BlunderStorm

Snow appearing to be mostly wrapped up here.The models really pulled a head-fake at my latitude for this one. The temperatures were mostly cooperative staying at freezing but the moisture simply wasn't there (ironic) and the ground temps made the barrier of entry too high for the lighter stuff to stick. 7 hours of flurries/light snowfall accumulating to a negligible trace. Sun angle may have had a role in it as well. Still I can't say I was expecting more than an inch so tempered expectations won out. On a broader note, what a sorry excuse for "winter". This winter has thrown climo out of the window, this area is overdue but it's good to see some areas south of here get something.The weather pattern has been so hostile for reasons I don't have the energy to fully understand. (ocean temp anomalies and millions of other things in some complex web of cause and effect) And so winter malaise continues.  (sorry for the mini rant) I do plan however to be more active in the following weeks. 

Virga finally breaking getting some dime and penny sized flakes now. Currently 34 degrees and holding.

Radar is looking quite healthy but it's still virga here as well.

2 minutes ago, TellicoWx said:

Something like that would be enough to wake me up from my mild winter malaise. I can dream... 

Currently 39 in Honaker and steadily dropping. 

19 with trace accumulations on the ground mid-day. A very welcome change in my book. 

71 at 11:30 in the heart of winter. Wow!

ICE...

28 in Honaker. Hopefully the upper levels remain below freezing as well.

And as the last band begins to slide out I report 2.3" where I officially measure. Not bad considering I was expecting something in the ballpark of 2".  1.9" fell before midnight and as of now 0.4" after. In the grass depending on where more than 3" sits in some spots! Perhaps just enough to pull off some rough sledding tomorrow! 

After an initial burst snowfall has lightened up quite a bit. Maybe 1/4" on the ground as of now.  At this point I'm steadily sitting at 31. Hoping things pick up SW of me! 

Snow beginning to stick, things have fully transitioned over to moderate snowfall with a current temperature of 33. And echoing Dan, in light of recent events I'd say this warrants a WWA at least for SWVA and the plateau.

About half and half now heading way up the valley. 36 Now. The mountains during a lull in the precip already looked white.

Now 38 in Honaker and steadily falling. The first flakes are beginning to mix in! 

Currently 40 here with a steady rain.  Won't be long now... 

The NAM initialized a lot differently than what appears on radar. I know a dry level is causing plenty of virga but I'd say the NAM is underselling the precip.

11 minutes ago, 1VolGal said:

Snowing pretty hard in Spring Hill/Columbia. 

Welcome! 

The ICON believe it or not has shown signs of improvement Plateau and east albeit still very underwhelming. 2 runs ago it had only portions of the plateau and SWVA barely catching a dusting. I'm wondering if the cold air arrives sooner than MRX is expecting especially with what the NAM did.

Notably an encouraging uptick in totals from both the 3km and 12km NAM across the region. The first wave is certainly less dry.

I know one thing for sure, I don't envy the position of the mets in forecasting this potential snow. A lot is going to depend on how quickly cold air advection reaches the precipitation shield. (If there is much of one) I'd say this is a situation where being north and west may be just as helpful as being at a good elevation. On another note the RGEM fwiw sure is making a lot of fanfare for it's debut depicting this one! (hour 54 and still plenty left to go at the end of it's run)

I'd say for the most part the winter event was a bust but I can't complain.  It was hard to really get a definitive total yesterday due to the melting mid-day and re-accumulation in the evening following. To approximate from what measurements I took in the morning, when I got home, and at midnight roughly speaking it would seem I had half an inch in the morning dwindling to something around 0.2" in the afternoon. Following that by midnight it had once again reached half an inch. So, 0.8"? and maybe an additional tenth of an inch from today. Altogether a little under an inch fell, though had the ground been colder it likely would have accumulated notably more.

Per Carver's suggestion I figured it wouldn't hurt to spark a little thread seeing as how It's looking to be an interesting Monday for communities in the higher elevations. Here's to a wonderful start to the meteorological winter season! As of Midnight I can currently record a trace with temps currently sitting at 37. Now for John's sake let's hope I didn't curse us... 

3 hours ago, Carvers Gap said:

I think someone in one of the upslope areas should create an event thread or at least consider it.  If it winds up being a bust, no problem.  I think the Smokies are going to get sauced.  Looks like Roan Mountain already has a heavy band up.  I talked to someone in the foothill communities and they have rain already(prob will switch over).   I will be shocked if actual valley locations get too much.  That said, we could get a dusting to an inch.  I never do well with upslope.  Northwest facing communities on the Plateau and near the Smokies might do well enough to make a thread necessary. Heck, I will be living vicariously through you all anyway.  Planning on maybe making a run up to Roan Mountain on Tuesday to see if I can get some snow pics.

,Last minute before Midnight I suppose I'll do it!

Temperatures have been dropping steadily over the past two hours from 51 to 44. Glad to be back!

After looking back on the recorded low for today if my weather station is to be believed. (Kinda skeptical) It dropped to 8 this morning. Regarding additional snow beyond midnight, from what I measured in the morning I got an additional tenth of an inch. As of now I'd say I still have roughly an inch on the ground. (I live on a north-facing slope.)