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Chicago Storm

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    1/30-1/31 Lake Effect Snow Threat - SE WI, NE IL, and NW IN

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    Snow only lasted 30 minutes here lol the WSW was upgraded for that? Maybe should've been a Snow Squall Warning instead?

    The headlines in place have high “bust” potential.

    The WWA will likely “bust” for most areas with the round this morning/afternoon just due to the fact that the higher accumulations will be very localized.

    For the round between this evening through tomorrow evening, it’s very clear that the best accumulations will be from Downtown/Eastern Cook County on east into northwest Indiana. So, due to how headlines have to be issued, most of the warning will “bust” for much of Cook County.

    Winter 2025/26 Banter Thread

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    16 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said:

    Guess it's only fitting for a guy named king James to be whining and complaining.

    i think it's common knowledge here that many winter threads will go off the rails at some point with some mi winter weather history or some other back-and-forth.

    ...which is why it's a running joke.

    • Haha 3

    1/30-1/31 Lake Effect Snow Threat - SE WI, NE IL, and NW IN

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, Baum said:

    Why not just WSW from noon to midnight in that county area for potential of 6” or greater?

    I'd say it's because each wave will be distinct, with a likely break between them.

    Additionally, the first wave is a guarantee at this point. Though, quality/widespread WWA level snows may not materialize in the end, and may be more localized. The second wave (single plume) is more in question in regards to placement.

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    1/24-1/25 Major Winter Storm - S. IL, IN, and OH

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    If there was any kind of leadership still around, I would request the last 3 pages of our detroit shenanigans in here be moved to the banter thread. Although I think for historic/archive purposes, the Ohio crew had their own thread for this? What happened to Hoosier? I haven't seen him around this winter.

    hoosier was kicked from the board, think it was last winter (?).
    • 100% 1
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    Winter 2025/26 Banter Thread

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    That's all fair, but the pattern itself technically provides the highest ceiling for big dogs on the East Coast? Whether they occur or not is the question or whether they peak offshore. Just not seeing anything that would pull this pattern into one favoring more inland tracks or cutters like panhandle lows or colorado lows. 


    I think they do have a favorable set up for this coming weekend....at least a shot unless it goes OTS.   After that a clipper pattern sets up for the sub, with several, (seen as many as four forecasted on some models).   Then the trough retros further west and the sub might be open to something bigger?

    I’m talking more-so through current time, that it has not been an East Coast pattern thus far. I probably should have been more clear with that.

    With the pattern expected to relax a bit coming up to end the month and begin February, during that timeframe the East Coast definitely holds the best chance for a bigger event.

    The pattern looks to shift and re-load deeper into February, bringing more widespread chances of something better. Until then, we’ll probably be in clipper mode, unless a surprise hybrid pops up.
    • Like 1

    Winter 2025/26 Banter Thread

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    2 hours ago, Chicago916 said:

    Excuse any of my ignorance but how is this pattern not an "east coast pattern"?

    Seems like we're stuck in a NW flow in the middle of the country now and only the East Coast can get lucky when the Sub tropical jet wants to cooperate?

    So clippers for us and occasional favorable flow for LE (soon to end with lakes freezing though?)

     

    Not a good look out West with so much ridging and lack of meaningful mountain snows. Could equate to drought concerns there into Summer without runoff?

    ORD has picked up 8.7" of snow over the past two weeks, thanks to several clippers + LE. It may not seem like a lot, but we are now sitting at average snowfall for the month of January. Other areas in NE IL and the metro have received even more than that (Up by the border & along the lake).

    Did the East Coast rack up a big snowfall this weekend? Sure, but so did a majority of the subforum. A foot of snow fell 4 hours from here.

    If it were an East Coast pattern, none of the above would be reality.

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