Hoosier

Here is Wisconsin. Cases are up but hospitalizations have also started to increase. Not hugely on the latter but still.

Wisconsin appears to be rising. It looks like a real increase in spread too, not just more testing.

Death toll hit 200,000 on worldometers today. To think nobody knew what the hell covid was a year ago.

Already over 1200 cases at Indiana University Bloomington.

Cardio work is more fun outside of the gym anyway. At least in my opinion.

Spike in the next couple days may look worse than usual since we are coming off of a holiday weekend. On the plus side, at least Jonger can work on those guns.

Was there a case dump or something in Illinois? 5500 newly reported...

Somebody measured a 25 mb pressure drop in 7 minutes in the derecho. You don't even get that drop rate in the eyewall of most (if not all) hurricanes.

Actually, pushed to September 21 https://www.nbcnewyork.com/news/local/deal-or-no-deal-threat-of-1st-nyc-teachers-strike-in-45-years-looms-over-school-safety/2595536/?amp

New York City is delaying in person school. With how they have contained the virus around there, if they can't go back, that's a real problem.

The average has dipped a little under 1000 per day over the past week, but it is a painfully slow drop.

Out of curiosity I went back and checked the obs from Laura in Lake Charles. It may not have captured the maximum pressure drop rate there since the sensor failed at 132 mph in the eyewall, but they dropped 23 mb in 1 hour. This was 25 mb in about one tenth of the time. Maybe some of the most intense hurricanes have a quicker drop rate than what Josh experienced, but this derecho was something else. We know about the extreme pressure drops that can occur in tornadoes (even within seconds) but I never thought an MCS was capable of something this dramatic.

Interesting. Would've thought that high end hurricanes had a faster drop than that.

Whoa, that is pretty cool. Probably on the order of what you would see in some hurricanes as the eyewall moves in.

Know another person who has it. One of my mother's friends. She is around 70 and the ironic thing is that she's a teacher who recently retired 1 year early due to concern about contracting the virus at school. She likely got it while helping her friends move. Nobody was wearing a mask and one of those people tested positive several days before she did. Last I heard she lost her sense of smell and has a cough. Hopefully it stays at that.

If you notice, the states with the higher rate of deaths per 100,000 were the ones that tended to get hit hard early and are doing a lot better now. That was when there were zero known treatment options and there wasn't a second thought about putting somebody on a ventilator. If, say, the New York outbreak had not hit early and instead happened in the summer, I bet the death rate would have been lower there.

Hopefully the mask wearing keeps the cold and flu rate lower. The less confusion we can have between what illness somebody has, the better.

Do we have herd immunity for the common cold? Asking for a friend.

Yeah, the immune system has some problems with this group of viruses as time goes by. I think it's going to depend on what "success" is considered to be. The vaccine being a magic bullet where you get it once and never have to get it again seems extremely unlikely.

You can make an argument for the initial shutdowns being more tailored than they were, but hindsight is 20/20. It was a new virus and we were flying blind.

The 1660 are not all "new." Per the state dashboard, almost 1000 of those are older results that were added in to the cumulative total. Today, 16,215 antigen tests and 975 positive cases from July 28 through August 22 are being added to the cumulative reports. Moving forward, antigen cases and testing from the most recent 24-hour period will be included in the daily reports. Tests and cases from prior to July 28 will be added to the cumulative reports once they are verified.

I know there have been questions with the number of tests being performed as well as the hospital data, but if the trends are indeed real, then I think we could see deaths start coming down. Unfortunately I believe it will be very gradual and may still average like 800 per day in the "trough"... maybe a bit lower if we're lucky. I'm afraid it will be short lived though because it's going to be tough to keep driving the case numbers down with more things opening up (namely schools), growing pandemic fatigue and fall weather.

3 dozen Purdue students suspended for violating guidelines https://fox59.com/news/purdue-suspends-36-students-after-party-violating-covid-19-pledge/ If they continue to enforce this, there may be thousands of suspensions in the next few months.

Per the Notre Dame dashboard, the latest number is 336 confirmed cases out of 2035 tests. I wonder how these college cases are assigned though? Do they automatically count as part of that county's total or is it assigned to the person's home county? I know that people who have been tested while on vacation had it added into the total in their home county, not the vacation county, but obviously with college you are away from home a lot longer.

Parties, missteps and slow testing: How Notre Dame's COVID-19 plan unraveled SOUTH BEND – In May, the president of the University of Notre Dame, the Rev. John Jenkins, insisted that despite a growing number of coronavirus cases locally and across the country, it was “worth the risk” to bring students back to campus for the fall. “We have availed ourselves of the best medical advice and scientific information available and are assiduously planning a reopening that will make the campus community as safe as possible,” Jenkins wrote in an op-ed piece for the New York Times. “We believe the good of educating students and continuing vital research is very much worth the remaining risk.” One week into the fall semester, the plan unraveled. Students partied. Others didn’t follow safety protocols. Cases immediately spiked. And the university wasn’t ready for the outbreak. Some students reported that calls to the university’s COVID hotline went unanswered. Many complained about waiting days to get tested on campus. Others relayed stories about a lack of preparation at quarantine areas the university had set up. Some professors were outraged they weren’t notified that students in their classes had tested positive. More... https://www.southbendtribune.com/news/education/parties-missteps-and-slow-testing-how-notre-dames-covid-19-plan-unraveled/article_30c4f5a6-e26d-11ea-a12a-af1bffb3d946.html