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STILL N OF PIKE

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Everything posted by STILL N OF PIKE

  1. I could be wrong but I think phasing is most likely to be a modeled fail when it is portrayed To occur in higher latitudes close to our longitude , just much less wiggle room as well for us so when it’s later ..it’s a big game changer , when they are poised to phase in Ohio valley / mid Atlantic well before us, they do usually As even if they are late they still often max mid levels SW of us
  2. This looks like it maxes out over NE pa then weakens . Isnt the initial thump going to Peter out as It reaches North of pike and Cne or not really
  3. This could easily flood most of E SNE with rain and not much snow to speak of .
  4. Par for the course for ensembles they have much too little input difference than op’s to account for the realistic future track options
  5. Pattern looks great for Nova Scotia , seriously
  6. Seems very unlike you to follow thus system ... one thing that separates the 6z gf’s from the nam and keeps it closer is the high position on guidance . Gf’s has high North or Lake Superior which looks to give it more Room while Nam has the high centered 200 miles East (along with storm placement out to sea) either way I see it more likely to move west enough to screw Monday than it is to move west enough to do anything for us . Those eps positions are misleading and don’t represent some tight LLC and CCB, Most action seems East even on the west solutions
  7. I’m willing to pick up what your putting down
  8. Looks like a miss , I guess it’s worth tracking certainly but maybe 20% chance of advisory or so I guess I would give it .
  9. Looks like Covid peaked in this area or is right now. I wouldd anticipate a steady fall by weekend that raiders game was very interesting at the end on last drive of OT. You could see Raiders we’re content playing safe and running wether they got first down , fg range or wether they tied and both made the playoffs . Then La morons called a time out
  10. Very easily could see BTC at 20-30K in a month . In fact it’s likely unless fed reverses current vocal course of market tightening faster than I think they will . Crypto is a tiny market by Market cap . Goes up faster than stocks , goes down faster . Trend is crystal clear down and the crypto crowd has very little technical knowledge compared to stock traders , they hold on to hopium and consider bearish charts “Fud” . Most who have done very well seem to have just “believed” in the asset and timed its ascent well with central bank printing . Now the tide is going out as markets front run federal reserve clear message of reversing the printing . (They can’t but they will act like they can and market will front run this act until they see enough pain in stocks (they could care less about crypto)?
  11. Let’s see some modeled storms from the fruit of he good in front of us, they must be there
  12. Tip style As fed cuts back on its future money printing the tide is going out in Nasdaq and especially crypto (Bitcoin) BTC looks like it is teetering like Wylie coyote this am at 40,500 support (last support for bull run dating back 2 years) it will have some fits and starts but if that level is retested multiple times it will give way If Nasdaq stays pressured and it should as long as fed keeps dreaming about raising rates and normalizing monetary policy next year ..the market will front run that idea until bitcoin finds itself lower than most Imagine . The good news is this should create a buying opportunity in crypto later and stocks (if they actually fall ) because no central bank has normalized monetary policy (like the fed is pretending they will do later this year ) after the hall mark red flags of a fragile monetary system commence for years (Which of course is the monumental debt monetization of the last years) . Once a monetary system goes down the path of buying their own debt (debt monetization) its all over for normalizing the policy and not being dependent on kicking the can with continuous bubbles These bubbles are noted for having historically stretchEd income to price ratios for homes and price to earnings multiples for stocks ...because if those bubbles aren’t reflated ..The system dies . That is elephant in room that won’t be said on TV so there isn’t a confidence run . Educated media Economic personalities know and understand the long history of monetary systems Going back couple thousand years and their inherent fragility as the bodies of past systems are buried in history books , they know how political power has shifted as we’ve seen the rise and fall of the empires that had and (fought to keep the reserve currency’s ) Dutch , British , now American and how the clear signs of their failing Mark a countdown to a large scale change and period of unparalleled uncertainty. Deep rooted economic and social upheaval (usually with the populations attention redirected at outside enemies in various ways ) . in the past these resulted in power changing hands from one to the next , in our current civilized times Where the influential class span the world ..their maybe a mutually beneficial and more sustainable transition to a More equitable multi country “fair” transition . This maybe years away if the global central banks (almost all in the G7 nations ) who have engaged in monetizing the debt Are able to keep blowing asset bubbles without letting interest rates rise (no coincidence that almost all of Europe govt debt has negative interest rates ) so they stay afloat a little longer . The open secret that can’t be spoken on media , is that Not only is this as healthy and sustainable as daily heart attacks , there will have to be a way to refocus the worlds (populations attention) on anything , any future black swan , that keeps them from blaming those in charge when the system finally resets . (Could be a decade could be the next crisis) but the only way it’s many years is if continual successful bubbles reflate asset values , using anything possible to make this politically palatable and that would mean any 20-25% pullback in stocks will be met with central banks reversing their most recent attempt at slowing money printing which is shaking markets back to snow * oh and at some point in perpetual asset price reflations, Usually near the end market participants noticeably have a decreased confidence in paper promises (stocks , bonds ,) and clearly favor hard tangible assets that will reprice upwards if the country’s (fiat currency loses confidence)and the visible reflection of weakened confidence is a bond market that enters a bear market not induced by fed raising rates but investors demanding higher rates for holding currency risk . These things have happened in many Latin American counties over past decades .
  13. I wonder are they rationing supplies or they just wait till there are a few pile ups and then someone calls Big Joe bob who is sleeping off his hangover
  14. Nobody holds them accountable. As I wait for the ZR in North Conway to slow I’ll visit their twitter page and ask them how many hospitalizations do they wait for before they treat a road
  15. Honest question . Does anyone know why NH DOT are clowns . What is the general attitude with regard to following ice storms and treating Before cars are totaled or are they “rationing” salt or did they treat adequately and there is just nothing they can do
  16. Would be nice to look forward to a snowy type pattern. I’ve Been checking out to something is within a few days
  17. Ya 44” was biggest report they accepted several reported 50” and they Were not cleared every 6 hour deals
  18. lol sell what . There was tons of photos. BGM area was Jack and there was a stripe of 40” 100 miles ENE to about VT/NH border
  19. it’s definitely possible and not that far fetched to me . There was 50” PLUS In Binghamton NY last year and 30” fell in about 5 hours
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