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Itstrainingtime

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Everything posted by Itstrainingtime

  1. Cold and wind overperformed today. Definitely felt like winter.
  2. Still snowing in the Poconos - lots of 8-10" reports coming in out of NE PA. Good 'ole Starrucca PA was reporting 9.5" at 3pm. Have to believe a few high spots are at or will eclipse a foot. Edit: One of the heaviest bands of snow in the NE is actually rotating into NE PA/Poconos right now, so there will be double digit totals.
  3. On the other hand...we do wind very well down here! Through 3 PM, max gusts have reached 38 mph at the 'Ville, 41 mph at York Apt, 47 mph at Harrisburg Int'l Apt, & 52 mph at Lancaster Apt.
  4. Lanco gets completely screwed so obviously, that can't be...wrong. LOL
  5. Wanted to follow up on this. I store so much information in my head...have to keep on learning is my mantra. One thing I'm seeing a LOT of today while perusing the NE and NYC subs is this - much of the disappointment is not because it's not snowing but because it's not sticking. White rain abounds in areas where temps are marginal and intensity is not moderate to heavy. I think most in this thread know this but it's something to keep in mind...one of those recent GFS runs for next week had midday air temps around 34-36 degrees in the LSV. We'd be in trouble if that played out like that. Temp will have to be lower and we'll need big time rates to compensate for the date. Back in 2018 I was accumulating nicely midday first day of spring but it was legit +SN and it was 31 degrees. A lot of those reporting stations up there where white rain is falling are at 34-36 degrees...
  6. Also, correction to my snowfall totals for Mammoth - the mountain will eclipse the 800" barrier tonight. 67 feet of snow and they have a good month or so left to add...and they will add quite a bit next week with 2 more storms in the pipeline...
  7. Speaking subjectively and only for my location, today is definitely a day where both the advisory and reality match. It's friggin howling outside.
  8. It's fine for now - juiced up SS shortwave is what we want. Still a lot to work out and need to go right timing wise but at least it's a single vort in the south and we're not worrying about a stupid transfer or something like that. Yet.
  9. I was searching for a clever response but I ain't got nothin'. But yes...definitely getting ready for Mammoth and so much more.
  10. 36 and blustery at noon. WFH today and was comfortable outside in a sweatshirt and shorts.
  11. Current storm has already dropped over 2 feet in parts of New England with many more hours of snow left to come...
  12. Very low expectations - pretty much everything we need to go right has to, or it will either be a rainstorm or suppressed. When was the last time everything went right? Then again - maybe we're due...
  13. That's why I've been actively rooting for any rain we get. It has been dry. I'm not surprised to hear that. The entire LA basin depends on mountain snowmelt for water - I just read this morning that the snowpack on Mammoth Mountain now has over 90" of QPF in it. The all-time record is 98" of QPF which was set in 1983. There is a potential for significant long-term relief in the So Cal populous...but at what cost will that come if all of that water comes downhill too quickly?
  14. This is where I'll be staying in May: https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/the-village
  15. Crazy stuff! Both of the guys that I've been following really seem to take all of this in stride. It's just another day living in the mountains...
  16. Yes sir. Not to bore you with meaningless info, but when watching these videos it's helpful to know this about the area: Mammoth Mountain is 11,053' in elevation. The ski area extends from the summit down to Canyon Lodge, which sits at 8,300'. (Main Lodge is at 8,900') The actual town of Mammoth Lakes sits at about 7,800'. Snow levels during the most recent storm rose to about 8,000' for a time on Friday, the town itself had a few hours of rain/snow mix. The town "only" received about 36" from the last storm, it was 5-1 ratio stuff as there was over 6.5" of liquid in that snow. That type of snow they refer to as "Sierra Cement" if you hear that in the videos you watch. There is also what is referred to as "The Village" which is a large area of rental condos and rooms that sits at 8,100' and is what you can view on mammothmountain.com cams - and that is where we'll be staying for 3 nights in May. All of those elevations are actually important as during a lot of Atmospheric River events, the snow level often rises to about 8,000'...so during a lot of storms, it's snowing like crazy on the Mountain and down to the Village while the "town" of Mammoth Lakes might be in a messy mix. Mammoth Lakes is expecting 20 -30" today and tonight. The mountain is expecting 42 - 54". On the mountain itself there will be close to 750" of snowfall for the season by tomorrow. More storms are expected next week and they are to be colder storms, with snow levels falling well below the town, so Mammoth Lakes will be getting a lot more snow in the coming weeks. So far, the flooding has been below the 6500' level. Once Mammoth Lakes gets into a bona fide thaw and/or has a significant rainfall, it could get ugly in town BUT unfortunately, it will be far worse down lower as of course...all of that melting snow in Mammoth Lakes and ultimately out on the mountain itself is going to go downhill from there.
  17. 34 and very windy this morning. 62 days and I'll be in Mammoth Lakes, CA. Here are 2 channels that I follow: (both live in the town of Mammoth Lakes) This was just uploaded this morning from yesterday:
  18. If there is a Lancaster is Connecticut, I have zero doubt that you just circled it.
  19. There is NOTHING beloved to me regarding snow maps - though looking at latest guidance, I'm likely going to be wrong. I'll stay with my call and see what happens.
  20. I just saw this - I don't know...I think NE PA is still in play for a 1' plus in spots. Wouldn't be surprised if some places report 14-18" like Mt. Pocono.
  21. I have a dogwood budding out front that is a good 6-8 weeks ahead of schedule. I've seen other vegetation come up early over the years but I've never had trees budding in mid March. Crazy.
  22. Storm won't get going until tonight. This is a Tuesday/Tuesday night event for the NE.
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