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WarmNose

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Everything posted by WarmNose

  1. WarmNose
    It will make its own cold air. Rates will overcome
  2. WarmNose
    Hope so. This puts me in the game. Need this storm to outperform climo by 15 miles
  3. WarmNose
    January CJ said 4-6 with locally higher amounts. We got a backend dusting
  4. WarmNose
    GFS has become progressively more amp'd and has been pushing the precip shield further inland through the past couple of days but has stayed true with it's "no snow for you" line
  5. WarmNose
    Bacarat only!
  6. WarmNose
    GFS has to be right. Cold air source filtering down the west side of the Apps is what's putting some areas in the Deep South in play and leaving the areas to the north and east with a cold rain. GFS stuck to its guns. I don't like it but I respect it
  7. WarmNose
    If the GFS verifies I'm hitting up the Indian casino this weekend
  8. WarmNose
    https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hrrr&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2017120719&fh=23&xpos=7&ypos=0
  9. WarmNose
    HRR looks rainy for my area through hr 17 that warm nose in NE GA and Upstate SC is just atrocious
  10. WarmNose
    We've been NAM'd again
  11. WarmNose
    Hug the bullseye models. They can't always be wrong can they? i haven't had a chance to look at models but from what I'm hearing I'm liking the colder trends. Maybe the cold air is more robust than the January storm and we don't have to fight 33 degree rain for the entirety of the event
  12. WarmNose
    That looks amazing. I just don't know where the cold air is coming from for those outside of the higher elevations east of the mountains. Hope I'm wrong
  13. WarmNose
    I'm all in on the Euro. Several hours of mood flakes with possible heavy bursts. Euro still has "accumulating " snow well to my south and east. I can still afford a small tick NW and get in on the wet flake action(per Euro). I'm hopeful rates will overcome to kick this winter off right.
  14. WarmNose
    Blackbirds are going crazy here in the upstate today. I believe they also got NAM'd
  15. WarmNose
    Never thought I'd see the day LaGrange got 4" and I was left with mood rain
  16. WarmNose
    Imo It looks like the NAM caved to the GFS. The GFS has had that snow zone in LaGrange for a couple of days now with everyone else getting zilch. That's exactly what the last NAM run looks like
  17. WarmNose
    When does the German model initialize?
  18. WarmNose
    North of I85 bust
  19. WarmNose
    Chris Justice is about to delve into what's on the way here in the upstate. Whatever he says here in the next 5 minutes is set in stone. Snow or no snow, it all hinges on what Chris Justice says
  20. WarmNose
    GFS still a crappy outlier. Idk how any Met could use the GFS to blend any sort of forecast right now
  21. WarmNose
    Bobby Mac said pingers on the radio
  22. WarmNose
    Wintry mix being reported in Spartanburg..foreshadowing for an over performer this weekend? Hmm
  23. WarmNose
    Small hint at a warm nose on the SC GA border then it does something funny as you get up into east central NC
  24. WarmNose
    NAM looks to be ramping up a little sooner on this run. Looks juicy. Someone is about to get hammered
  25. WarmNose
    I apologize for posting PBP on the old NAM run. Smh carry on
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