Chicago Storm
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm
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0z RGEM with a big jump north with the main storm system, but still south of the GFS/NAM.
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0z RGEM overrunning even orientation going to change a bit again. North some areas, south other areas.
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0z ICON
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There are several pieces to the puzzle. PV well north up in Canada, a disturbance currently cut off well offshore of California, lead waves coming onshore in BC/Pac NW, and then lastly another wave that will dive into the Pac NW from Alaska.
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The 0z NAM actually still leaves a lot of potential on the table as well, with that appearance of that ejecting trough.
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Fairly noticeable height rises this run across the board. Should allow the overrunning event to bump north in some areas and the main system to end up north as well.
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ancient eons ago.
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0z NAM is going to change the orientation of the overrunning event again it looks like.
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OP 18z Euro only goes out to 90hrs.
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18z EPS mean
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Moisture laden for sure, with both a Pac and Gulf connection.
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18z Euro thru 12z Thur...
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18z GEM was about the same with overrunning, but was definitely going to be north with the main storm system.
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Definitely higher for the main storm system. Several posts back I posted a Chicago metro sounding from during the heart of the storm on Thursday, showing a deep DGZ.
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A few appear to be near ~40” based on WxBell maps color scale. Obviously at 10:1 ratio. .
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Sounding from the Chicago metro on Thursday, during the heart of the main storm system. Deep DGZ is deep.
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There might have been some potential still left on the table with that trough evolution in the Southwest/Plains. .
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18z GFS is coming north with everything... Overrunning event and the main storm system.
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all of the OG regulars are back. need an amped NAM run to bring the WI folks out of hiding. .
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just keep it easy as GHD III
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12z Euro is going to be wayyy north with the main storm. Significant changes aloft in terms of trough organization/quality, ejection timing and ridging ahead of it.
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Main storm should be north... Far less positive tilt and a bit faster as well.
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In the end, yea it does look like that. Seems like most 12z guidance made that transition to different degrees.
