EastonSN+

Compression again?

GEFS and GEPS coming more in line. Not liking the SE ridge. Again does align with the MJO. We shall see.

GFS with a solid overrunning event. SNE 3 to 5 before ice. CNE 6 to 10.

I know everyone hates the wheel charts for the MJO. However it explains the difference between EPS and GEFS. EPS drops into the COD while GEFS is robust into phase 5 by March 4th. Hence the SE ridge on the GEFS.

GEPS looks a bit better than GEFS wrt the SE Ridge. Maybe the best compromise right now between the EPS and GEFS?

Thanks. I am close the south coast which would be problematic for me.

End of GEFS run. Looks a bit different than the EPS from yesterday. Anyone have the end of the EPS run today?

I guess this is a good signal for overrunning? Each run the SE ridge is a little stronger.

Meh

This is an interesting look.

This is an interesting look

Forky's active. Think that means Forky's interested in this pattern.

Thanks, If we get a couple good overrunning events I think we can surpass 2015

I am in a local snow hole. Only 18.5 in Easton.

Definitely a good look starting late next week. Overrunning can be messy and at times frustrating, however constant tracking is a great thing for us hobbyist. 1 to 6 inch type mixed events across the forum with a lot of cold following the storms can create a mean pack. Let's see if it pans out. I love the fact that the good pattern seems to be moving up in time (earlier so better pack retention as opposed to Mid March for snow lovers, potentially earlier start of a warmer pattern for waministas).

Part of LI did well on the 2nd event. Up here lost power for 3 days.

I remember the snow event in late March 2016 got me to average annual snowfall. Needed 3 and got exactly that. Other than that event was mild. Best of both worlds.

March 2004 and 2005 we're very snowy and cold. March 2000 had the big bust but that was poor luck.

Forgot March 2007 had two snow/sleet storms frigid. Snowed till April 2003.

March 2009 was another good one.

Heck we even had a good snowstorm in March 2011. It's the forgotten snowstorm as everyone seems to think winter ended after the epic 5 week period.

I feel way more confident in snowy Marches than December. 2013. 2015. 2017. 2018. 2019.

Nice look!

March 2013, March 2009 and a few more can be added to the list. I just feel that the 10+ snowfall list is very misleading to the forum. North south east and west of Manhattan. I believe that unless you are in Manhattan your chances of getting a 10+ snowfall in March are pretty decent and probably better than December.

Here is an example of pure luck. The 10 plus amounts are SOUTH and east. This could have easily added to the 10 plus March list. If it's heat island driven, then the stats for March 10 plus are misleading for anyone outside of Manhattan.