EastonSN+
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Everything posted by EastonSN+
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Nice hit at the end of the run!
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Learn how to spell before you criticize others.
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Watch us get a bowling ball right in the middle of an epic warm stretch in mid/late Feb. Bad luck in good pattern good luck in bad pattern (yeah yeah I know I know multiple waves interference spacing fast flow on and on w/r/t this month).
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I don't know.
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Yup PNA on a 30 day flip pattern. Therefore no reason to think we don't flip back to positive PNA March 1st.
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Meh. 2nd storm too far east for western 2/3 of NE.
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Thanks for this! It seems that Feb will be a battle between shorter wavelengths, negative EPO and RNA ++AO NAO. Probably warmer to much warmer than average with more snow opportunities than Dec since we will not have the Negative NAO causing the meat grinder (trailing wave). Just a hunch that March with be back to a + PNA similar to now with no blocking giving the 30 day pattern window we are in.
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Thanks. Given the 30 day pattern intervals we have seen it's looking like Feb will be warm and March the PNA will go positive again and be cold. Was there an SSWE in fall which led to the Neg NAO? I feel like the NAO being negative caused us to lose snow events which may have been similar to Jan 2012 and Feb 2018.
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Thanks. I guess one good thing about having a low a average annual snowfall total (30 to 35) is that we are almost always in the game for a hail Mary (Feb 2006, March 2013, March 1993, heck I think I read that 1887/1888 was a mild snowless winter with early flower growth before the biggest blizzard of all time in March). I desperately want to each average this year to continue saying "only 6 below average snowfall seasons this century"). Heard that the EPS has a more negative EPO than GEFS.
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Thanks! What are your thoughts of the end of the GEFS run below? What's good - colder than normal temps above us and minimal SE ridge. What's bad - no Arctic help at all. Given shorter wavelengths, I think this is a potentially snowy look. Thoughts?
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GFS cooks up another good one a few days later. Lets go for broke!
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Perhaps Feb 12 - 14 1899. A wee bit colder back then BUT the track was similar.
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Lol at 18z GFS. I don't think I have seen a track, result like that in the KU book.
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EURO has nothing for the early next week event.
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Seems like our only two options recently are sliding south and OTS or cutting.
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That would be awesome. One of my favorite winter months of all time! Conscious that u are alluding to the overall structure and not actual outcome.
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The only thing that will mess this up is another strong Negative NAO like December!
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That look is confusing to me. The blues are west BUT the SER is way south of us. Is that showing a large model spread or just a transition to a western trough.
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9.5, if I do not get another snowfall, would be my lowest snow total since 01/02 (4.5). I can't go out like that!
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Disgusting overnight runs. Shocked at how bad the 2ndbhalf of the month has been w/r/t snowfall.
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Shocked nothing has shown up during this second half of Jan. So far and as modeled. Understand the fast flow and wave spacing but no luck at all is amazing to me.
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Thanks Walt. The models look paltry w/r/t snowfall. If it pans out this way it would be shocking that we did not experience even one moderate snowfall for the 2nd half of the month. I for one am shocked. We probably end up with a moderate event during a Feb torch period like Feb 2018.
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Great it weakens towards spring to ruin that weather too. Who wants 50s in February and April.
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I can't believe we may go through this stretch without getting a good snowstorm.
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Yeah I have a hard time believing it will last longer than the December drop did. March is still on the table.
