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STILL N OF PIKE

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Posts posted by STILL N OF PIKE

  1. 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

    Hrrr is a torch still. BL blows which has been my worry all along. But I’m a Debbie.

    Gosh with my posting style and your location I’d be called

    “dickles the human caution flag “

     

    meaning you know your risks but you don’t melt out to the group about them even if you been ram rodded weekly at Greta’s house of carbon offsets 

    • Haha 1
  2. lol always a scape goat for bad ideas . Off hour run? No this isn’t the 66 hr nam . People just attribute that to something they don’t like to See

    and Ray let’s hope in Merrimack valley this ticks south to get me on northern edge ) sure if you like a large increase in a sub advisory event .Was calling out the reality of what I thought was a foolish wish . They usually tick more than 1x when they decide to
     

    I really don’t care if someone can’t take making a mistake on a call , unless someone tried to think yes it will just be one perfect 20 mile shirt and then over . Much better odds of staying in warning maps if we wanted a tick N yesterday . But hey Mother Nature does what she wants 

    • Like 1
  3. 5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

     I would say that this probably favors SNE rather than NNE for sure, as there can be some suppression depending on how strong the vort gets. I'd feel a lot better in Danbury than Nashua

    I’d take the other side of that wager without hesitation  for ASH and most areas north if we are talking snowfall for Feb into March 

     

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    • Thanks 1
  4. 18 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

    just a gorgeous evolution... very high confidence for a semi permanent 50/50 ULL, west based blocking, and a stream of waves off the Pacific undercutting the AK ridge. all three ensembles share this same progression as well, there is great agreement there too

    i'm kinda wondering if that trough moving eastward in the Pacific is the storm, or if we just get a lobe from said trough\

    2097108520_gfs-ens_z500a_namer_fh240-384(1).thumb.gif.3f1461944c6ac843894bb80b6395d2f8.gif

    I recall when you posted posted 2 ago that

    you weren’t going to post for a week and see How it goes :)

    i want to see some day 2,3,4,5, 6 animations 

  5. 22 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

    Look we have a real good pattern setting up.  The threats will start to show themselves in a few days.  For now maybe signals?  But all that matters is the larger scale setup and how stable the pattern looks.  Looks like there will be be threats unless there is suppression.  I don’t expect to see anything serious until maybe Tuesday or Wednesday, perhaps for the 12th?

    Want to see the look hold thru the 6’th 

    Dont want to see the western ridge erode or pacific go poopy

    I think we will still have decent chances in Feb if that occurs to a moderate degree but like Will has said we want a pattern improving as we go from day 10+ to inside  day 7-8 and we got a few more days to see if that -PDO base state is still sort of a thorn as we go from day 12-15 to day 6-8 on great patterns 

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