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Warm Nose

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Everything posted by Warm Nose

  1. Warm Nose
    Just got back from being out - most roads are decent in my area but have a compacted layer of snow/ice/sleet on them. They're mostly liquid now but they'll become a skating rink if the temperature dips.
  2. Warm Nose
    Just drove from extreme western loudoun to Dulles. All snow at home (800ft) and started to encounter mixing sleet in between round hill and purcellville. Leesburg was steady sleet and by the time I got to Dulles, it's all rain.
  3. Warm Nose
    26.8 / 22.1 and very steady light flakes with around 3/4" already
  4. Warm Nose
    There are many wrecks in a normal day on I81 - the snow just makes it impassable given the number of trucks.
  5. Warm Nose
    26.8 / 20.8 Snowing for an hour and neighborhood road has already caved
  6. Warm Nose
    Surprised these haven't seen a cut yet. I'm guessing half these totals for areas east of BR
  7. Warm Nose
    28.6 / 17.6
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  12. Warm Nose
    32.5 / 16.3 Ready for the Sleet-a-palooza 2020
  13. Warm Nose
    Just west of Round Hill
  14. Warm Nose
    38/17 800' here in Western Loudoun
  15. Warm Nose
    LOL that takes me from 3 to 10 inches. Not buying.
  16. Warm Nose
    Some folks will get upset that this busted, but it speaks to the state of forecasting honestly. The models aren't to be taken as what will happen, only an input into formulating a forecast. Even some mets I think have forgotten that. Models are a tool - not a prediction. There were some like @ers-wxman1 that sounded caution on this early and said the airmass wasn't conducive to a big event.
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  19. Warm Nose
    We always seem to get more dryslotting than projections. Would not be surprised to see that as well.
  20. Warm Nose
    This is a cold rain 'near miss' and/or sleet fest for most here. Fun while it lasted ... it follows a similar pattern, we should be used to it by now.
  21. Warm Nose
    @ers-wxman1 Your earlier comments about the relative strength of the cold airmass make sense to me. This just doesn't seem to have the strength of arctic cold that we need for this close a track to hold for any length of time.
  22. Warm Nose
    Understood, from your earlier statements I figured that was a foregone conclusion.
  23. Warm Nose
    For reference
  24. Warm Nose
    The oft-desired, seldom-seen Purple checkmark or 'magic quadrant':
  25. Warm Nose
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