Icy Hot

MRX put border counties of East TN in a Winter Storm Watch for 3-6 inches. Kingsport 1-3 so that will be a Winter Weather Advisory.

Interesting how often the finger of death shows up in the valley.

Surprise- Snow, sleet, rain and 42 in Colonial Heights. 

Moderate snow in Colonial Heights, 29 degrees, and over an inch on the ground now. 

30 in Kingsport, light snow, ground is now white.

Just a few very fine flurries in Kingsport.

1 hour ago, tnweathernut said:

MRX seemingly overplayed the last system, even when data was indicating reasons to be cautious wrt snow (in east and northeast TN).  This may cause them to overreact and be too cautious on the early week snow potential.  I realize they have time on their side and it seems minor”ish”, but it’s been really cold leading up to this system .......and although we go warm for the first part, most of what falls after sundown with the upper level support passing almost directly over us Monday night into Tuesday morning could cause many more problems for commuters Tuesday.  
 

In short, vs the last system, I think this one has much more potential for impacting travel.

But MRX is only showing a 30% chance of Snow Monday night. 

Kingsport got zilch, other than a few crystals on the back porch. Just goes to prove, doesn't matter how much experience anyone has, or how much money they invest in hi-tech models, no one can accurately predict what the weather will do except the good Lord and He's not telling! Lol

5 hours ago, John1122 said:

Long range GFS is just absolutely epic cold.

Once a decade cold. Brrrrr

MRX has pulled the plug. It's over. Disco: 

Frustrating but also interesting how this system evolved this
evening. The dynamics that the synoptic models where depicting
across the region, especially southwest Virginia and northeast
Tennessee quickly translated across the Carolinas and eventually
Virginia. One clue of this quick translation was the strong
pressure rises over the Tennessee valley. Currently strong
pressure rises are occuring across much of area with deep cold/dry
air advection limiting precipitation development.

End result, snowfall will be less and limited to southwest
Virginia and far east Tennessee Mountains. Have canceled the
winter weather advisories for the northern Plateau and much of
northeast Tennessee valley locations.

The whole system is moving very fast. Not looking good for sustained period of snow. Down to 42 here at 6:24.

58, cloudy, and breezy in Kingsport. Currently 6 degrees above predicted high.

44 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Good God

Hard to beat 30-40 inches.

7:06 am on Jan. 26 and it is 52 degrees. 

For when John1122?

That 4.8" is right over my house.

Snowing moderately. Ground is white. Temp is 36.

18 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said:

The 12z GEPS at 500 past d10 is a beauty.

Sounds a lot like last year. The cold was always 7-10 days away. :( Maybe it will finally happen.

9 hours ago, John1122 said:

Monster winter storm on the Canadian late run.  It's been solid at sniffing them out at range this year.  Basically says western and southern forum doesn't need electricity. Then pounds some sleet down and then snow too further east. Heavy sleet, snow and freezing rain are still rolling almost forum wide at 240, it's only been going for a few hours north at East of Nashville by this point. 

 

216-240 snow total. 

 

Now we just need a 500 mile SE jog.

On 1/13/2021 at 7:25 PM, Waiting on snow said:

Nice rant man! I couldn't have done better myself!

Perhaps consider moving to Colorado or Maine? I've even thought about West Virginia.

West Virginia 

Flurries just started in Kingsport. Temp is 32.

With no cold air source, I am concerned this may be just cold rain for the vast majority of us below 2000 ft.

Winter Storm Watches now posted for NE TN and WNC border counties.

Lol, snow porn junkies.