Thought I would drop this off here. It’s a “season preview” and prediction from a YouTube Met that I personally believe does an excellent job on his site. The cliff notes are he looked and came up with his analogs that closely match the pattern we are in, or going into to. These are his analog years…. Closest years to this year are 1976 and 2002. Next is 2018 and 2009 and last is 2012 and 1965. All of these years except for 1965 basically played out the same. A very active end of March into April for Dixie and then everything moved more towards tornado alley for May into June. All of these years had well above average tornadoes but these years did not have many significant tornadoes except for 1965. 1965 was a weird analog year because it lined up well with our setup and predicted pattern going forward but it was overly active with several significant tornado outbreaks and several significant tornadoes. Oddly enough that MTn and ETn was very active in 1965. Here’s the video, it’s about an hour long. .