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AlexD1990

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Posts posted by AlexD1990

  1. 11 minutes ago, Heisy said:

    6z control is not good, sped up the main wave and it drives the SLP over Pa, so the op was going to be bad. If 12z doesn’t correct I’d likely move my focus to 16-18th. This event was always a long shot to begin with since it was the first wave of the pattern change and we have marginal cold air

    061b74ae4ef35e08fb8e7cf3ad4562ec.jpg


    .

    still 5-7 days out, IMO still bears watching until like sunday/monday if it still looks bad

  2. 22 hours ago, Kmlwx said:

    @Maestrobjwa - 

    Have never had an issue with you and I try really hard not to judge people's style and such. But I will say that I, for one do appreciate that over the last year or two you truly seem to have been trying to learn concepts and stuff. 

    The biggest advice I will give you - and in no part of this post do I mean any malice or ill will - is that like you said in the other thread...weather is weather - we can't really change it or do anything about it. Weather doesn't care if you're due. Weather doesn't care if you "deserve" snow. Weather doesn't care if you got screwed by 50 snowstorms and are depressed. 

    The best advice that I got when I started on Eastern in the 2000s was that you don't have to reply to every post or topic or concept. It's okay to just read. The more you post is not going to trigger the butterfly effect to "will" a snowstorm closer. 

    It is OK to just let other folks carry the thread. I too get REALLY bummed out when we miss snowstorms. You'll notice that I largely go silent in the winter here - but I certainly am in here DAILY and quietly obsessing about the snow potential. I've gotten better over the years - but I will admit I in fact do get bummed when stuff doesn't work out. 

    But I found a long time ago that the more I posted, the worse my "need" to have snow to be happy got. You have some options here - and it's not even a complete list. 

    - Try new hobbies - I've been spotting foxes and animals in my backyard lately and it's been a blast with trailcams and stuff. Way higher success rate than snow chasing too! I also picked up plane spotting in the past few years. Again, not saying THOSE specifically, but they are both more redeeming a lot of times than weather tracking. 

    - Get into more diverse weather. We fail a ton at summer/spring severe weather too...but at least by making it more flexible as to the type of weather that interests me - it's not just snow. 

    - CHASE the snow if you have the means to do so. I know we can't all pack up like Bob Chill and go to multiple locations. But if you have the means, do it. 

    We are unfortunately warming. We don't need to over that. But if you are solely attached to big snow that you "deserve" you're going to have deep depression in the years to come I fear. Gotta take the wins we get and hope for the best. No amount of posting or hand wringing is going to change what Mother Nature wants to do. 

    But I want to reiterate - I truly appreciate that you've been trying to learn and improve. 

    Great post!

     

    Learning to lurk and post less was a huge contributing factor to this hobby being more enjoyable for me, vs when I was a teen...been around since PDII Wright-Weather days, and God I must've been insufferable lol. Lurking and learning has contributed massively to my being able to enjoy the hobby more, and I have learned much more than when I was posting constantly.

     

    But attaching emotional well-being to snow? That's not healthy, @Maestrobjwa. If 'missing' snowstorms really is making you genuinely unhappy and actually depressed? I strongly recommend you follow @Kmlwxadvice and also seek out some sort of professional therapy. As he said, if you continue to base your happiness on snow, you're going to probably have a REALLY rough time of it as our climate continues to warm...

     

    I love snow too, hell I even get sad when a storm misses, and it's even triggered a SAD episode or two in the past, but I found as I got a social life, and wider hobbies, that it became much easier to tolerate and 'move on' from. Focus on those positive things I'm sure you have in your life, and you will be happier.

    • Thanks 1
  3. 2 minutes ago, snowmagnet said:

    That's absolutely true.  Boxing Day was forecast for a big storm for the rest of us and it shifted last minute, so those of us to the west literally had nothing.  I'm from Southern MD and for a couple of years around 2017-2019, Southern MD and the coastal areas had more in one storm than we had in the entire winter. It's rare to have a forum wide event.  Let's hope for one this year!

    Exactly! A lot of us weren't in the same snow drought as the cities. I got rocked in January of 22 and 21.

  4. 18 minutes ago, snowmagnet said:

    Yeah, Georgia. South and east, I guess.  I remember some friends from Atlanta visiting up here that weekend.  They missed out on a rare December snow and I was so depressed at missing that one. 

    I live in this subforum. I got over a foot. Civilization doesn't end at the east side of the Bay Bridge. We may not live in DC/Balt, but we're still a part of the sub. 

    • Like 2
  5. Impressive band developing in S DE heading your way.
    image.thumb.png.f19432c58219d444b1b7a394fdde4202.png
    Ended up having to drive to my second job in millsboro with that one.....fun times! Nice little storm. I'm sad we're shutout for 2-3 weeks now :(

    Sent from my SM-F711U using Tapatalk

  6. I'm going to end up with 8" for the week, and snow on snow. Little to no melting until Monday. Then we go back to who we really are lol.
    Nice little storm. The Monday event changed to rain for us, so this is way better in my book. Estimating 2-3 otg.

    Sent from my SM-F711U using Tapatalk

    • Like 1
  7. 3 minutes ago, Scarlet Pimpernel said:

    I know @psuhoffman is kind of being a bit humorous and tongue-in-cheek with the "perfect track rainstorm" look.  But really, the pattern and flow at that time is horrible.  It's not like it's a marginal or halfway decent look yet we're still getting screwed, where previous years we'd have fared better.  We wouldn't far well in ANY year with that pattern, I believe.

    The way I figure it, if the elephant really is affecting seasonal snow, than we might as well enjoy what happens now. Who knows by the time I'm an old man people may ask what snow was like lol

  8. 5 minutes ago, CAPE said:

    Radar looks impressive down there. Kinda wish I were at DFH brew pub sipping a WWS watching it come down.

    I'm stuck at work, but it is absolutely beautiful falling out the window... goose feathers.

    • Like 1
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