SI Mailman

Today was not a fun day to deliver the mail. Gloves and handwarmers for the win

GFS with back to back storms out of the gulf at the end of the run, the first one looking like a repeat of this weekend.  Would be nice if one of them turned the corner and made it all the way up.

Looks like the Euro slides due east from there.   

Thread started in NE forum.  This has legs at 5.5 days.  Pattern is legit. I wonder if I can bet on Kalshi how people on this forum will be staying up for Euro runs on Thursday.  

Shave 3-5 inches off for New England from the current storm and this is the next 2 storms combined from that Euro run:

1 minute ago, Brian5671 said:

HRRR has another 3-5

so another inch, maybe inch and a half of sleet.  

I'm about 9 inches now, sleet still mixing in.  

Just now, weatherpruf said:

which part? in general....

southern part

8 inches on Staten Island with a few pingers mixing in now.  

Definitely a little sleet mixed in here on Staten Island.  Still mainly snow.  

up to 7 inches here

Just measured 5.5 inches here on Staten Island.  Approaching the low end of my original 6-10 inch call.  

My Snow Map.

I’m being conservative and going 6 to 10 for my backyard. I’ll bump it up if the sleet line keeps shifting south

We're either gonna get NAM'd, or pelted with ice pellets.  

5 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

Wife is at Costco central nj. No milk or eggs left. A lot of other stuff gone too. She got the lactose free junk she drinks. Stuff always tastes like it’s sour. It’s panic time .


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The shop rite by me was mobbed and the shelves were empty.  Ended up going to Aldi and was able to get what I needed.  

Damn clouds rolled in right before sunset. Was counting on the extra 15 minutes of twilight

4 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

we hope for the CMC solution at this point I don't think any of us want mixing!

There's an old saying on these forums, the best snows are where you can smell the taint.  

2 minutes ago, jdj5211 said:

I’m honestly surprised we’re only seeing 12-15in numbers with that amount of moisture and duration. I wouldn’t be surprised if some of those blues start showing up in NJ eventually


Or is it aqua…..

I always feel like the qpf goes up the closer we get to game time for the big storms.  

2 minutes ago, David-LI said:

You already have the 12z run??

 

Euro runs about 30 minutes earlier than it used to

2 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

gfs and ai gfs not being hits is concerning!

Nah, if there's one model you don't want your side this far out it's that one.  Remember how it was hugging 8 inches of snow for everyone 12/27 for an entire week?  I ended up with 2 inches and sleet.  

Currently in little Italy in Manhattan and can report snow sticking to the streets and sidewalks

Currently standing next to CPK and can report snow


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I started lurking on accuweather around 2010 before finding my way here

10 years ago this week, we were tracking what would end up being a monster.