dwagner88

Heavy rain! Finally! First time since August 28th!

15 hours ago, John1122 said:

Hopefully the 00z GFS is correct. Way more rain next week than it had been showing and some snow showers for most of us. 

That's good because today's threat is evaporating quickly.

I don't even care about cold/snow at this point. I just want rain.

On 11/11/2023 at 10:27 PM, Carvers Gap said:

WSW criteria revised...
 

https://www.foxweather.com/weather-news/winter-storm-warning-criteria-nws-new?dicbo=v2-rnjt34q

This is good. I no longer need to get twice my average annual snowfall to see a warning.

0.05" here over the last 2-3 days. Didn't even knock the dust down.

Dryness is easily at 2016 levels here. No surface water remains in any ponds near my house. They are totally dry. Not sure how the wildlife is coping with it. Even larger creeks/streams have very little flow remaining. I had 5.23" of rain in August, none at all in September, and only 0.54" in October. 7 Day WPC is also bone dry. Yikes.

38 this morning. I didn't get up early enough to see if there was any frost, but I doubt it. There was a slight breeze.

0.16" in the gauge yesterday brings my rainless streak to a close. The last measurable rain I had before that was 8/28.

No measureable rain this month IMBY. I think that may have happened in the 2016 drought, but at a minimum I have tied my driest ever month.

97 over 78. Heat Index 115. I'm coming to John's house.

My PWS is 90.5 over 78.5 DP right now. Running way ahead of this time yesterday. HI calculates at 106. It's going to crack 110 at this rate.

16 hours ago, John1122 said:

Hit 87 today. I feel like Friday is almost guaranteed to be 90+ but I'm holding out hope for a summer sweep. 

The GFS was 10-20 degrees too warm across the region a few days ago. It tends to go way to extreme with cold and heat since the last upgrade. 

Yeah it seems very unlikely that we hit 100 here. So far my warmest day has been 92 with this heat wave. I actually hit 95 back at the end of July with an 80 degree DP. That was the hottest day of the year so far. Calculated HI of 115. I'm sure my PWS was exaggerating the DP, but that was a brutal day. The DP's have been lower with this round of heat. 

I am running on a nearly two year streak of no triple digit temps. Last one was October 2021. That may end next week.

Utterly spectacular lightning show tonight. Best one in years around here.

23 hours ago, 1234snow said:

You can click on the timestamp on the bottom right and it brings up a calendar where you go chose the date and time. Pretty cool.

I must not be paying for this feature. I think I grandfathered into Pro Tier 1, not Tier 2 because I loathe subscriptions. I've had the app since 2015 I think.

EDIT: Nevermind. I don't even have tier 1. Apparently there are two subscription levels now.

18 hours ago, Wurbus said:

I live probably about 2 miles north of where the Tornado went through and had no idea it was happening at the time. Luckily, the wind wasn't too bad at my house, we just received around 1.2" of rain in about 20 minutes.

Nobody knew it was happening. It was a rare miss by MRX. No warning was issued.

Evidently there is a lot of tree damage at Fall Creek Falls state park.

12 minutes ago, Matthew70 said:

It’s amazing how wet this summer has already been.  If we don’t dry out some it could set us up for some major flooding issues going into fall & winter.  Long way out but I don’t see the wet weather shutting off anytime soon. 

 I don't know about that. There has definitely been a lot of intense local flash flooding this summer, but all of the creeks and ponds around me are below normal levels. The MS river is also still really low. We would really need a more widespread precipitation event from a tropical system or two to bring about major flooding. Otherwise I suspect it will continue to be isolated to small areas that get dumped on. Like Union City yesterday or Greene County earlier this week.

In other news, 1.20" in the gauge today. We really needed it. The ground soaked it up like a sponge.

Opposite story here. 2-4" forecast. Only 0.10" recorded. My grass is still crispy.

That MCS last night was super disappointing. Light breezes and 0.04" of rain. And this morning's rain appears to be on a trajectory to mostly miss as well.

19 hours ago, dwagner88 said:

June is officially a shutout for 90+ temps IMBY. Only hit 86 today thanks to the MCS. I wish I knew what the statistics were on something like that. I bet it's rarely if ever happened before this far south.

And just like that the streak is over. 91.2 right now with a HI of 105. DP is soaring at 77. 

June is officially a shutout for 90+ temps IMBY. Only hit 86 today thanks to the MCS. I wish I knew what the statistics were on something like that. I bet it's rarely if ever happened before this far south.

1 hour ago, Carvers Gap said:

One more day without a 90F reading, and TRI will pitch a shutout.  Temp tomorrow is supposed to be 89-90F....gonna be close.  Warmest temp at TRI was on June 3rd with 89.  IMO, we just dodged about four weeks of summer.  In my book, that is a win.

 

John, I like that kind of temperature bust.  

Still holding on here too. We hit 89.2. A well timed shower or two over the next few days could mean mid July for the first 90 degree day.

It has been hugely delayed in it's arrival. Still no 90 degree reading IMBY this year. That streak looks to come to an end on Thursday with a high of 94 predicted for KCHA. I typically run 2-4 degrees cooler. We almost made it to July 1 without seeing 90. I can't ever remember that happening before.

Backtracking to the freeze damage conversation, I moved into a newly constructed house last fall with new landscaping. Of the 10 shrubs that were planted, only 4 remain visibly alive. 2 others have very little foliage, and the remaining 4 appear quite dead. I have also seen totally dead magnolia trees around town. Not sure if that's related.