Mshaffer526

3 minutes ago, LVblizzard said:

I’d be lying if I said the NAM didn’t have me a little on edge. It’s been the first to sniff out big northwest trends in the past. Of course there’s a lot of times when it’s off its rocker too, but you just can’t completely toss it right now.

Yeah... I feel better being out in Lancaster County but would like that trend to slow down or even reverse a bit. 

Catching up on things... Who would have thought we'd go from worried about suppression to possibly hoping for a little bit of it? Would like things to stabilize a bit. 

Have to ask the question... How far can this tuck? The Icon is uncomfortably close to Cape May in the 00Z run. I loved the RGM, but starting to get a funny feeling the heaviest dynamics could work their way out past the I81 corridor. 

18Z Euro is outstanding. What a great day of model runs. 

Just now, Birds~69 said:

Oddly enough Ch10 going w/the same 6-9". First off 6-9" is not a normal range and Ch6 and Ch10 usually don't have the same exact amounts..kinda strange.

Nice. 

Just now, MAG5035 said:

This just happened last month too. Model's putting the bullseye in the Sus Valley for the few days leading up. When the short term guidance morning of the storm was targeting places like State College and in between there to Harrisburg, I thought I might just see my first 20"+ storm since I was like 8 years old. And then the 20-40 inches ended up going from Clearfield- Williamsport-Binghamton while half the Sus Valley ended up mixing. Murgo slipped out a "s*it-load of snow" going over one of the short range model animations on his live forecast for that by the way lol.  

Joe is a great follow on Facebook. 

Bleeding has definitely stopped.  Hopefully things start to stabilize, just a couple more ticks north and a better capture would be beautiful.

Just now, canderson said:

Euro incoming - my bet: it breaks lots of hearts. 

Confluence seems to be relaxing a little bit.  Much needed first step.

Really need that vort in NNE to BTFO.  Really curious to see if that gets stronger or weaker on the 12Z Euro.

Just now, pasnownut said:

supposed to, but was held up due to some tweaks that were needed.

**adjusts glasses**  Doesn't look like it needs any more tweaking to me. 

12Z Nam definitely north.  Push not as strong coming out of Canada.  Hopefully this is the start of something beautiful.

Euro.... Eek. Not much change with the coastal but definitely cut back QPF sharply to the north. 

Just now, bpjones595 said:

Weren’t we all just dumping the icon earlier?


.

I don't know what you're talking about. How dare your besmirch it's good name? 

Really encouraging shift... Rest of 00Z suite will be interesting to watch but it's the 12Z Run tomorrow I'm looking forward to. 

7 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said:

West of the 12z gefs Slowly making it's way to the euro an eps

Northern precipitation extent just got chopped considerably. Would like that trend reversed soon. 

Absolute crush job, especially out towards Chester and Lancaster Counties.  

Juicy at 102.

Precip has changed from a sleet/ZR/snow mix to what seems to be all snow as it wraps up. Ground has whitened up nicely, especially on mulch. Unexpected little surprise.

Appreciate the little things! 

Glancing out at my porch in Gap, looks like a little bit of accretion. Some kind of mix now, looks like a bit of everything

Have moved steadily from SN- to SN in Gap.  Roads still just wet.  Temperature down to 27.1 from 29.5

Moderate snow in Gap, Eastern Lancaster County.  

29/20 in Gap.  Still sniffing virga but not for long.

NAM 3km run is an unadulterated disaster for anyone S + E of I-81/78.

Modeling has been consistent with that warm nose in southern Lancaster County. I feel better being up by Route 30 but that will be something to watch on Radarscope tonight

3 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

Hey Kirby.  Hope all is well.  Youre not dreaming.  Stay home and enjoy the show.  NC looks to be on the northern periphery of the jackspot, but should get enough for the anxious ones to get some snowmobiling in.  

Are you in Akron? I'm not too far from you in Gap. Will be interested to see how our two locations compare.