only one without the major swings you described. Consistency matters.
  12. BooneWX
    I’ll get toasted and roasted in the other thread if I say this, so I’ll say it here: the gfs is on an island but I couldn’t tell you the last time I saw the Euro have a correct solution at day 7 either. Last January’s storm, the gfs was completely on an island.
  13. BooneWX
    It’s a similar look to the GFS at 144
  14. BooneWX
    It won’t be heartbreak if I don’t go ahead and set myself up for disappointment now
  15. BooneWX
    Central VA measuring in feet
  16. BooneWX
    Widespread foot+ Mts, foothills, piedmont
  17. BooneWX
    982 off of Cape Lookout MY GOODNESS
  18. BooneWX
    Y’all make sure you sit down again when you look at the 12z gfs
  19. BooneWX
    Atlanta to Roanoke getting pummeled
  20. BooneWX
    999 off of myrtle beach. Let’s go!
  21. BooneWX
    Weak cad in place, surface low over Georgia at 159
  22. BooneWX
    Oh my.
  23. BooneWX
    We’ll see what the surface shows but this is quite the look
  24. BooneWX
    Significantly further west at 150 than the 6z
  25. BooneWX
    Dig baby dig
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