Daniel Boone

Not really unless the GFS scores a Coup.

Yeah, looks crappy. You'd think with the setup even on it, there would be more upslope Snow than depicted. Looks too dry and probably a bit warm . Those are biases of it.

Looking at the upper air Charts at 36 hrs out there's a minor difference between the two that appears to yield to the drastic difference; The Vort in Alberta orientation. The Strong LP west of Californica appears to be the impetus for that in comparing the EC and GFS there. Shows how minute details can evolve into major differences.

She's ticking West on the GFS. Now has measurable (1"+) Snow back to the Plateau. 8-12" Wise to Bluefied. 1-3" Great Valley Locations in NETN /SWVA. 2-8" SEKY. 6-14" TN/NC Border. Blizzard for Northern VA and DC with up to 3 Feet. Alas, it is the GFS...

MA and Ohio Valley has had a Cold one for sure. TN Valley had near normal overall. SE cold further East you go for most part.

March and then November historically. Early December has as well .

I started to pull the trigger on my thoughts irt this Storm yesterday but felt so bad I just couldn't. Besides, really needed another day with those Thoughts, lol. This may be similar to the December '92 Storm. Big Storm just North and NE of us. We did manage a few sloppy inches from backlash in Northeastern Sections of the Great Valley. Man, that GEM Depiction makes me salivate. That's a Blizzard for the MA and NE and not far from it here. I'd be jumping for joy in the MA now. It's looking grand for them .

This was from March 2, 1942 Norton, VA.

Norton VA, March 2 1942.

Yeah, seems to never fail when you have a mild late Winter. I hate it as it's like a slap in the face. However, even with that, if there's late Snow I can still enjoy that. Lol

Yeah, excellent textbook shot of the Terrain effects.

Basically downstream domino effect to put it simple as I'm sure you probably assumed anyway, lol. Doesn't always work but more times than not if that Depiction is realized. It's pretty obvious what can knock it off Kilter and we've addressed that before. Also, Model's, as has been the case quite alot lately, can be off on placement of those Features. Holston, man , we appreciate your analysis and input here more than you probably know. You are an unbiased, very knowledgeable Asset to the entire Forum . Top notch !

Yeah, that's been the theme regarding it all Winter basically.

Usually doesn't favor cold here. Wavelengths will be changing too. If blocking is ongoing in the NAO Domain, could be some wild swings as well. Pop that big HP East into Alaska and a different ballgame.

Yeah, early to mid March looks like at least a Couple possibilities imo.