ag3
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Everything posted by ag3
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And I'm talking about for those north and west. City and coast are already toast. -
IMO, this trends warmer and warmer.
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Guaranteed. March and April will likely be awful again. But I'm hoping we can finally stop that and have a torch spring.
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Flipped to what? January will be above normal and only had 6-7 cold days. We are +1.2 now with the rest of January very above normal.
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It will be very hard to scour away the pac warmth. Most of February, IMO, is done for winter. Most likely all of it.
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NYC, LGA and JFK are now at 32 degrees.
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Is it raining though? Here it's pure sleet.
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There is usually a big lag. I believe January will struggle as well. Especially the 1st half of January.
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Getting rapidly worse here now. Worse than even last night.
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Bayside and Whitestone also had 18"-21".
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I had 21" from snowicane in Astoria, Queens.
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NYC likely breaks their snow less streak tomorrow morning.
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All snow now here and pretty hard. Surprised.
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Started as rain here in NE Queens. Now it's mostly snow with a little rain mixed in.
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I just had a little band pass and it was all snow. Waiting on the better band to my west.
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I believe NYC will see at least .5" of front end from the 1/25 storm and we will come up just short of the futility record.
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No cold air. Would take a perfect track and a perfect phase.
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There is nothing good about the foreseeable pattern on any model or ensemble. Not sure what anyone is seeing. Perhaps it improves by the end of January.
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Long range modeling looks bad. Not sure what the optimistic ones are seeing. -PNA, +Nao and +Ao
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Probably even worse when there is only a trace through January 10th, like there will be this year.
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Dec. 10th. There were also 3 traces in there.
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Agree, but the odds are against us. Even years with 1"-2" or lower for December, the good winters were rare. Not the norm.
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In the last 50 years, here are KNYC winters with a T or less in December and their Season totals: 72-73: 2.8" 94-95: 11.8" 97-98: 5.5" 99-00: 16.3" 01-02: 3.5" 06-07: 12.4" 11-12: 7.4" 15-16: 32.8" (All from 1 HECS in January, 2016) 18-19: 20.5" Average: 12.5"
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I'm just telling you the stats for the last 150+ years of NYC weather records. 2" or less in December is bad for NYC rest of winter 1" or less even worse. But there can always be an exception with a lucky HECS like in 2016.
