Hoosier
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Everything posted by Hoosier
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Do you have any early thoughts on March/April by any chance? Just very general ideas, like a normalish transition to spring or a winter that hangs on?
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Man that is an epic ice storm on the clown range GFS.
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I'm not predicting that it will trend favorably. Would I be surprised to see a last minute more favorable trend? Not really. Sometimes you will see a noticeable adjustment in the models after everything gets into the RAOB network and sometimes not. We often get the "when will it be sampled" question and there may be people wondering but not posting about it, so just threw it out there.
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Kind of have a feeling that if we get slammed with a big storm, it will kind of sneak up at 3-5 days out and not be one of these fantasy range big dogs.
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If anybody is holding out hope for the weekend system, the northern stream vort that will play an influence won't be in the US until early Friday (Canada for tomorrow's runs).
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Understatement. One of the biggest flip flops you will ever see on that model within 3 days.
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Still have poor agreement on the 12z runs. I hope the 12z Euro looks like the 6z run.
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Can't believe the 00z Euro came in even more jacked for the weekend.
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18z NAM looks pretty bad. Maybe where we want it at this point though lol?
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Significant change from 00z. It is in the better window in terms of skill scoring but would still like to see another run or two of this.
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Sort of a questionable evolution with bouncing around between more of a coastal or inland low for a while, but we'll take it.
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12z Euro coming in with a decent storm this weekend.
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Lake Michigan causing rain 75 miles inland in January would be something I don't remember seeing before.
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I refuse to believe there would be marine influence to that extent in January. I mean come on.
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That's the control, right?
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This is some large coverage of N. Usually above or below will dominate.
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Yeah, it's a risky pattern for the heart of the sub. Could pay off but I'd be very guarded. Not a chronic torch at least.
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Pretty crappy overall though as it kind of gets sheared out.
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Fantasy range storm is going to be farther north on the 12z Euro.
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I'm focused on my inch man.
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Too early for Ron Paul?
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Yeah, Isotherm is off to a decent start. December is going to end up being colder than what he had in the upper Midwest and Northeast but the general warmer than average almost everywhere idea was pretty good. His December and DJF temp and snow maps are below.
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Well, in theory that could put the sub in a battle zone of sorts. Hopefully we won't be taking loss after loss with storms always cutting too far west lol
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Always nice to have the Lake Michigan cheat code when synoptic ain't working out.
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Anyone know what the week by week breakdown is like?
