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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Yea, this is shaping up to be a pretty big bust outside of NE MD. AM clouds have really ruined the instability.
  2. NAM-Nest and HRRR like northern MD. Everyone else loses.
  3. Should return right in time for winter.
  4. Pity meso: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2020/md1417.html
  5. 21z HRRR is pretty meh for storms, outside of a rogue cluster in Frederick County, MD in the 7p - 10p timeframe.
  6. If I were a betting man, my money would go on a PW/FFX/PG/Charles County jackpot today.
  7. Convection over RIC / Williamsburg may be choking everything off.
  8. CAMS/HREF love I-66 and points south today. MD into PA and Delaware left high and dry.
  9. Tony Pann sharing the HMON on twitter
  10. IMO, 93L needs to be at least a PTC. Several ASCAT passes show it's healthy, has a tightening circulation and isn't getting disrupted by anything (shear, etc.).
  11. Can you share the recipe?
  12. We have a lot of DCAPE. Going to be some good wind reports today and some interesting multicell clusters.
  13. 80% on the meso: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2020/md1310.html
  14. Yup, beefy SBCAPe/DCAPE = localized woo storms.
  15. Go east of SD and it gets hot fast. During summer El Centro gets into the low 100s regularly.
  16. Looking for a good wx station with fan aspirate temp sensor. Would like to put the anemometer on the back porch roof and have the temp sensor mounted on the side of the house. Any suggestions are welcome.
  17. Truly a hit-or-miss day. With SBCAPE well over 4,000 j/kg regionally the risk for numerous wet microbursts existed so the watch box is more than justified. Amazing how it's so varied across the area. In Reisterstown, we've got about 4 or 5 storms bubbling up around us but nada falling from the sky.
  18. Man it would be sick if something triggered right around sunset. Get a nice overnight light show.
  19. Grew up in Philly. Big urban watersheds that flash quickly and have killed folks swimming in the creeks or fishing. The spike on discharge in Frankford Creek right now is something you only see during tropical storms.
  20. SPC issues Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 03:00 UTC Tues, 7/7
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