TriPol

FWIW, I was being sarcastic. The storm is still off of the Carolinas. It's taking absolutely forever to get up here. What we have now are the outer bands. The main event is tomorrow night.

I knew this storm wasn't a big deal.

Definitely wind advisory criteria. LOL

State of Emergency declared for NYC, Nassau and Suffolk.

Issue a goddamn flood watch! What is wrong with these people??

They're literally taking a sub-990 low pressure system making landfall that's dropping buckets of rain with a 1030 high to our north and saying "Meh. Wind advisory." Make it make sense.

???

How can they live with themselves?

As someone as experienced as you are, I'm sure you are acutely aware that even the best weather models disagree with one another over time, strength and precise location of a storm. No model will give you the exact LAT/LONG for a landfalling Nor'East, hurricane, or even a Nor'Easter in January. The idea that this storm is going to impact New England the most is dead. Long Island/NYC points south are going to be the highest impacted from this storm. The NWS is dropping the ball on this completely.

12z EURO on board with central NJ landfall by Saturday evening/Sunday morning.

You're talking about timing. All models take this into central NJ at some point. Just don't agree on the timing. The track is pretty consistent within 50 miles, however.

Actually, the 12z suite (excluding EURO which hasn't run yet) are pretty consistent with the track. Every single model takes the storm into central nj within 36-48 hours.

Jesus. A hybrid storm taking the same path Sandy took. More rain, much smaller wind field.

You mean issuing evacuations? There's not enough time. Absolutely NO model had this slamming into central NJ 48 hours ago. Not even the EURO or EURO AI.

Well, there won't be much subway service Monday morning if that verifies.