lakeeffectkid383

Got down to 40 here as well. KBUF dipped to 42 which breaks the record low of 43 set in 1946.

You would need a second air handler unit which would be thousands lol.

I never had it growing up until I bought my 2nd house with it and once you have it you can never go without it again IMO. We have it in our current house and our master bedroom was an addition put on about 15 years ago and the HVAC is very weak to our room so at night it wouldn’t drop below 74 or 75 even with the AC set to 68 degrees (the thermostat is downstairs in the dining room). We actually just bought a window air conditioner 2 days ago to supplement the central air for our bedroom because we like it so cold. Our daughter sleeps in our room so we can’t keep it below 69 or 70 but if it was up to me I would keep the whole house on 64 degrees 24/7. I love it cold in the house especially to sleep lol.

Wow some of that looks like about golf ball size which is about 1.75” diameter. That’ll bust out windshields real quick, thanks fully the hail here was much smaller and caused no damage but was definitely loud as hell on the roof. Flash Flood Warning now up as well 1.9” of rain here in about an hour.

Storms from the NW to SE are always our best producers. That gave us the several tornados (Hamburg, Holland, Allegany Co) in 2017, the crazy Cheektowaga tornado of 2006 ( I believe ?) that crossed over the Thruway and hit near the Galleria Mall. Wonder why we always get our best storms from that direction? Maybe just because that’s the direction MCS’s and Derechos like to travel in our region? Either way what an awesome surprise and a great memorable storm, especially from the constant thunder and lightning.

Pounding nickel/quarter size hail here. Sounds like someone has poured a huge bucket of golf balls on our roof. Wow.

Probably the most constant roar of thunder I’ve ever heard. Unreal outside right now for sure, what a treat.

Especially not over the Niagara Frontier where the stiff SW winds over the 50 degree lake will all but kill any kind of impressive convection. Best chance at something is over the Southern Tier and Finger Lakes over towards Cuse.

My daughter was born on Sunday. Healthy girl 6 lb 8 oz. Brought her home from the hospital today in what may be one of the hottest days of the year lol (hit 94 here). This just 2 weeks after a day it snowed in heavy squalls that accumulated throughout the day. Excited to have another little one to share my weather obsession with when she gets older!

Sad but true.

0.81” here in the bucket since midnight. Yards a swamp again.

It could just be my own foggy memory but it seems like this is a common thing the last several years. Almost no spring, we go right from snow to 80s in 2 weeks. Maybe it’s because the last several years it seems we’ve had really crummy springs that have been well below normal so by the time the pattern flips we’re already getting close to summer solstice (1 month away right now).

I definitely can’t see people working out wearing masks. They feel restrictive to most people. Who wants to wear that while working out? I could see a temp check at the door and sanitizing wipes to wipe down equipment in between use, but on a personal preference level, like the shopping cart wipes when you go into a grocery store.

That’s that guidelines from the CDC based on the incubation period from the virus so that if we open things up tomorrow and in 2 weeks we haven’t seen a noticeable increase in hospitalizations or cases relative to test than we know we’re okay to proceed to the next phase. Cuomo did say theoretically it could be quicker in between periods if there’s still a strong decline over the period after each phase is open so I’m assuming if we still show a strong decline in cases/hospitalizations over 10 days there’s a chance we could move to the next phase sooner than the full 14 days.

Cuomo just announced from Roswell Park WNY has met the contact tracer metric and WNY is opening phase 1 tomorrow! He also said they will be opening up NYS to sports with no fans allowed. Sounds like there will be an NFL season but with no fans. Would be weird as heck with no fans but better than no football. However with Buffalo sports luck we will win the division for the first time since 1995 and then have a home playoff game for the first time in 25 years and no fans will be allowed lmao.

It doesn’t really matter to me either way. I’m still taking every precaution and will be extra cautious until after my daughter is born (due in 3 weeks and she can build up somewhat of an immune system (6 months +). Am glad for the majority of people though who don’t have a year + worth of savings and need to work just to pay rent/mortgage. There’s no doubt that we must be strategic and thoughtful as were reopening but I do think now is the right time as we have seen a steady decrease all of NYS the last several weeks including WNY the past 2 weeks (save from a 2 or 3 day little “blip”). Will be interesting to see if infections increase as we open, level off, or continue to decrease as they have been.

Stupid, when we only had 4 or 5/7 they contract tracing category was listed as “expected” instead of a green or read check mark but counted as one of the 4 or 5 “green checks”. Now that we’re meeting all the other criteria the contact tracing category still says “expected” but counts as a red “x” instead of a green check. So technically I guess we still only have reached 6/7 metrics but not sure why that is when the expected contact tracing capacity was counting as a metric that was “good to go” but is now the only thing holding us back.

WNY hit all 7. They used stipulation in the metrics instead of 14 day decline in hospitalizations we met it using the criteria of 3 day rolling average less than 15 new hospitalizations today. Not sure when we are actually going to begin phase 1 but according to Erie County Executive Mark Poloncarz we have met all 7 criteria needed to reopen.

I’m pretty sure mobile cell phone data.

06z GFS would bring historic flooding to BUF verbatim. 7” and counting ... this on an already saturated ground. Obviously highly unlikley we get that much but I don’t think I have ever seen that much QPF modeled before. 6” of this falls in like 24-36 hours.

Not good for WNY. We were previously meeting 5/7 criteria for reopening. Now we’re only meeting 4/7. Not only did they just reset the 14 day decrease in hospitalizations yesterday so that we’re now at 0 again but today they removed the green check mark and gave us an “X” for decrease in deaths, just as I had feared they would last week as we’ve seen an increase over the last 2 weeks of deaths. Not the way we want to be going right now. There’s virtually no way we open this month now.

Civil War? I agree with what your thinking and could totally see that happening. It does seem that the blue states are harder hit, likely because they are generally in the northern part of the Country as well as generally more populated/densely populated than red states. I can definitely see things waning this summer and people get outdoors more and get more vitamin D and are still practicing social distancing. However over time people are slowly going to go back to their old habits pre Coronavirus and not wear a mask as frequently/washing of hands. This combined with everyone gathering back inside again come fall I really could see a second peak coming but I don’t see the Country shutting down for it again unless it is somewhat worse than this first wave. I think some of the shutdown was also due to the unknown. This all came so quick and we had so little time to figure out what to do the best thing at the time was to just shut everything down to prevent as much spread as possible. Now that we do know more about the virus, we do more with masking up/washing hands/ social distancing, and a percentage of the population will already have antibodies I’m not sure the second wave will be as bad as the first. Also brings me to another thing, if people have antibodies now will they still protect them (if they even do in the first place) in the Fall/Winter if there is another outbreak as that could be 5-8 months down the road from now?

This was actually a growing concern as luckily the the peak of Covid is/was coming as Flu was really on the decline. If we have a second peak of Covid in the fall/winter I wonder how hospitals are going to fare as they’ll likely already be fuller from Influenza patients..

I agree, and I’m not sure once we do reach the milestone and enter into phase 1 if we have a 3 day blip if they’ll close it back down or delay the start of phase 2, but not sure. It’s gonna be a long time before we see things even close to back to normal around here. If we’re lucky we reach phase 4 at the beginning of August which is entertainment and recreation. Doesn’t really matter though as everything will likely be cancelled before that anyways. You can pretty much kiss this summers events goodbye, no Canalside concerts, no taste of Buffalo, no Ride for Roswell, no Italian Fest, several towns/villages already cancelled their 4th of July fireworks/parades... you can bet the Erie a County Fair, Wingfest, etc will all be cancelled and if I had to guess right now I’d bet the NFL season gets cancelled as well, or at best they play with 0 fans.

They’re using a 3 day rolling average so a day or two blip should not mess up a long term trend however if you have 3 + days of increases obviously that wipes it out. Also I was surprised to learn today that the 400 deaths in Erie County are all in hospitals and do not include deaths in nursing homes. Could be people that were in nursing homes, transferred to the hospital than passed away and it would count towards the 400 but if they pass in the nursing home itself that doesn’t count towards the death count. Also probable deaths are also not counted to the true death toll is likely quite a bit higher but I do agree the way they’re doing it is going to be quite tough to achieve.