EastonSN+

Too soon? Worried that we may flip to an eastern trough in spring. If only we could delay this till March.

Really warm starting February 1st 12:00 am EST.

You forget there are actually 2 viable options. 1. Rain as you mentioned. 2. Hits southern middle Atlantic and OTS.

Yeah a warm 2 weeks for sure. Then hopefully the shorter wavelengths kick in.

I don't care what the EURO shows anymore. Giving it the cold shoulder for being a complete disaster for the entire year.

I may be mistaken but I think the PNA was falling or already negative for Feb 2003.

Agreed if this was the EURO I would have disregarded as preposterous.

Down to 31

32 degrees now.

I am giving the EURO the cold shoulder for a while.

My worst period was 96/97 through 99/00 4 consecutive below average snowfall seasons with one season only 3.5 inches of snow!!!!!

Snow starting to stick here.

I am stuck at 9. All I wanted was to be able to continue to say "only 6 below average snowfall seasons this century". Looking more and more like 7 with each passing day. Hate to say it we need a SSWE for March.

Ugh that just killed my outlook. If that's the case let's get some energy savings!

Wavelength shortening 2nd half of Feb and March La Ninas usually produce. First half of February is warm. Hopefully we get a good event by EOM like that which the CMC and GFS are showing.

Think the CMC shows the same pattern changing storm.

We will likely torch first 2 weeks then shorter wavelengths 2nd half of Feb and March kick in. WRT reaching average Annual snowfall it will come down to whether or not we score a good event before EOM.

They already delayed schools for tomorrow for this. Sad.

AND it may not last through March AND shorter wavelengths 2nd half of February.

I get the general disappointment so far this month, however... 1.) We've had a normal January snowfall month 2.) We still have Feb and March ( IMBY March has been snowier than December) 3.) The RNA may hurt our snow chances early February however as Don alluded to Mid Feb on the RNA is not detrimental due to shorter wavelengths (so we may see a 2 week period in early Feb of lower but not impossible snow chances) 4.) This decade, unlike the last, we've had some record breaking March/April time periods. Snowy Marches 2019/2018/2017/2015/2013 so 50/50 shot 5.) La Nina Marches tent to produce 6.) Due to the areas relatively low average annual snowfall, only takes one big storm to put us back in the game (2016/2006/2013/1993) 7.) We usually get a good storm during pattern changes, especially with a falling PNA Yeah of course the rest of the winter may be a whimper, but I don't think just cause the RNA is returning for the above reasons we should close the blinds. Just my opinion. Have a great day.

That's crazy. Also amazing how such a short distance can make a huge difference in snowfall. I still have only experienced 6 below average snowfall seasons this entire century (2 in last 3 years). Wasn't the 1980s the same? I believe the only above average snowfall season was 1983 which was the only KU that decade.

Thanks!

Plus 1. 9.0 on the season. Need to get to 30-35 to continue to say "only 6 below average snowfall winters this century)

Its a Pittsburgh winter blitz.

Good news is Winter is not even half over yet (March is typically snowier than December IMBY).