CTWeatherFreak

Wasnt the 12z mean a lot better for a lot of SNE? I think it was way better back here, anyway.

Looks awfully desolate.

Congrats all SNE:

Lol.. Have to ask.. When is 3-6 not serious snow for NYC?

It does apply to folks like Smith. I think you have to look at the influence of money on every argument thats made. Andi its not just the scientists as individuals who have something to gain; consider that many of the projects they work on are funded by special interest groups, ie lobbies.

As with most things, if you want to know whats going on, follow the money; big bucks involved with alternate technologies. Specifically, in the article, its being claimed the data was fudged so as to better fit the Obama narrative leading up to the Paris climate change conference..

This has been reported on several sites. http://www.nationalreview.com/article/444668/whistle-blower-scientist-exposes-shoddy-climate-science-noaa Truth, Politics, or both? Thoughts?

I was just going to mention that memorable 2013 Death Band you bring up... How awesome was that.. So, yea, sometimes this oft mentioned CV snow shaddow is a factor and sometimes it isnt... Id be curious as to what you find out.

All I know is several of the models seem to have shown it pretty well. I know because the weenie in me freaked out more than a little each time it was there.

One thing that stands out to me is how well the models 'saw' this Ct Valley snow hole now showing up on the radar:

I agree.. A lot of mets and good contributors here were throwing doubt into the mix much to the dismay of weenie posters after the Rgem starting going east. Nobody believed when the Nam wavered east because it showed the usual lack of consistency; Ukie was largely ignored with its east portrayal, and of course, the Goofus was just thought to be demonstrating its fickle nature, especially since it hasnt earned any trust since the upgrade.. . What surprised me is how Upton, for example, rode the big numbers well past the point where mets here starting urging caution, even upping their numbers late in the game.. Thats hard to figure.

Which is pretty much what was done this time, and we know how that worked out (for those west of I91 at least). So nothing changes going forward? Maybe we change the weighting factor of the various model regimes? Maybe we become less wedded to the erstwhile King? Or maybe we just accept the bust as an invevitable although only occasional part of forecasting and keep on doing the same...?

What do we do when the generally recognized Master of East Coast snowstorms busts this badly? Who do you put faith in for the next one, etc, etc? I know. its Meteorology, not Modelology... But when the best guidance for east coast storms busts so badly on an east coast storm, and guidance becomes misguidance, you dont know whether to shxx or go blind. Do we ride the short term mesos? But how far out? Do we give the new Goofus more love (hard to do with it flip flopping as it did in the days leading up? Very tough situation going forward.

NAM persistently showing nothing but disdain for central Ct/Ma....