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Blue_Ridge_Escarpment

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Everything posted by Blue_Ridge_Escarpment

  1. Curious on your thoughts but this cannot be good for the mountains and foothills with the enhanced flow into this area.
  2. I would never trust a model in which the ridge is stronger each run and the LP further north and east. The GFS has been horrendous with this storm especially in regards to strength of this storm which is everything. I would not be shocked at all to see a Charleston to Georgetown landfall moving NW from there.
  3. Yep. Look no further than the EPS and the UK ensembles. Definitely show what would be a Charleston landfall. Flo is going to have to get her act going soon as most models have her starting her WNW and eventually NW motion soon.
  4. Wow you definitely can see the south movement there. Good comparison
  5. I’m shocked at the EPS. Virtually every member is SW of the Euro run with a concentration on Charleston.
  6. If we get that, we will be playing with house money the rest of winter. And it's not even winter yet lol
  7. I've seen this too often. Never bet against climo and the NW winter shift 36 hours out.
  8. I knew the GFS would come around. Actually looks like the big CMC run from yesterday.
  9. True. Seems like RS Central high school is usually where the line is drawn.
  10. It's such a tight gradient so it's hard to explain. Picture can explain better lol.
  11. Something weird happens between 42-45. Precip looks great at 42 then poof at 45. Not buying that a bit.
  12. Mark I got a feeling some folks just a mile or two from each other are gonna be disappointed. Going to be such a sharp gradient in regards to precip and BL temps. Fine line.
  13. Euro is not what it use to be that's for sure. I like the UK now a days. We will see. Just glad to have something to track this early.
  14. The CMC and UK are plenty amped. Almost to the point I'm worried about mixing here
  15. Yep about a 50 mile wobble east. Always going to see these small shifts back and forth up until about 24 hours out.
  16. Smh. Id give anything to see Brad P reaction to this map. I bet he's hugging the GFS
  17. GFS a better run. Inching closer to NAM and CMC. It's going to come around, baby steps right now.
  18. Low closer to the coast this run but doesn't translate to the precip field it should show.
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