STILL N OF PIKE
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Everything posted by STILL N OF PIKE
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When I think nice long period swell I look at the YouTube vids of perfect storm sending humongous NE swell down into Palm beach Surprising many . Accounts of one day had 3-4 foot NE swell jacking up to 20 feet on bouys by Afternoonin Palm beach from perfect storm far away 18 feet @20 seconds was peak swell
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Such a monster storm . Waste of swell potential here given recurve at 45 W ....could of been huge i see maybe 3.5-4.5 @ 17 seconds on bouys in a week-10 day’s Humberto delivered 9 @ 12.8 seconds in Rye NH last weekend
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Im familiar w the Ederman cam^^ was down for Dorian in Palm beach on Tuesday. That was the day ...Barrels . Was at Red Reef park. Steve that looks like point Judith I liked this spot just north of Nahant beach couple saturdays ago and it’s close so it is either there or Plum Island.
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Yes but 7feet 14 seconds @ what direction ESE will screw Boston south due to Cape Shadowing plum island and N shore will have tbe goods
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Euro speeds this up now, F’n B%##% bye bye swell window
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Euro Ens slow this thing in NE swell window big time if that WAR blocks it a time we will see some big barrels for days ...Maine NH , N shore and Cape ... with a faster SE swell for RI Wed/Thur quite the swell maker
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Loops...ya ain’t happening James
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Looks like a bit of a loop se then s May occur N/NE of Bahamas (Well SE of Carolinas)
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That eye Wall or Dorian. Strongest ever reported by Josh. 185 sustained ....just a eye Wall of total devestation. Made Andrew look almost weak in comparison (185 to 160) Most of S FL doesn’t realize the bomb they dodged
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He lost power for a day and couldn’t play video games last tornado so he is the anti Bruce Shwoeglar now
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I had high confidence pressure was 940’s ... it as much in winds catching up already
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More this thing is undergoing RI , it’s pretty clear plane will have center fix with winds by 8pm thats 140 EZ Its one of the nicer cores I’ve seen . This aint a 3 now
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This is clearly a 4 now IMO
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Afternoon models are so crucial for Florida to where the Slow down and north turn occur as usual Bahamas could see brunt and stall
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New development w Euro Ens was a ridge breaking down faster and several members curving this north East of state
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Euro Has not run but I Am very interested in where the turn west occurs alllnensembles turned Dorian South of 26.5 N (unless im reading map wrong ) inbelieve models underdo the quickness of the turn as well as when they’ve sniffed out a slight WSW dip it also tends to be underdone on modeling Equally concerning is the stall on CMC\UkMET on 0z models just inland . That throws a wrench in
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So Palm City - Port St.Lucie
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Such a strong forecast turn at a longitude as Far East as forecast leaves a lot of room for error imo . Maybe models will be consistent next 48 on Strenth of ridge but also where this does its turn
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I lived in S Fl for a long while they have been exponentially lucky in Broward and South Palm beach county for 50 years . 5-0 So much money along the water. Super wealth Do you believe this will expand significantly in size or remain rather small until a possible landfall
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Ya i was trying to see what size it’s forecast to be in 96-120 hours it’s tiny now
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Interesting to see if the ridge orientation 72-120 hours out takes on a pure W-E orientation or even possibly shifts to create a WSW motion . Also what latitude it’s at when it turns west and feels the ridge makes all the difference The fact this barely entered Caribbean really helped this become a disaster in THe making (avoiding land) and less favorable conditions
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My worst post my bad This storm looks frightening as it has shifted so Far East that it went from crossing Hispaniola to going currently East of Puerto Rico as it strengthens .
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I may Chase Dorian if it goes Cat 2 + 300$ round trip to FL
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We need a golf GTG im in!
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That’s wasnt ever a question, with a small system will probably make a cane east of Caribbean, don’t see it surviving Caribbean
