STILL N OF PIKE

Fatter flakes in KBED Just now ahead of the sleet line that’s a little to the SW maybe that halts for a bit as NAM soundings seem to show

Prolly won’t continue based on Wills comment

Actually Snow growth and dentrite size looking nice in KBED currently .

Heading to ASH from KBED . Better growth up there

KBED has been an area under decent echoes compared with those under the holes of Swiss cheese. Still..weak rates

I for one believe people usually don’t “learn much” from busts thou it sounds lovely they often are Over confident identifying why they were “wrong” because they simply *Want* and are willing to believe they will be right next time . Same situation occurs i would be confident it will be wrong again . I see this all the time w busted forecasts . Sometimes the reason just isn’t as clear as they are identifying.

As long as KBED stays under 32 ...I don’t need to go to ASH . Maybe close on mesos...

I’m thinking 4” or so here. Warm tongue is coming and QPF is meh . Some bust potential either way imo I see a decent band pike to route 2 early and maybe central NH (MHT-Lakes ) in afternoon

It’s an alternative universe in this thread When Scott meh’s A 3-6” event and Ray is “go time”

I’m at 26” and to be honest I don’t mind at all now that the ground is bare.

nothing much that the models haven't incorporated

Its a fraud 5 member. I was on board the last one as something different than analfrontal ....your not getting me on the arctic front train , i suppose it wouldn't be wrong to call you the conductor in such an event.

definitely gonna enjoy this on from KBED and NOT KASH...seems almost unanimous...more of an impact further south from Nashua

Arctic fronts and squalls zzzz We know who does well with these Mountains and NNE. Maybe a 10 minute snow shower for the Coastal plain folk who make up 85% of posters here. 02$

and fourth when ZR is actually sleet along northern areas of ZR clown maps

Wiz bc you understand soundings much more than I do have you ever gone back and looked at soundings from say 10 warning level Events for HFD and say 10 advisory level events and looked at soundings. I imagine if you understand sounding this would be a valuable idea . I just say this bc you post them with all the forecasts (which I wished I cared More to understand them fully) but it seems like if I was studying met it might actually be something in the curriculum they already had you do to make someone understand not just system flags but also soundings limitations (positive “surprises”)..thou I don’t know if I’m right (as to how valuable that would be or not ) Especially looking at soundings for analogs

Also it’s great that there is a Model that sounds like it resembles ( I’m not gonna say anything specific regarding name or size) a few things I saw at “amazing super store “ Saturday nite after dinner. Deep Thunder lol

I would love this as a kid. Everyone is checked out by mid June ..attendance is usually horrible for the late makeup days that don’t matter

Tracking the Warm tongue next 24 hours

It’s honestly pathetic how they are totally incompetent or saving a buck every year usually in more than one case . I would love to sit in on the meetings or hear the communications ...maybe I’ll just go to their FB page and say hello... do your job ...it’s sort of important

It’s just wrong for rain at picnic tables in December . You know your feeling the same

My FAV 33F Dec Rain

Maybe apps runner then suppression depression / drying out

Ya this over performed in Bedford

The BL / Elevation issue wasn’t really touched on enough during first half of nite . Elevations will be snowing for this first batch while places lower inland still rain . We shall see where this batch of heavier of precipitation aligned from Lancaster to Allentown falls .