Daniel Boone

I do wish we had a bit more cold in Place. If a Lee side develops that won't be a problem. In 95-96 we had snow producing waves akin to last night but with well established Cold in place. We had several Miller B to Miller A Transfer's . Couple of those were big Dogs that went on to be powerful Noreasters. There were a couple decent Clippers as well. I will say, imo we're on track to have a great Winter Snow wise . The Cuban heat HP that had the deep SE flooded with very warm Temps and aided the mild upper Layers of our area to be as mild as they have has weakened and shifted SE.

Yeah, this one may have Legs for us providing the Jet doesn't shift north any. Incidentally, our first major Snowfall of '95-96 was on the 10th. I measured 7" in Pennington gap.

One more great one !

There's a Couple of Duds in there('16-17, 22-23) as well as a couple of near Normal One's('96-97, 12-13, 08-09) along with a Couple great Winter's ('95-96, 10-11) '21-22 was a good Winter along the Cumberlands and western locations but not area wide . I bet they just did the last 30 Year's with these.

After the shafting we Tennessee Valley Folks got from this one hopefully we get lucky with the other's up the pipeline. I had a light dusting from this one. Blacksburg about 5". Even Danville at about 800ft elevation in South Central VA near the NC Line has 3" and still snowing.

Pretty thick above freezing air aloft. It's been rain and sleet here. Finally got a few Flakes mixed in now. All Snow just 10 statute Miles North of my Location ( Jonesville Va). Wise has heavy snow currently.

Exactly! We've received 0.18 in rhe gauge so far mainly rain and sleet. There's some wet Flakes mixed in now. Temp. 33.2

Area's east of the Appalachian Spine have very low DP'S. Definitely going to help them get all Snow all the way down to possibly Winston Salem NC. Too bad we were stuck with high DP's . Would of made a difference irt cooling. That or just have been 2-3 degrees colder at all levels than it is. So close but yet so far.

Everything appears to be a bit North of what guidance had been indicating. SEKY across Wise County should do decent Snow wise.

Light rain and sleet here now. I was a bit concerned as the Temp was running a bit high here and Dews were above Freezing. Would have been better to of had a drier airmass at lower level during onset. Current Temp is 35.7 with 33 Dp. Wise is currently 30 last report.

Same here John. I lived in downtown Pennington gap then at an Elevation of just 1360 and recorded 52 inches for the Season. Much of the Area received more due to Elevation. Wise set State Seasonal Record with 123.4 inches.

95-96 would be great as the warmups were short lived. Below average Temps Dec, Jan and February. Blocking was very prominent then.

Yeah, if it goes to high amp 6 most definitely. If you want a cold late December and much of January better hope that doesn't happen as high 6 Pattern will be hard to dislodge if blocking is gone, the PNA negative and the AO Positive particularly if it traverses into the colder phases at low Amp afterward.

I see several Mets are apparently ignoring the MJO or not looking at it at all as they're continuing harping that the Pattern will flip to Trough in the West soon. I like Ryan Hall but, he's one for example. He doesn't even give a Reasoning other than bound to. Other's are basing on a Couple of Model Runs or an Alaskan Vortex. I agree the Vortex if gets situated in Alaska will alter the Pattern but not necessarily flip it trough west/ridge east. It could possibly flatten the Flow to weaker eastern Trough. Ryan and the Other's could be suggesting a short lived Flip of which is possible even with the MJO Stage and Greenland Blocking. But why not specify that ? I wonder if their bias is coming through or they're wanting their Winter Outlook to be spot on or just doing the what goes up , must come down. Anyhow, enough rantig on a Subject fitting for later lol. They may turn out right. Back to the main here and now Interest unfolding.

Yeah, it appears to be developing sooner than Forecasted. Could be Virga for some time due to a dry Layer. However, Cloudcover did fill in quicker than expected so precip may very well as well. KMRX should hoist Advisories shortly .