Mshaffer526

2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I hate my instincts...

It's really not *that* bad.

Just now, Bubbler86 said:

Boom, we lose.  LOL.  We  no taint for the Lancaster folks.  

 

 

 

That's the silver lining of this run.  Get a few inches of nice fresh white snow and call it a day.

4 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

The thing about that model which doesn't make sense is Philly burbs and far burbs don't exceed 6"?

I find that model seems to be much better at focusing on region-wide averages.  It will typically not have some of the crazy jackpot zones that other models have.

I would be ecstatic if this was a low end.

Just now, Itstrainingtime said:

I'll be honest and I don't want to poo poo on the party which is why my posts have been few and far between today...

Since Sunday, I have felt exceptionally good AND confident about this storm.

My faith in this storm is wavering big time today for 2 reasons: overall less QPF being modeled, and more importantly, mixing issues. 

Someone talk me back from the precipice. First one to alleviate my fear gets a free brewskie. 

(Once again), I would rather be where you are than where I am 

Expect the least and hope for the best.  At this point, I just want things to be a mess outside.  A few inches of fresh white followed by sleet, I can live with.

The key difference here vs. the super-frustrating storm from a few weeks ago is that once the snow is finished, you can be at peace knowing it's just about done.  That was sheer, unadulterated agony watching everyone switch back to snow with that storm while I kept pinging.

4 minutes ago, paweather said:

Just get me to the EURO my friend. 

Will it be Dr. No, or will there be a stay of execution? 

Yeah that call is pretty darn aggressive for I-95 and south especially...seems like he is all-in on the thump.

That first guess map is from yesterday AM, if I had to guess he will be moving the SE boundary of the high end stuff northwest a bit.

36 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Here is the updated CTP “Expected” snow map.

 

Definitely anticipating that axis to shift NW by a good bit over the next 24 hours. Climo starting to flex its muscle again. 

I'll be happy with 4" in Gap, hopefully it can survive to the weekend for sledding with the kids. 

00Z Euro was ugggggly. 

6 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:

@Mshaffer526 What's happening over near the Gap Town Clock? 

Looks like we ended up with a hair over 2" here.  

Gonna be interesting to see if the 18Z NAM was onto anything with that sharp gradient to the N in Eastern PA. It really has that wedge of dry air pressing. Probably just noise but we will see. 

32/23 in Gap, eastern Lancaster County. Hoping the QPF can fight its way east tonight. I'll be happy with 3".

1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I'm jealous - my backyard is 75% bare ground.  

I was about to say that was surprising, but then I realized I probably received a decent bit more here from Sunday's storm than you did.  

23 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Even un-failable accu weather said snow on snow on snow this week right? What will family member say

I just checked AccuWeather for my location (Gap, Eastern Lancaster County) and it has doubled down on 6-10" here (61% probability).  That seems...optimistic.

Meanwhile, temperature has spiked to 37 here today.

Hi all. Up at my inlaws in Poughkeepsie this weekend (visiting from Lancaster County PA). Looking forward to tracking this with you all, good luck. 

7 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

Hello and welcome! I think you'd have much better discussion about that area in the NYC forum. You are most welcome to stay, of course ..but we pretty much never talk about the Hudson Valley area. You could also possibly try the New England sub, as that area isn't too far from CT.

P.S  Lancaster county native here...I grew up in West Willow (Willow Street)Conestoga area.)

Thank you! Thought that might be the case. And small world! 

I'm traveling to my inlaws in the Hudson Valley this morning. Needless to say, I'm not happy about missing this at home... Nothing better than morning snow and coffee. And eastern LanCo is looking good. Hoping they at least pick up a few inches up in Poughkeepsie. 

Good luck all! 

Hi all! I'll be visiting my inlaws in Poughkeepsie this weekend (from Lancaster County PA), so looking forward to pulling for this event with all of you. And please let me know if I'm in the wrong forum  

Light snow this morning in Gap. 

1 minute ago, MAG5035 said:

The initial WAA phase of the storm with the primary is where I came up pretty short as better precip kind of split this area (going southern tier and up around UNV and N from there). I had under 2 inches all the way until later Sunday Evening.  A few more inches from that and would've pretty much been on target with what I expected here. Otherwise, the 8-14" call with the imbedded area of heavier amounts ended up working out pretty good. 

I actually grew up in Altoona --went to Keith/AAHS and lived in Sinking Valley for six years prior to leaving home.  I definitely miss the snowfalls up in the valley--especially when it was raining in the city.  My mom actually lived near the Campus until about five years ago, up at the top of N. 4th Street.  

Really impressive how far west the heavy banding got.  

52 minutes ago, canderson said:

This wind is crazy. 35 mph from multiple directions. 

We barely have any wind out this way.  

Continued light snow in Gap.  Beautiful outside.

Woke up to moderate snow this morning. Roughly 7.8" storm total so far. Would have loved more but this has been epic regardless.