STILL N OF PIKE

Snownado

SPC has thunderstorms highlighted for New England today . Rare setup https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk_1300.html

It’s not that big of a difference thou ..euro being on board is like .3/10 of an inch QPF and low end advisory which I would gladly take Gfs could easily nudge toward that direction I’d love to see something trend toward a bit more but a couple inches would be nice as well

Thank god Scott posts in this thread .

https://imgur.com/a/2Jz5xtp https://imgur.com/a/XSKnLPm https://imgur.com/a/cW3heR4 Revere, Ma Wharf Restaurant

Let’s get the euro on board

Disaster in revere Geezus At Marina / Wharf drift wood floating in front of stairs to get in restaurant

Parts of 1a in revere are getting significant water

Have a family event at the Wharf in revere beginning at 12. Water is creeping into parking lot from tide level

Days ago when globals had this hitting hard, there appeared to be a second Short wave dropping thru Tenn valley that interacted and sort of pulled the lead wave from otherwise going out to sea. is the trough orientation/ flow on east coast not as conducive for that or has the short wave timing changed

Does Reggie have the same amp’d bias of nam at long range

Scott has nailed the crap airmass of the last year and a half for coastal folks during systems .

I like the comments that are like pep talks , like it’s a team sport where a good mind set helps you win . It’s motivational and sorta funny to me at same time . It is the best mind set / strategy for dealing with life , however with weather I generally defer to probabilities , stats and remove emotion 12z or 0z tonite is when you want to see a nice strong change in the 16/17’th set up that pulls the energy tighter toward us

I think that’s already favored for most and very likely for those SE of 95

When does that translate for the general weather here (end of Jan?) and what is your confidence level in modeling being accurate for then

Gonna need EPS to look good

Hadley cell is all lubed up

Extremely Similar in location, amounts will in my opinion be 2/3 as much snow due to less QPF . WPC and HREF are much tamer than Wednesday. WPC does not have 8”+ progs above 50% anywhere My guess is 6-9” in Conway and maybe 10 @ Wildcat Will be interested to see if Bretton woods avoids shadowing GYX always has some weenie colors on those maps with a more subdued discussion totals , they had 18-24 swath for Wednesday and the only place I saw verify was someone measured within 1-2 miles of Mt Wash summit but they nailed their forecast totals that they had out in the warning areas

1993 superstorm ?

Meh

For a while now ..There is always like 2 different reality filters going on in these threads. 1. Things suck or will suck Again soon and they will never not suck for long Or 2. Things are awesome as we thought (again) but we still don’t have much snow and If things don’t break awesome there is always a animation somewhere

Ugh Cannon only reported 3” New . Yikes I see Sugarloaf had 18”! (Had to be up high )

Agreed . I thought Bretton woods was gonna have like 5-6” . Maybe you benefited from more of a SSE/SE flow than SE/ESE ? You mentioned the next town Over from you (Carol) had only 5”. I wonder if Powder freak has some insight into what about the flow allowed Bretton woods to Crush and not downslope

This event got better and better for NNE and elevations in CNE and CAD hub in Conway area basically until go time Impressed How long the General Conway - Madison - Glen corridor held on for 10-11” . They do heavy wet snows of 10-12 inches there pretty well

Wildcat still snowing (Bretton woods snowed most of nite) Looks like most NNE will do just fine even with a few hours of *non frozen crystalline precipitation falling 6-9am