the_other_guy

my house doesn’t flood, but I have to tell you I’m getting a trickles in now every time we have one of these big storms. This is too much already. We’re having this like every two weeks. 

i’m on the side of the hill at about 200 feet. I’m glad I’m not at the bottom.

5 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

March even into April is some of their prime season in NNE/Adirondacks ski country.

you need a good winter leading into that though. And they haven’t had it.

It’s tough to have a good late March and April when late February and early March was a stinker up there.

Running like +10 and amongst warmest winter ever for them.

At best you can say these ski resorts in the Catskills in the Adirondacks are getting lucky toward the latter half of March and it should hold a “normal” season for them despite extreme warmth and well BN snow (especially true in the North Country)

like the Adirondacks are all snow today. But Bellleayre has the upper mountain closed because they have ice at the top and rain at the bottom

I didn’t believe they would make it at the beginning of March… But Belleayre made it and they are thriving on 3/22 with snow on way tonight.

March is funny like that!

27F.

Stopped that growing season in its place for a bit!

2 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

10 years ago snow stayed just south of the metro areas.

 

2005 had some accumulation right?

11 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

We need the PAC to change for what? Lol winter’s done. We’re out of time, the clock ran out, game over. We’re already into meteorological spring, been in solar spring since February, daylight savings time in effect and astronomical spring starts Tuesday

New York City second week of March.

Beyond that it’s spring snow when you’re lucky. wet slop

Until then you can have a wintery feel

this year we didn’t even have a winter feel side for a week or two in the middle of February and January.

I don’t know what these people are talking about winter in March. Ridiculous.

7 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

Very active and much colder 2nd half of March likely. MJO swinging to colder phases. 

Isnt that wonderful…This fucking winter

2 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

New York City's Warmest March 1-14 Period:

I called that. Endless 5-10 warmth this season continues.

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

March was more like a winter month during the 2010s and is now a spring month In the 2020s. 
 

Monthly Mean Avg Temperature for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Year	Mar	Season
Mean	46.5	46.5
2024	48.7	48.7
2023	44.6	44.6
2022	45.3	45.3
2021	45.8	45.8
2020	48.0	48.0

 

Monthly Total Snowfall for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Year	Mar	Season
Mean	0.1	0.1
2024	T	T
2023	0.1	0.1
2022	0.4	0.4
2021	T	T
2020	T	T

 

Monthly Mean Avg Temperature for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Year	Mar	Season
Mean	42.7	42.7
2019	41.7	41.7
2018	40.1	40.1
2017	39.2	39.2
2016	48.9	48.9
2015	38.1	38.1
2014	37.7	37.7
2013	40.1	40.1
2012	50.9	50.9
2011	42.3	42.3
2010	48.2	48.2

Monthly Total Snowfall for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

Year	Mar	Season
Mean	6.0	6.0
2019	10.4	10.4
2018	11.6	11.6
2017	9.7	9.7
2016	0.9	0.9
2015	18.6	18.6
2014	0.1	0.1
2013	7.3	7.3
2012	0.0	0.0
2011	1.0	1.0
2010	T	T

 

People were using March snow and cold as a workaround for the loss of December in the 2010s. Like the season shifted vs what actually happened…the season shrunk

1 hour ago, bkviking said:

This was Port Jefferson Harbor , March 7 , 2015. The last great freeze. People were still walking out on this ice field as of March 1, 2015. I have pictures of that. 

That was epic. Wading River looked like Alaska. Then came Dec 2015 and the rest is history

Spectacular conditions at Belleayre today if you could get past the brutal winds

13 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Interesting about how the LR models go to past climo-It looked like alot of them had a classic El Nino pattern in the LR (which were often dead wrong)-I wondered whether it was weighted towards climo....

but it never felt like a classic El Niño

The autumn leading up to it wasn’t that warm. Even December wasn’t that warm until we got to that last week and a half.

I mean, I say that with a grain of salt because everything is warm now.

Then, when we got to January, any of the El Niño bag of tricks, kind of sputtered out.

You could see where the big storms were supposed to be. The pattern was there, but in each of the cases, the cold air just wasn’t in place or available, and it ended up being a 2-3 inch type of thing.

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

With the coldest departures forecast to be to our west again later in the month, it’s possible that the last freeze in NYC was on March 1st. But even if they get down to 32°, doesn’t look like any hard freezes in the 20s will happen again this season.

Very predictable. Not even a chance

57 minutes ago, s2sailorlis said:

Fairfield, CT 6.8" for the month...   jeesh.  

 

 

 

 

Good snowfall for March !

3 minutes ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Damn, Forky just predicted a record number of EWR is running too high this summer the other day. And it’s already started. Best prediction yet.

it comes in hot because it’s low lying, swampy, industrialized land that is covered in cement and machinery, as far as I could see.

It was shit hole land that nobody wanted. That’s why an airport was made there 70 years ago.

if you had a kid, and they tried to set up a hot wheels, micro machine, matchbox, Thomas the train set up on a fixed size table, and every piece of that playset was put out: tanks, highways, bridges, tunnels, Seaport, airport, train lines, buildings, factories, stores, radio towers and an old church or two, that is what EWR looks like on short final approach.

That’s why it’s always hotter than everywhere else. There’s not a blade of grass or a tree or an open space or a hill for miles in any direction.

3 hours ago, NEG NAO said:

Not representative of the NYC metro area at all . Areas to the southwest across north and central NJ have measured 18 - 24 inches this season. And most other areas in the metro have reached past 10 inches..........

actually, I think it’s very representative.

If you want to haggle over an inch or two in Central Park, that’s fine. that little 30 mile swath just north of 195 is what’s not representative of the metro area this winter.

The metro area is literally melting from record warmth, record number of lack of freezing temperatures, and record low snowfall.

I can’t remember the last time I drove down to Queens to shovel my parents sidewalk. what was an annual occurrence or multi times throughout the year, it hasn’t happened in years. 
 

Maybe that pre-Christmas storm a few years back. 

I live north of the city, and I have palm annuals still going. Simply amazing. i’ve never seen anything like it and per our record book nobody else has either.

Central New Jersey between 195 and 78 for a few hours in one storm aside, we are in big, big trouble here.

I was just barbecuing for lunch. with the wind and the cloud cover and the temperature, I swear if you closed my eyes and spun me in a circle it felt like a shitty memorial day.

53 minutes ago, coastalplainsnowman said:

The saddest thing is that it’s only early March and yet there’s not even the opportunity to think “maybe this next storm could be snow,”. It might as well be June.  It’s like the very concept of snow has been memory-holed, a month earlier than usual.

You could plant begonias.

How is CPK doing with number of days below freezing? Has to be lowest ever. I wonder if it even happens again.

Earliest last freeze possible?

Just Epic how many records broken this winter!

Briefly dry slotted and happy in Westchester

16 hours ago, MJO812 said:

45 here in NYC
75 in Pittsburgh
70s near the lakes

LOL

NE flow where water helps cool things. We are seattle, they are spokane

4 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Today would’ve been rain any time of the year. This is a hugger that would’ve driven warm air in for the coast. Well inland might’ve stayed snow. 

it would’ve been a snow rain event with a good dump upfront.

Long story short it’s just too warm to snow around here now and it’s been like that all winter. There’s no March snowstorm coming to save the day.

You need absolutely perfect conditions at this point to get snow around here and that really only happens in the heart of winter

2 hours ago, brooklynwx99 said:

IF there were to be a weird late season event, this would be the pattern needed to get it done

Today was your March snowstorm. 10 degrees too warm for it. 

I flew the redeye in this morning from west coast.

You had to see the storms we had to pick around in St Louis! The line between St. Louis and Chicago had tops to 45,000 feet at 4 o’clock in the morning at the beginning of March! It was crazy

13 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

tomorrow's garbage low is ruining another 70 degree day

Save the ski season!

16 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said:

But where are you seeing this? The models over the next 10 days are 40s to low 50s with lots of foggy nights and rainy days. The following 10 days look like one to three days of 60 but damp and chilly days interspersed. Not exactly ideal. Just early April weather in early March. 

This. Models changed from sustained +10-15 to a day of that followed by March cool followed by more warmth. Seesaw. May save ski season a bit.

Nice day, but waaaaaay to early for this and the motorcycle exhaust shit. That is April weekend stuff.

next weekend looks cool thank God. hopefully the noisy motorcycles will stay in.