dj3

It would suck to miss to the south again this year but at this point I would be happy with a long duration light event. Long range continues to look good so hopefully we’ll have more threats coming into focus next week. 

1 hour ago, Rd9108 said:

I dont even want to use the banter section, but this winter is off to a terrible start. There's supposed to be a polar vortex split but who knows if it even splits the right way. It's still early but I'd rather have a snowy December than a snowy March. 

I think reading all the winter outlooks from respected Mets in the other sub forums really had me expecting a possibility of an epic winter. I know it’s early and could still happen but man I cannot remember such a boring tracking stretch in a long time. Since the miss to our south in the beginning of December there hasn’t been a legit threat and that looks to continue for the next few weeks. 

Chances the 3k Nam is on to something with this?

Nice to be back at it with everyone again. Seems like we’ve had a few great tracks already in November just not quite cold enough. Thursday looks interesting for a brief mix at the start and maybe a change back to snow at the end. 

Exactly what I was thinking. We've been bullseyed 24 hour out before with 10 + inches all snow, only to have the mix line move to the ny/pa state line by the time the event starts. I've even seen events thr were going to hit Cleveland three or four days out end up south if us.

It never moved the right way for us!

Yea it definitely seems like we have some bad luck. I really thought this was a great set up for us to have a big one though. It seems like most of our big storms were modeled south and nudged north at the end. Anything else is usually slop, even with good tracks. 

I cannot believe the consistency the models have had. If this was pittsburgh in the bullseye 3 days out it would end up in detroit.