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Brasiluvsnow

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Posts posted by Brasiluvsnow

  1. My local forecast for tonight = " Rain, sleet and snow in the evening, then rain and sleet after midnight. Snow and sleet accumulation around an inch. Lows in the mid 30s. East winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent."

  2. 3 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

    so close indeed, but this is a KU setup. near textbook

    gem-all-namer-z500_anom-8309200.thumb.png.4dbbcc2e8a3ef7b232b52997f8bb7a7d.png

    I will ask the question and I hope that some other people want this answered as well but what exactly is KU ? I apologize in advance for my ignorance 

  3. 26 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

    This was the 18z HRRR.

    Falls in line with my thinking.

    Cut off on under 6" amounts should be on a general line from Paterson to Paramus to White Plains. 3-5" still looks good for places just West of NYC and the North shore of LI. Lesser amounts for the South shore, Central NJ, Southern Westchester and areas North of the Bear Mount bridge in the Hudson Valley, except for the higher elevations in Ulster/Sullivan. South of the Sunrise Highway could see very little. 

    hrrr_asnow_neus_25.png

    When is the HRRR in its wheelhouse ( is it 12 or 18 hours prior to event ) are we within its comfort zone yet ? 

  4. 10 minutes ago, Dark Star said:

    Please no banding comments.  Every storm, someone says it will come down to banding.

    I’m good with “ no banding “ comments or “ Kuchera “ maps but wet bulb temps are a must any other rules before we get started ? Current New City Temp 39

  5. 5 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

    The night before the snowfall that could provide ten times as much snow vs. what we've had this entire winter through almost the end of February and there's nobody posting on the Euro.  Might have to give you folks a timeout, lol.  Anyway, not going to do analysis, other than to say the output is very similar to 18Z, which is good, as other models have pulled back a bit on snowfall vs. 18Z (not hugely, but moreso on the southern fringes, i.e., where I live).  

     

    image.gif.70e75d16766956fb1c85a6a2f6b74937.gif

    You speak the truth but in all fairness I think that people are so beaten down by this winter that they wont believe anything (even if the morning models hold serve) until they see it outside their windows 

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