Brasiluvsnow

On 9/9/2023 at 9:18 AM, IrishRob17 said:

Party on!  Hope the weather holds for you. 

We gave it a shot Rob as the party began around 2 pm at my house  and we were good until 4 pm but then all hell broke loose and we had to take it indoors. It began thundering earlier than 4 and for quite a while so I started looking at the radar and I saw that the Bronx and some other areas were getting crushed,,,,,,,,Im glad I did not cancel as it was a fun time

17 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

Welp models kinda blew it again

Yep they did,,,,,,,,HRRR was not much help along with the others as We got in 2 hours of dry,,,,,,,but at 4 pm all hell broke loose and we had to take it indoors. 

4 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

Party on!  Hope the weather holds for you. 

your keyboard to mother natures ears,,,,,,thanks

1 minute ago, IrishRob17 said:

Do you have enough room inside/ under cover?  I would press on with the party as long as there isn’t a chance that folks beverages get watered down. 

Rob yep,,,,and the thing is that it has been very hard to get this group together something has always come up for a few of us so thats why I am pushing to get us together, and get this in today,,,,I have cover if need be and we can head inside for that along with more ice or wine if needed

Just now, IrishRob17 said:

The HRRR runs every hour so I would look at the 12z on all the mesos and continue to look at the HRRR and the radar.  They didn’t show me getting nailed again yesterday but I did so it’s really a crapshoot. 

Yes Rob,,,,,and the HRRR along with 3k and now the 12K which was previously wetter looks better but I just wish that I could be certain that these pop up storms were going to happen later ( if at all ) say closer to 6 pm than 2 pm when my shindig begins. Thanks for the reply

1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said:

If it were me I wouldn't cancel. The hrrr does have some activity after 4 but it's going to be hit or miss.  But I also understand if you're having alot of people why you'd be weary

SL74, yep my feelings exactly as I have been looking at the HRRR and it looks like I could get it in,,,,,3k and 12K nam show similar to the HRRR. If I knew for sure that the storms would hold off until 5 or 6 ( or later ) I would be feeling better about life

I posted this in the other thread but I am on the fence about cancelling my get together today --- I have a question = If I am concerned about todays weather are any of the Meso models still worth looking at so close to game time / people arriving at my house by 2pm ( New City Rockland County ) or at this point should I just be looking at the radar ? Or should I just cancel my plans ? Thanks

I have a question = If I am concerned about todays weather are any of the Meso models still worth looking at so close to game time / people arriving at my house by 2pm or at this point should I just be looking at the radar ? Or should I just cancel my plans ? Thanks

Just now (2 am ) took the dog for a walk in the yard,,,,tonight is cooler than last night but still sticky out there. Weather Gods appear to be smiling on me right now as my BBQ which is scheduled for Saturday afternoon "might" be dry / fingers crossed. Some models still appear to be showing more dry than wet as HRRR, FV3and 3K are much drier but RGEM and 12K and 32K are more wet. I hope that the 2nd group are wrong and I will be watching the radar from noon onward

Mesos are still looking mostly dry for tomorrow I sure hope they are correct as I said earlier I have people coming over for a BBQ,,,waiting on the later model runs

It absolutely poured here in New City,,,,,,had some nice sized hail as well along with some loud thunder boomers,,,,,this is fine for today but I need it to stay mostly dry tomorrow because I have people coming to my house ---models look much drier for tomorrow just sayin 

32 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

I agree, the mesos are showing some hit or miss stuff.  Yesterday they showed me as a miss but I got nailed so...either way, it doesn't look to be an all day washout.  

Yep, exactly Rob and yesterday it all missed me until late last night. I am going to keep watching things until early tomorrow see how this plays out really hoping to get this in

2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Models have been horrible. I wouldn't cancel

agreed Thanx

I posted this in N n W but am putting this here also = What do you guys think about tomorrow (Saturday the 9th) as I am having people over my house for an afternoon / evening party from 2 pm onward and am looking at the models.....The "Mesos" are NOT showing a washout and that I might actual be able to luck out and stay mostly dry,,,,,,do I have a shot at this = thoughts ?

What do you guys think about tomorrow (Saturday the 9th) as I am having people over my house for an afternoon / evening party from 2 pm onward and am looking at the models.....The "Mesos" are NOT showing a washout and that I might actual be able to luck out and stay mostly dry,,,,,,do I have a shot at this = thoughts ?

8 minutes ago, negative-nao said:

Check out the Bouy near Idalia

 

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/radial_search.php?storm=at5

NAO,,,,,, I have never looked at one of those before what should a novice such as myself be noticing or looking for ? Thanks in advance 

21 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Very dreary day today 

Don't worry Ant, It will be snowing soon 

" Dog Days Of August ?????????? "

3 hours ago, tristateweatherFB said:

Ummmm

My eyes got slightly watery and misty looking at this 

Guns n Roses tonight at Met Life and I am hoping that the showers and T storms now showing and predicted after 6 pm this evening will fall apart and we stay dry what do you guys think ? Is it gonna be a dry November Rain or will I be Welcomed to the WET Jungle this evening ? 

11 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Mike Masco thinks this will be a cold and snowy winter for the east. He likes what he sees right now .

Mikes lips to God and Mother Natures ears to our doorsteps !

Well Anthony and the rest of you / us snow lovers = this article states that Winter might make us snow lovers happy but It is August so all we can do is hope that it's correct. Thoughts ? https://patch.com/new-york/ossining/winter-2023-24-forecast-how-much-snow-will-ny-get

The natives are either restless or those boomers I hear in the distance are getting MUCH closer and man is it getting dark out there as I type

I heard a rumor that Thursday it will be in the. low 80's and get this = the sun will actually be out, who woulda thunk it 

8 hours ago, Allsnow said:

I can see LI getting a storm tomorrow afternoon but west of nyc is skunked 

Well I sure hope so as I am having a dozen people over tomorrow for a bbq and I have been watching the models like a hawk for days