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STILL N OF PIKE

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Everything posted by STILL N OF PIKE

  1. I know it’s erratic , but If it stayed East OTS this close in I would think it limits the west Goal post , good to see it sober up toward go time
  2. The low wasn’t really that close . Shot ENE it initially (Near NC/VA coast) didn’t have much of the dual low structure Or lead vorticity , otherwise if it did it would have been worse
  3. I get that . Just wondering if the further East low was less dominating this run I.E why did heavy precip fields materialize further NW this run and is it believeable. It’s not 7H closing off as this doesn’t occur till it’s into GOM further .
  4. Despite the track still pulling East as we have a dual low structure due to that persistent lead vorticity but forcing was stronger on NW side of the dual low . Not sure the reason Or if that makes sense (Will?) but you can clearly see heavier precip on NW side of the dual low structure this run even thou track is still consistently being pulled East by the lead vort
  5. The trends at 18z were moving back to @ Bench mark or Just inside it , then every model but the putrid gf’s was chucked at 0z when they bumped East . For the 495 crowd we went from Weenie band magic to meh band . We’ll see where that initial banding sets up prior to the meat getting here but we are not in a good spot for this and last evening you were . I dunno what Direction next 12 hours will Tickle but this has been a back and forth for day’s .
  6. SE of benchmark , Meh. Back to se mass system with advisory for others still looking hopeful but not guaranteed. Lots of bias and spiking last nite before 0z euro and 6z suite . I would anticipate this will tickle again in any direction the next 18 hours . also the maps will tickle down by noon unless 12z tickles back west , if you can’t see that your too emotionally involved watch the 12z HREF and see if it hangs on to the 0z last nite look
  7. Nice that the 3k nam at 0z almost taints scooter . Heart warming 986 low , and the western “low” Takes over and Moves 30-50 ESE of ACK
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