the_other_guy
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Posts posted by the_other_guy
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i’m always wearing shorts, but I’m wearing shorts today comfortably. 58F already. And the sun! the sun is out!!!
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7 hours ago, psv88 said:
Nobody wants snow after march 1. Time for baseball, beach and boating. LFG
actually, I’m a skier. There’s a bunch of skiers on here and you may not want snow, but the lack of cold air up in the mountains is going to cut short a season that is very expensive.
Locally ski season goes until April 1. For those of us that buy season passes we bank on skiing several times in March.
More importantly, in an economically depressed state like New York, people in the Hudson Valley Catskills Adirindacks, depend on people skiing for four or five months of the year for their livelihood. there are a few other jobs up there outside of tourism
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1 hour ago, psv88 said:
There are currently 330 MILLION suvs in the world. They crank out a ton of CO2.
I love my SUV. 6 cylinder hybrid that gets awful gas mileage even with the $10000 hybrid sticker on the back.
I wouldn’t give it up for a decimal point data change 50 years from now.
And there are a lot of people just like me. actually, most people are like me. That’s the problem
Enjoy November in January. nothing is going to change.
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1 hour ago, Fresh cold air said:
I finally was able to register here lol! Just have a passion for winter weather. Also love studying weather records. Found a great site called extreme weather watch. You can literally look up any single date in any month of any year back to 1869. You can see the high and low, the daily precip, and the snowfall for the date. Its in such an easy to read format too. I discovered it the other day and have become obsessed with it lol. I have been doing NYC central park. Found a stretch of 4 straight below zero nights at the park in the 1917-1918 winter. Interestingly though, the summers seemed more extreme with heat way back as well. Check out the june,july,aug period for 1966. Of the 90+ days, just ten days managed to crack 80 for a high. Yuck lol! Check it out....you will become addicted fast!
Started following the weather in 1982. It was the April blizzard that got me started. I really started becoming into weather when walking home from junior high school on Jan 22nd 1987. That really did it for me. Was supposed to change to rain but we got about 9 inches before it ended as drizzle. Low 30s the entire storm. Another more powdery storm shot up from the smokey mountains 3 days later superbowl night dumping another 6 inches or so. Anyway, I was on the accuweather forums back in the day and even 33 and rain which became more complicated for me with the new format lol. I prefer this simplified format. Still have discord but my account always kept coming up in turkish no matter what so I gave up for the moment. Well, looking forward to reading all of the great posts and adding when I can. I lurked as a guest here for years.
Man are you on the wrong forum? This group hates cold and snow! haha Welcome
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51.1 is warmest March for CPK.
Gotta make a run for that unless something changes for second half
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Squall Line just went thru. Reading a book in shorts on couch listening to the downpour I had to remind myself it is 2/28
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not nearly as warm today as forecasted.
Continues the trend of the winter of the warmest departures being over the Midwest.
Low 50s all day
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3 minutes ago, psv88 said:
Feeling good about the Mets this year?
No way. Maybe a sleeper team. But dont have high expectations
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It is amazing that Im reading about wild fire smoke and tornados in Illinois in February!
And you guys are looking for snow in NYC in march. Like the Jets building a case for the Lombardi Trophy haha
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2 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said:
i think people are forgetting that there have been similarly lame stretches. yes, we don't get the 10-20" years as much, but who cares
KNYC had one winter with over 30" from 1969-70 through 1993-94. one! that is an absolutely dry stretch. we have had 13 such winters since 2000
40 degree back to back winters with plenty of precip.
There’s absolutely no comparison whatsoever to the 60s or 70s or 80s. that’s just trying to gloss over and compromise with reality
We lost the snow because it’s too warm.
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The arborvitaes are terrible in the snow you gotta clean them off right away if not they never go back.
But my pine trees, the magnolia bush even the cedars took a hit
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I don’t know about anybody else but for this non-winter, there’s not a tree or shrub or fence on my property that has not been damaged by the heavy wet snow that froze over on several occasions. Very messy as I assess spring clean up
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18 minutes ago, bluewave said:
Taking the Central Park temperatures under the trees since the new ASOS was installed back in the 90s created an artificial cooling of daytime highs during the the warm season. When they measured the temperatures away from the trees prior to the 1990s, NYC had more 90° days than LGA. So the decline in 90° days from 30 years before and after the new ASOS was installed is an artifact of the poor sitting and not a reflection of the actual temperatures in Central Park which used to be warmer than LGA. All our other stations away from the sea breeze have seen a steep increase in 90° days over this period.
When the devices at the castle are not functioning, the Weather Service substitutes readings from La Guardia Airport. But Mr. Gibson said those readings do not really reflect conditions in the city, because they may be several degrees cooler in summer or warmer in winter than those in Central Park.
But havent days of High 80s/High Humidity increased at the expense of days in the Low 90s with lower humidity?
It is very noticeable how we cant get over 95 with ease anymore.
We have settled into a Florida tropical like summer climate from mid June through mid September in which high dews keep overnights real warm and temper daytime highs while feeling absolutely miserable and buggy at all times
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20 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:
Doesn't look very sunny. Lots of clouds and rain likely
And it’s still gonna be +10, which really says it all
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Has to be the warmest two weeks of March on record if it holds. Solid +10
February was also supposed to open like that but muted a bit with cold shots as it actually opened
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33 minutes ago, bluewave said:
Each new El Niño boosts the temperatures to a higher baseline. The 09-10 El Niño marked the beginning of a much warmer summer pattern which continues to this day. The 15-16 El Niño coincided with a shift to much warmer winters. The winter warming shift was of a higher magnitude than we have seen relative to the previous means than the summers. Now the global temperature jump with the 23-24 El Niño was even higher than the 15-16 super El Niño even though it wasn’t as strong. So it will be interesting to see what happens to our temperatures and weather patterns in coming years at this even higher temperature baseline.
It is impressive how relentless this non winter has been.
The fact that the first 10 days of March are going to be in the 50s and 60s after this winter warmth is simply astounding
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50 minutes ago, Dark Star said:
Not sure if I ever heard that about the 2016 el nino. Is that possible that a previous "system" can have that kind of impact?
It is all theory at this point. To be fleshed out over the decades ahead
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3 hours ago, bluewave said:
That’s for sure. Another case of the warm minimums driving the departures. Pretty wild to see Upstate NY with low temperature departures for the whole winter in the +7 +11 range above the much warmer 91-20 climate normals.
The NE warming is alarming and completely off any chart or estimate possible. Unless something changes in this trend, winter as we know it in Adirondacks is changed. It will be non existent here.
No climatologist had this depth of warming in any analysis.
This seems to be a radical regional effect of Indian/Pacific Ocean warming. Someone could write a whole thesis on why this is happening and where it is going
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18F this morning. Nice bite!
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41 minutes ago, gravitylover said:
Saranac Lake had time to build the ice castle on the lake ice for their winter carnival but the day before the temps torched and it poured rain. They had to pull the castle fown and cancel a bunch of stuff.
That’s not what I read. I don’t want to swear by it, but it seems like the castle was there without an issue. There was concern that they wouldn’t have enough ice, but they did and they finished it the day before.
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4 hours ago, bluewave said:
Guess changing around that Winter Carnival was a good thing!
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49 minutes ago, Snowshack said:
Could be. Late 90’s I lived in Mt Sinai and worked in Flushing and certainly don’t remember Flushing feeling snowier. But overall BNL’s stats show busts under 10” have become much more common. Can’t see that changing unless the background warming somehow does. Our place in the Adirondacks can’t even hold snowcover through core winter anymore.
where are you in the Adirondacks? It seems like you have to be in the high peaks area now to really hold snow up there.
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3 minutes ago, Snowshack said:
Depends on how you define 'nothing'. Using BNL's snowfall stats (right next to us in Wading River) - from when their record starts in 1947 through 1990 there was only one year with under 10" of snowfall. Since 1990 there have been 7. That definitely seems like a change.
having a house in Queens and a house in wading River, you were much more likely to have a stabilized snowfall regime in Queens then in Wading River in the 1990s. That started to go crazy with super heavy snowfalls along the coast as we got into the 2000s.
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10 hours ago, LibertyBell said:
wow what a historic period, Don!
so if you include the period from 1994-95 to 2001-02 it was 4 out of 8 winters.
Having 1993-94 just before that period and the all time historic 1995-96 during that period, eased the pain a bit....
it isn’t linear with Central Park. Jfk is very influenced by the water, and as somebody that lived in wading river for most of his life, I could tell you that it wasn’t unusual to have an all or nothing type winter. The water is always too warm for snow.
what has changed since the 1990s is that the “inland” urban stations are much warmer. And the types of snowfall we get are now from the water, larger storms pulling in cold air. Less frequent and stronger.
It Rearranges the deck chairs on the titanic. There’s a high possibility that if you are adjacent to the coast you could jackpot. we’ve seen this on Long Island several times over the last 15 to 20 years. It isnt a normal phenomenon in our area. 287 N and W should jackpot based on historic climatology. that’s why you’ve had all that record snow in places like Islip.
over the last few years, you have seen a return to the more historical jackpot areas as it is simply too warm to snow. N and W are getting scraps in a declining snow regime and urban areas are getting shut out altogether
March 2024
in New York City Metro
Posted
Move. Humans need air.