BlunderStorm

Snow appearing to be mostly wrapped up here.The models really pulled a head-fake at my latitude for this one. The temperatures were mostly cooperative staying at freezing but the moisture simply wasn't there (ironic) and the ground temps made the barrier of entry too high for the lighter stuff to stick. 7 hours of flurries/light snowfall accumulating to a negligible trace. Sun angle may have had a role in it as well. Still I can't say I was expecting more than an inch so tempered expectations won out. On a broader note, what a sorry excuse for "winter". This winter has thrown climo out of the window, this area is overdue but it's good to see some areas south of here get something.The weather pattern has been so hostile for reasons I don't have the energy to fully understand. (ocean temp anomalies and millions of other things in some complex web of cause and effect) And so winter malaise continues.  (sorry for the mini rant) I do plan however to be more active in the following weeks. 

Virga finally breaking getting some dime and penny sized flakes now. Currently 34 degrees and holding.

Radar is looking quite healthy but it's still virga here as well.

2 minutes ago, TellicoWx said:

Something like that would be enough to wake me up from my mild winter malaise. I can dream... 

Currently 39 in Honaker and steadily dropping. 

19 with trace accumulations on the ground mid-day. A very welcome change in my book. 

71 at 11:30 in the heart of winter. Wow!

ICE...

28 in Honaker. Hopefully the upper levels remain below freezing as well.

3 hours ago, Carvers Gap said:

I think someone in one of the upslope areas should create an event thread or at least consider it.  If it winds up being a bust, no problem.  I think the Smokies are going to get sauced.  Looks like Roan Mountain already has a heavy band up.  I talked to someone in the foothill communities and they have rain already(prob will switch over).   I will be shocked if actual valley locations get too much.  That said, we could get a dusting to an inch.  I never do well with upslope.  Northwest facing communities on the Plateau and near the Smokies might do well enough to make a thread necessary. Heck, I will be living vicariously through you all anyway.  Planning on maybe making a run up to Roan Mountain on Tuesday to see if I can get some snow pics.

,Last minute before Midnight I suppose I'll do it!

Temperatures have been dropping steadily over the past two hours from 51 to 44. Glad to be back!

2 hours ago, Carvers Gap said:

Is the weenie reaction emoji new(button you click to like a post)?  Maybe I have just missed it.  That should be fun.  LOL.

Yep, I love it already! 

If only... xD

A little more fantasy snow before all-hallows eve: 

I'm all for another Frankenstorm. Time to reel it in 16 days out! 

Lacking extensive knowledge of the effects of SSTs in different parts of the oceans and how they affect our weather patterns is a part of the reason you see little traffic in this thread. I can easily give observations, dish out banter and fantasy storms, and even give a rudimentary opinion as to what to expect a few weeks in advance, but beyond that I feel I cannot create a coherent post of value in this thread so I sit in the background instead attempting to learn. In other words I am aware of my own ignorance about the topic so I restrain myself and when I do make a post outside of banter or observations I try my best. 

1 hour ago, Carvers Gap said:

This continues, year after year, to be an underrated thread.  Some really great info in here.  Strong work!

http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/

I don't believe this site has been shared on this thread. It's especially useful for it's snow&ice cover map as an alternative to https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/snow-and-ice/snow-cover/  as well as having many other uses such as satellite imagery, NWS radar sites, and surface observations. You can thank Jax for finding it.

I had just been in Johnson City as the storms hit around dusk when about 30 minutes into one of the storms it began to hail. Luckily (pun intended) the hail was small and no damage was done to any cars or property at least from what I saw. I would say the hail was roughly a centimeter or a little more in diameter and it lasted around 5 minutes. Once the rain died down a little I came outside it looked like it had snowed in the grass. I thought the novelty of seeing significant snow and hail within a few days was pretty amusing truly March at its finest. Unfortunately I did not have a camera on me at the time so I didn't capture anything. It's also worth mentioning I saw some pretty spectacular streaks of lightning too.

22 minutes ago, TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 said:

Well, never doubt the warm nose, ever in SE NC. I hope everyone else gets dumped on good. Calling it a day after watching it rain for the last few hours. Trees are covered in ice here.

Still plenty of action left for Wilmington. At least you guys have a storm to follow it is pretty frustrating here in the Tennessee Valley with plenty of activity in the ohio valley and southeast. So far annual snowfall has thrown climate out of the window. Heaven forbid more than an inch of snow falls here. Still it does put a smile on my face when places like Tallahassee, Valdosta, and Savannah see snow. Even if it means sub-zero temps for me.

On 12/9/2017 at 11:48 AM, 3monkeymom said:

I live about 45-50 miles NNW of New Orleans, and this was probably #1 on my personal list of all-time snowstorms. 12/11/08 had higher accumulations, so in terms of historical events that one was "better". But the duration was shorter in '08 and temps rebounded almost immediately after the snow stopped. Yesterday's event was all snow from approximately 4 AM to 9 PM, with rates varying from moderate to heavy for a good 12 hours of that period. Ground temps were warm, which caused some melting even with temps holding steady at 31F for the duration. We ended up with almost 6" of accumulation even after compaction and some melting. Had rates stayed high, I'm guessing it would have been more like 8-10".

 

If I can ever figure out how to resize my pics, I'll post a few photos.

 

 

Would this work? http://compressimage.toolur.com/

13 minutes ago, TellicoWx said:

I can loan you guys some of the cold air in exchange for some moisture. Hard watching moisture come up out of the  gulf and be right on the edge here along the mountains in east TN lol.

You and I both Tellico! I have wanted to punt this system for the past 3 days but I'm always on the edge of being in this...Cmon, NW trend!

23 hours ago, mackerel_sky said:

If I get  an inch of snow or more on the Thursday storm, I will never make another post on ANY weather boards! That's how sure I am of no snow! Y'all need to quit grasping at straws!! Mountains possibly, everyone else S of VA, NO!

I'm holding you up to that. Always that 1% chance.