STILL N OF PIKE

Things look serviceable . It’s getting to peak climo so unless there is a black hole in Gulf of Alaska things looks “fine”. Just keep it active

Dave is channeling the pope this morning . 2-4”

Snow joe Thou that may not satisfy

I mean you should be eating humble pie , that is all

You really shouldn’t be posting today after your debacle waa bad even by your standards

Good thing drunks were tossing the nam yesterday pm

This thing is a pile of shiat SE and Garbage Poof - Zero Surprise

Haven’t been bullish on this in 24 hours , haven’t look at a single 0z run tonite . I am Always hopeful and euro has hung tight for two runs

Ya and none of the pro forecasters have a discernible Bias I like the WPC snow maps as a super ensemble of weenie maps . On a 48 hour time frame they have virtually nobody with 50% or greater probs for 4” plus (ending 0z Wednesday ) . They have 40-50% for Sw ORH to Ne of Concord ,NH currently .They know what they are doing . I wanna see that map trend bullish by am or this is more likely that not Is a 1-4” system for folks outside of Maine

I get his point thou , too be most accurate you don’t want bias .

Bless you

This is highs stakes right now . Euro looks just good enough but a fart East and it’s 1” QPF and for the cape . This is completely up in the air for most . Maybe MQE can lock in advisory , but I would not be shocked in this setup or this season if the euro moved 40 miles SE at 0z . I DONT favor that! but this is up in the air and on a razors edge . There is not much wiggle room and some of the energy is getting better sampled now ..meaning If we tick SE ..it’s no bueno for anyone Seeing 5”+ But it could also tick NW and crush some people . High Stakes . The mesos bother me .

Rpm , Reggie

Your gonna have a 2 man thread Tuesday into Wed am. I hope you get hit hard.

Phin gets his snows from this Late tuesday nite and Wed am.

Looking on T.T the Ens mean looked SE of O.P at 48-72 hours by a few ticks

The tick se on euro at 18z May put this to bed The EPS for Monday - Tuesday looked worse . Funny nobody mentioned it . OP was on NW side of ensemble guidance at 12z. Ensembles were E with low on Monday and Tuesday . 5H was worse on ensemble as well.

Scott , where are you at with this thing .

So are the models that are crapping the bed showing more separation between the “mid level wave and the low” and killing a shot of a decent capture for E SNE

Ya it did . Would be great if HRRR didn’t have NW bias at 48 hours

Ummm really ..nam

Where did EPS have this in 48 hrs

Were there no EPS posts . Does that mean OP was ...

If you tick Euro W a tad more things get interesting Monday eve to Tuesday