SouthBuffaloSteve

Don’t know if I can ever recall a January lake effect rain band. That should be 3”+/hr in that core. Not tonight though! .

Be interesting to see how this plays out over the next hour or two. Northern band hugging the shore into BUF can’t tell if it’s just gonna keep cranking into us or slide north... Then that area mid lake heading in WSW but looks like the northern band is then pushing it due west. Down to just a slop coating in the yard. .

Down to 35. But yup it’s a full on down pouring rain right now. .

Lake Effect RAIN band organizing along the northern Erie shoreline in BUF! omg this is sad. .

Well that trip was a dud. Both parks were already barricaded and totally forgot there was a bandits game letting out so canal side wasn’t worth sitting in traffic. Lake level just peaked at 98” pretty impressive for barely advisory level winds. .

Might go down and check out the lake. 12” rise in the last 30 minutes... .

Be extremely short lived up here if we see anything at all. You might have a good couple hour window too see a few inches overnight! .

KBUF just jumped up to 40 at 8pm. Grass is already showing again through the snow. Glad I didn’t waste my time shoveling my driveway. Won’t be much left by the time we go back below freezing... .

0z HRRR shifted the initial lake effect band few more miles north to start. Maybe can catch some fringe flakes... Eh don’t matter I’ll probably be Zzzzing at that time. .

I’m only 2 miles from the lake shore so probably had some influence here. Good chunk of the late morning we had sleet while it sounds like you guys more north only had a brief mix. Better than nothing I guess... .

Little over 2” here. All rain now turning things to pure slop. Winds really picking up now too. Least it looks wintery out there for a change! .

Yeah kinda. This is HRRR early Sunday AM. Still some NW lake effect for ROC and SYR still probably to go after that frame. But BUF will be done by then. Lake effect... sorry enhanced... this year since a pure lake effect event just won’t happen for anyone! The high res runs tonight are all showing this almost lake shadow like anti snow strip along the Lake Erie shore into Metro BUF. Just crazy it’s mid January and the lake will be too warm and push our temps to far above freezing for most of the event. A freaking lake shadow in January. Don’t think I can recall a season we have gotten shafted on so many storms. Transition Zone Special! .

That’s just dirty... .

WOW quiet the blizzard up in Newfoundland! 103mph wind gusts with 30”+ of snow. That’s crazy! .

Seriously why do the models have to relentlessly tease us this year. Toss it... No point in getting my hopes up... .

Sneaky little band firing up south of BUF. After that I’m up from a dusting to almost a trace! .

SEVERE WEATHER ALERT: Residents are being advised to prepare for accumulating snow on Friday night into Saturday morning. Snowfall is expected to reach 5-8 inches and should taper off by midday on Saturday. This snowstorm brings the threat of inconvenience for up to twelve hours. Residents should prepare by stocking up on essential staples to last as long as 0.5 days. It may be difficult to order a pizza due to demand and road conditions, and residents should prepare for at least two meals at home. This storm also presents the threat of cabin fever and dealing with family members getting under your skin. Older males may feel compelled to walk over to the window every half hour and mention the blizzard of ‘77. Residents should also consider rushing to the hardware store for a new snow shovel, even though your old one is either just fine or buried under the crap in your garage, despite the fact that most of you never shovel your driveways anyway. Pets will not want to use the bathroom outdoors and those who are housebreaking puppies adopted for Christmas will regret that decision. Children will be excited to bundle up and play in the snow for about five minutes and their wet clothes and shoes will remain to dry in the same place until the next snowstorm. Those who live in subdivisions will have the opportunity on Saturday morning to complain about the timeliness of plowing and argue about which streets should be cleaned first before the snow melts in the afternoon. The inclement weather will provide an excuse to cancel plans you really wish you hadn’t committed to. Lazy and/or nervous coworkers will pace about and attempt to leave early on Friday. Please stay tuned to Local news to monitor and find further updates. .

Can tell it’s getting desperate out there when SnowHub is sending me a reminder I can request a plow for the upcoming huge 1.117” of snow. Where the heck do they get that number from?! .

Anyone in BUF get anything today? Saw those couple bands floating around. Dusting at best here... Sad state of affairs going on... .

Man they just love pushing the global warming thing at every turn. Not a fan of TV Mets trying to push out their own personal ideas on the subject. My only comment on this would be in questioning the starting time point. Why 1970? The late 70s had the coldest winters on record so of course starting there will skew the results to show a more extreme extent. Airport has temp records back to 1940 why not graph a larger sample of years? Maybe because in the late 40s and 50s we had a spell of milder winters that would give a less shock factor result? .

That’s roughly 1pm-10pm tomorrow. Interesting for sure but as usual with the BTV probably way way way over done... Here is a link that should take you the page. Runs every 6 hours. https://www.weather.gov/btv/4kmwrf .

Yup... .

January 2010. Larger more complex overall system but a unique NW flow band from the upper lakes did linger over WNY for the better part of a day. 17” at KBUF and 31” at KIAG. https://www.weather.gov/buf/lesEventArchive?season=2009-2010&event=D .

BTV! For the Win!!! .

NW trend continues! .