Brick Tamland

Where's the storm thresd for this weekend? The FV3 is where it's at!

5 hours ago, mackerel_sky said:

Brick:” Carolina Crusher 2, electric bugaloo!”

Darn skippy.

7 days is a long way to go when it comes to weather. 

3 minutes ago, WidreMann said:

We had a much better pattern in December than we do now.

Not sure we really had a good pattern at all before that storm. It was early December, and 70 degrees here just a week before I got 10 inches of snow. I wouldn't call that a blockbuster patter and time climate wise for a big storm here, but it happened.

Plenty of time for things to get better or worse with next week's threat, but this is reminding me of how the December storm evolved on the models. We also had a high near 70 here  about a week before that storm, just like today.

Well, guess I should be happy to have gotten the big storm in early December. The only problem is it seems one big storm is the most we can get around here, and if we have a big storm early then most times we rarely get anything of any significance for the rest of winter. We either get two or three small storms, one big storm, or nothing at all. Getting more than one big storm, or a big storm and then two or three more good storms seems impossible here. 

3 minutes ago, Cold Rain said:

Snowing big in downtown Raleigh now.

And that is the direction I have to go for work. 

Light snow here.

So, looks like the models have anywhere from 2 to 16 inches here. Just a bit of a spread.

Wow, now that would be a huge surprise. 

3 minutes ago, cmh90 said:

I’ll eat my own shoe if that happens!

Might want to get some ketchup.

1 minute ago, SouthCentralWakeCo said:

Would be awesome to end this event with some snow. Just watched the NWS briefing issued at 4:30 pm and he said that the models over the past 24 hours have trended toward more wintry precipitation throughout the day tomorrow. He said we need to watch it closely and to "not let your guard down." 

Sounds like a repeat of today with the models getting better as we got closer.

I could see getting a couple more inches tomorrow for an encore.

Looks like we lucked out with not getting much ice, too. Changed to rain.

I'd give the tag team belts to FV3 and HRRR. I thought they were the best ling and short range models.

20 minutes ago, NCSNOW said:

Yes and the models did a great job. How bout the FV3 from 7 plus days out. Gonna be a fun winter when it starts in 2 weeks lol.

10 minutes ago, Queencitywx said:

And the HRRR nailed the snow line damn near 36 hours out. Outstanding.

Yes, those two did the best with the long and short range.

Measured 9.5 inches in my yard.

Would be awesome to get a little more tomorrow.

Looks like it might be starting to mix here. 

Pouring snow now.

Snow continues to fall here.

3 minutes ago, FallsLake said:

It's now a race between the next heavy band and the snow/sleet line. I think we'll be able to stay snow for this band which could give us an additional 2" or so. Later we're going to have to deal with an ice storm. NWS now calling for >.25" of freezing rain.

Yes, looks like we are in the jackpot zone for Wake County. 

1 minute ago, FallsLake said:

I only got three hours sleep. But it was worth seeing this overperform. 

It must have came down hard. And it is really fluffy. Looks like the Christmas 2010 snow.

I just woke up. 

WOW! It is a winter wonderland here.

NAM looks to be on it's own right now compared to the other models. 

Looks like I am right on the 4 to 8 line with RAH. GFS looked awesome this way.