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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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  1. 1 hour ago, King James said:

    Downgrading over a degree or two is lol. Hot as shit out, just like the previous 3 days

    the extreme heat warning was borderline as it was.

    personally i was fine with the issuance (and wanted it), but it was borderline in general.

  2. To be fair, there was one severe cell that did go up.
    I'm pretty sure it hinged upon surface convergence along the outflow / differential heating boundary from the early day MCS in Northern WI / MI being sufficient enough for widespread initiation, and it was close as several other cells did attempt to go up.
    But hey, it happens. And it just shows how sensitive the potential is in such a moisture-laden / high instability / weakly capped environment.

    na, it was just a horrible md and outlook adjustment. nothing supported it, not even the wofs that they specifically referenced.

    the area was capped, there was no boundary nor anything to force development across eastern iowa or northern illinois.
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  3. SUPER localized scouring out and mixing in parts of the metro area currently.

    All sites are carrying a 70+ DP, except for ORD and UGN, which have been running in the low to upper 60's. ORD has a current DP of 63, with 70 at MDW. ORD also has the highest area temp currently at 95.

    I cross-checked things with our back-up units here, and they are right on par with the lower DP and are actually running a bit warmer with the temp at 97.

  4. We’re finally seeing earlier and better mixing locally today.

    Monday and yesterday really didn’t start mixing until later afternoon. Today it has been all day, and it looks to be more thorough now, with DP’s bouncing between 66-70° currently.

    With that, today should feature the peak high temp of this stretch. Tomorrow would have a shot as well, if not for increased cloud and outflow potential.

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