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Posts posted by Chicago Storm
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big-time model guidance fail for today's event, and even in event performance was horrendous.
where upwards of 4-8" of snow occurred, the hrrr had only a dusting and the euro had only 1-3", for example.
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More than 1.1 inches of snow in February is not unrealistic.
well, if you’re going that route…
then the amount of snow that occurred in november is generally something that is unrealistic.-
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I thought we were talking about the winter not February.
he’s stuck on february. -
December, yea. You know CAD doesn’t count. You have to be trolling.
i can easily pull that stats and post them -
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So uhh…winter grades? Or we still waiting?
it’s still february. -
2 minutes ago, DocATL said:
That’s pretty depressing considering February’s minimal participation in winter this year.november and february were essentially swapped.
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On 2/24/2026 at 7:30 AM, Cary67 said:
If it wasn't for LES ORD could join RFD in the sub 30 sweepstakes club. Clippers have dusted Chicago a bit more than the rest of N. IL also. Every mile further E/NE under the trough helps. Great winter for Toronto
20 hours ago, Chicago Storm said:that's like saying if marquette didn't have les snow, they'd have as much snow seasonal snow as la crosse.
17 hours ago, Cary67 said:Yeah but it seems Chicago has benefitted more from LES events than normal this winter for being on the wrong side of the lake. I don't have statistics for it though.
15 hours ago, Chicago Storm said:
It would be hard to pull any long term statistics regarding that.
Maybe tomorrow I’ll check to see how much of the seasonal snow thus far this season was pure LES.Roughly just over 4" of the current seasonal snowfall total of 32.3" was pure LES.
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8 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:
punctuated by a few noteworthy events but it's been a real slow go as far as interesting wx goes around here, compounded by the fact that the planet is doing wild events on a reg now, i'm sure our time will come soon enough but this season has been a drag
we've had more winter this season than we have in many years.
stop your bitching lol.
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7 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:
last spring was pretty ace iirc, maybe boring but nice
we had some severe wx events in the area.
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saw some bullshit on the twitter about extremely late season sswe, we're gonna get f'd in april, i can feel it
The SPV already split, and a SSWE is set to occur as well.
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Yeah but it seems Chicago has benefitted more from LES events than normal this winter for being on the wrong side of the lake. I don't have statistics for it though.
It would be hard to pull any long term statistics regarding that.
Maybe tomorrow I’ll check to see how much of the seasonal snow thus far this season was pure LES.-
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On 2/23/2026 at 4:27 PM, DocATL said:
What an epic amazing storm. We may not see this again until next year.
gonna be a helluva lot longer than that.
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On 2/23/2026 at 5:48 PM, cmillzz said:
I feel like that one underperformed slightly regarding snow amounts, even for the LOT CWA. IIRC the wind was ripping apart the dendrites and lowering ratios, so was falling like pixie dust. But then again, wouldn’t have been the same without the big wind, so did meet overall expectations.
compared to some of the snow maps, sure. but most guidance hit well.
i remember when the euro had that thing locked in from a week+ out, and only lost briefly it for a run or two several days out.
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6 hours ago, DocATL said:
We’ve got to scrounge up 6 inches to hit our average for winter snowfall. Not sure 1.1 inches per month will cut it. On the bright side our drought may finally have a dent in it.we had 1.1" per month in nov and dec?
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11 hours ago, Cary67 said:
If it wasn't for LES ORD could join RFD in the sub 30 sweepstakes club. Clippers have dusted Chicago a bit more than the rest of N. IL also. Every mile further E/NE under the trough helps. Great winter for Toronto
that's like saying if marquette didn't have les snow, they'd have as much snow seasonal snow as la crosse.
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ORD had a low temp of 47° on February 18th, which broke the record high min temp for the date of 45° (1981).
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Chicago/O'Hare had a low temperature of 47° on February 18th, which broke the record high minimum temperature for the date of 45° (1981).
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Dusted with 0.2" at ORD on Saturday evening...
…2025/26 Season Snowfall...
32.3" - ORD
24.0" - RFD -
most likely
I could imagine a hypothetical multi-prong, long duration event (overrunning/fgen, main slp/defo, and LES) that could get us into the upper 20s, each of those in isolation can hit 10 and stringing them together happens. Plus the atmosphere is only getting more juiced. 30+ almost certainly impossible tho
but in that setup, you likely would lose the big wind factor. -
been fortunate to go over 20 here a couple times as an adult here on the northside but it's rare air
30+ with 80 mph is tough and hard to imagine
realistically, ghd1 was pretty much the max for our region.-
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reality shall set you free.-
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Feels like it’s been the case for us in the western GL’s. Meanwhile, southern snows and coastal miller B’s are showing up at hour 300 and locking in.
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there has been plenty of false signal all around, as there always is.-
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Posted
looks like this will have significant pull after-all…