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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Posts posted by Chicago Storm

  1. On 2/26/2026 at 4:08 PM, Chicago Storm said:

    statistical information on winter in chicago, since the historic winter of 2013/14...

    like i've said, this is the snowiest and coldest season we've seen in years.

    Screenshot 2026-02-26 160415.png

    bump with an update through yesterday...

    650572502_Screenshot2026-03-20145644.thumb.png.b1dc7f1f9e295d7e0c90acc5beeca79f.png

  2. Looks like guidance finally has a handle on things, as confirmed by how radar is shaping up. Kudos for the Euro leading the way over the past 18-24hrs.

    There’s going to be one heck of a snowfall gradient from NW-SE across the heart of the LOT CWA.

    • Like 2
  3. 2 hours ago, Baum said:

    Not really. He’s basically saying still a lot of moving parts and not to trust anyone solution. Which is playing out in real time. Note the model shifts just in the last 12 hours. Which is why I complemented LOT. Issued a conservative call but with some flexibility if short term trends change. Looks like 2-4 still in play here in Dupage. I’ll take it and than gladly close the book.

    essentially this.

    just take a look at ens guidance currently, and the range that still exists at this time.

    some ens have a non-event south of the wi/il border, some favor cycloneville for, others favor the mchenry area crew, and there are numerous that favor the metro.

    • Like 4
    • 100% 1
  4. Last Feb was actually a better winter month overall for NE IL/SE WI, but for the entire winter I guess you can make the argument that last winter was worse. Not setting the bar very high here though.

    i shared the stats not too long ago.

    this is our best season in terms of both snow and cold in several years.
    • Sad 1
  5. fun to watch the shift in guidance today…

    much of 12z guidance shifted north, except the euro, which shifted south.

    now, much of 18z guidance is shifting south, and the euro has doubled down to shift even more south.

    zero surprise over any of this.

    • Like 4
    • Haha 2
  6. 3 minutes ago, RemoteSenses said:

    Anyone not believing this is going further and further NE - yall are cray crazy. No hope left here.

     

    1 minute ago, RemoteSenses said:

    Literally not a single model expect the recent NAM moving it SE.

    I’m being realistic. If you’re south of mid Wisconsin or Mid - Michigan you can enjoy a rain storm.


    .

    doc, did you switch accounts?

    • Like 3
    • Haha 1
  7. ICON almost looks like a nonevent lol. Parts of Wisconsin still get slammed, but it's without a doubt weaker and north.

    not really north.

    you get that illusion due to the changes in the precip field, which is caused by different interactions aloft.
    • 100% 2
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