LibertyBell
-
Posts
39,562 -
Joined
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by LibertyBell
-
100 degrees is what makes a summer memorable, if it has low dew points even better. I would love 101 degrees with a dew point of 60, we got a lot of that in 2010. There's also a nice correlation between hot summers and snowy winters. We had that in 1955, 1966, 1977, 1993, 1995, 2002, 2010, and 2013.
-
when you look at summers like 1983 and 2011 though, wasn't it went both before and after summer? 1982-83 was a very strong el nino so naturally it had a very wet winter and I remember spring was very wet too. It was only the summer months that had lower rainfall. It makes me think that it gives the soil time to dry out before peak heating season. 2010-11 was of course a very snowy winter and also very wet. I don't remember what spring was like that year except for all the severe weather outbreaks across the south and midwest.
-
it makes sense with a low track to the west, areas east of the low track usually see the least rainfall and it's almost always showery. 1.75 from such a storm track is actually pretty good.
-
Either extreme is horrible, if I had my way we would have controlled rainfalls twice a week (mostly at night) of around half an inch each lol.
-
The heavy rainfall will be Monday into Tuesday, it was nice to pull in a mostly nice weekend. I'm more upset about the Wednesday-Friday weather though. Two days of rain is enough but it's supposed to linger for most of the week?
-
Yeah but we don't live in a desert, the normal rainfall we get is just fine. I haven't watered at all this year. Getting a quarter to a half an inch with each of these rainfalls is plenty. I think some people forgot what thats like-- getting 2-4 inch flooding rainfalls definitely isn't normal. Quarter to half inch rainfalls a couple of times a week is just fine.
-
No only the people on this forum lol. Actually among the general population I guarantee that way more people want 100 degree temperatures than want a 20 inch snowstorm lol. I happen to love both. We have air conditioning for 100 degree temperatures and central heat for cold and snow. It gives us the luxury of enjoying all sorts of extreme conditions. Average or below normal or rainy summers are so boring, there is nothing interesting about them at all. There's no connection between rainfall and 100 degree temperatures by the way, I've found numerous wet springs and summers that still had 100 degree temperatures. When the heat really comes in, it can dry the soil VERY quickly. There is no more powerful object in our solar system than the power and heat of the sun!
-
Most normal people love their hot summers. 99.99% people I know love their summers hot. I'm rather doubtful of soil moisture controlling heat at all, two of our hottest summers, 1983 and 2011 had a ton of rain. But thankfully I do not believe we will see that kind of rainfall because we do not want the kind of horrible destruction that flooding has caused in the middle of the country. Flooding is MUCH worse than any drought ever could be.
-
We had rain earlier. I for one do not want my weekend ruined. Rain Monday into Tuesday is fine and timed much better for people who want to do stuff on their weekends.
-
People who like that much rain are very strange people and make up less than 00000000000.1% of the population I'm sure. Unless you have a farm in Nebraska or Iowa you shouldn't want so much rain, and even then, floods are FAR more damaging than droughts could EVER be. I'm also not convinced that natural rain is better than our own watering, nature is not always better, especially with all the pollution in our air. I was reading that we have no federal limits on arsenic (wtf) and there's arsenic in rain water. Every little bit adds up. I'd much rather have my own filtered source of water, something that I can control the chemical composition of, rather than relying on nature for anything. And I find all talk of drought to be ridiculous when 70% of our planet is covered in water. If humanity wasn't so lazy we could create our own *rain* whenever we wanted by simply taking water from the ocean and properly filtering it to the chemical composition we want. Plus, like normal people,. I love my clear blue skies :-)
-
and clear blue skies
-
if we had a dry pattern though why did we still have an onshore flow? usually you need a downsloping flow for it to be that dry like 1966 was.
-
The reason why some of the more extreme climate forecasts from the 70s and 80s did not verify is because we have natural heat sinks in place (like the oceans) that store that extra heat energy. I liken it to a busted severe weather forecast that failed because the cap did not break. However, those natural systems can only hold for so long and at some point the cap will break and then we'll see an accelerated greenhouse effect. Let's just hope it does not do that for a few decades yet.
-
There are other benefits to having drier conditions beyond simply lower humidity and lower levels of allergens. I've noticed in our wetter years we have much higher populations of pests like ticks and mosquitoes. They are much lower when it's hot and dry. No doubt having a tropical rain forest like climate during the warm season will increase the risk of infectious diseases as not only are these pest vectors more common it's been proven that bacteria are more infectious in warm humid conditions than they are in drier hotter weather because they can be airborne for longer time periods when it's warm and humid as opposed to hot and dry (the opposite is true of viruses which spend more time airborne in cold and dry conditions, part of the reason why the flu virus and other viruses were so bad last winter.)
-
The first heatwave will be in June. A stray 90 degree day after May 20th, possibly near Memorial Day weekend. Nice low humidity pattern will continue.
-
It's like with Citizens United, the only way to beat the corporations is by Congressional action. The US is one of only two nations that allows drug ads-- the other one is New Zealand.
-
Yes, this works for me. Gets rid of some very annoying campaign ads too. I really wish they'd get rid of Big Pharma commercials. I'm aghast they're now allowed to advertise radioactive medicine on TV too. Pluvicto.....which is Lutetium 177 a radioactive isotope of a rare earth element. Side effects: cancer, death, throwing up dead body parts, skin turning red (they forgot to mention glowing in the dark.) Direct to consumer advertising of pharmaceutical drugs really should not be allowed.
-
Thats going to be wonderful in the summer to keep the humidity low.
-
Our first heat typically shows up near Memorial Day weekend so this would be right on time. Looking like wet and somewhat cool first half of May?
-
aren't you always though?
-
oh, 2000-01 is one of your analogs, Ray? December got things started pretty well....
-
so about 10-20 percent for the majority of our area
-
from 0.3 to 1.5 inches, pretty much right on target with forecasts
-
The rainfall totals I saw were NYC 0.80 Islip 0.50 and Lower Hudson Valley up to 1.50 inches. The predictions I saw were from 0.50 to 1 inch, so the forecasts were right on target.
-
Yes, southern NJ and Eastern PA have severe drought in some spots, but NYC and Western Long Island only have dry conditions and once you get to Suffolk County it's not even dry. Reservoirs are up around 95% which is pretty good.
