BornAgain13

12z CMC ensemble snow mean

It actually did. But how much more will it improve. I guess we will see

This is a ridiculous snow mean. Very unlikely but purty to look at

That's the 0z

As I've looked and looked over data and looking at past storms in this scenario, yes the NW trend does happen more times than none... However, and I hope I'm wrong but I think with this storm, it's becoming clear the NW trend won't come but so far because of just how cold this press is coming down.... I do find it interesting that the CMC ensembles actually increased this run inland lol... But when would we go against the euro and EPS ? I'm happy for y'all who hardly ever see snow. I hope y'all get it! I would love for the whole forum to get an area wide storm with this but that is not looking likely

Lol the UK went poof!

CMC was a step back but still a good run. 4-6" here and the GFS snow line finally made it up to my neck of the woods. The CMC would of been better but it was a little flatter. @Brick Tamlandthis may be your storm!

Anyone have the SPIRE Model? Lol

I'm pretty sure that's a shift NW from where 0z was right?

6z GEFS also improved along with the OP.

6z GFS with a Big jump... Now anyone else looking for encouragement? The 6z CMC doesn't go all the way out but hit the animate button on this. Still cranks this thing up at the end https://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html

I could be wrong but according to what the 18z Euro showed, I kinda expect it to show something similar to the UK.

UK also trended NW from 12z

0z UK. Very sharp cut off to the west. A lot of this is also ice near the coast.

UK with a Big run for Central SC, Central to Eastern NC.

If only we could have 1 model agree with half of what the CMC is showing, then we could say... Woof

My bad .. 42"

Someone in SE NC gets 37" according to the CMC lol

0z CMC

The CMC actually goes Neutral to negative tilt at the last minute and brings a widespread Snowstorm.

The CMC is another big run... Although it's south of 12z but it continues to not be suppressed like the others and shows big totals. Huge Snows for some areas...

It would not have taken much for that GFS run to of been bigger ... It has trended NW each of the last few runs. Will see if that continues in the morning .

GFS looked better early on but then got squashed. Light accumulations for the coast of SC and GA and NC

Outside of Louisiana, theirs barely anything on the Icon.