Hoosier
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Everything posted by Hoosier
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This is it Chicago. You can feel it right? I am lit right now btw. Not a usual occurrence. I rarely drink.
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Can we time a warm-up any worse? Hopefully we lay down a nice snow field in the coming days to maybe slow down/mitigate to some extent.
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Didn't you call it garbage like a week ago?
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The low end scenario for this seems like a modest event in the OV, while the higher end scenario is a stronger storm a bit farther north.
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00z GFS is coming in hot.
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Almost all of the 18z GEFS members have a decent storm and a majority of them are on the northern side, which is kind of interesting because as RC mentioned, the GEFS isn't running with the upgrade of the op GFS.
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GFS is on the northern end, but it has actually shifted south.
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That's true... they have trended colder. Doesn't negate the concern though. And lack of cold doesn't necessarily mean all out torch, it just means, well, not cold enough.
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Gotta be a bit concerned about the lack of cold showing up in the days before the holiday. Do we get it back in time or will we be lamenting about how the grinch stole Christmas?
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At least some improvement on the 00z Euro.
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Most of the central-southern sub is going to have more snow in the October 16-November 15 period than in the November 16-December 15 period. With any luck, things will turn right after December 15.
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Fine with me at this point. Some of the northern solutions that have been flashed off and on have been a little uncomfortably north.
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Don't know why somebody doesn't fix those maps. Practically all that stuff down south is sleet/freezing rain.
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Widespread pre Xmas winter storm on the GFS. First things first though.
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I am on board with that threat, which makes it like legally bound to happen. In all seriousness, at least it looks like we are entering a pattern with more chances to snow.
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A rather exciting 00z Euro run tonight. Too bad it's so far out.
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Does look like a limited snow producer unfortunately, even if it does take that kind of track. Models have been flip flopping on track though.
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Big Gulf to Lakes low is back on the 12z GFS.
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A. Snow band is tucked in pretty tight to the surface low on that depiction B. Can't believe I just commented on the 14 day GFS.
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Hopefully that thing around the 13th-15th produces a nice snow somewhere, but even if it doesn't, I look at it as sort of just the beginning of the more favorable stretch. I mean, it can't get much worse than how the first 10+ days of December are going to play out for most of us, right?
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Details are anybody's guess but there has been a pretty good signal for a storm around the 13th-15th. 00z Euro looks ready to bomb the heck out of the thing at 216.
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I wish we could fast forward about a week and a half.
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Too much energy left in the southwest = more northern stream dominance = crappier system overall with snow displaced farther north. The GFS does not hang it back as much but has slowed enough since yesterday to still sort of screw things up.
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Well, 18z GFS still looks decent next week. Euro is hanging back a lot of energy in the southwest which is what leads to its tamer and farther north solution.
