WarrenCtyWx

A little dry for far northern areas.

It can stop trending south now.

6 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

sounds like VD 2007

The weird thing about that event was the fact that there was only about 2” of front end snow that quickly turned to sleet, followed by hours upon hours of sleet. The next day we got about 2-4” of heavy snow on the back end here in NW NJ.

1 hour ago, jfklganyc said:

Yeah we cant get worked up over a mild march.

 

As long as it's actually pleasant and not just 40s and dreary.

I envy those with clear memories of this storm. If I had a time machine, this storm would be one of my first weather choices. 

There was also I believe a SWFE that gave north and west areas significant snow around February 21 in 2011. It wasn’t quite a total shutout.

I can't recall a prolonged ice storm here in NW NJ (thankfully). We've had a great many sleet storms though.

1 hour ago, RedSky said:

Close to a personal best for most snow in one weeks time, unfortunately I don't know if there were other snowfalls the weeks of blizz 96 and blizz 2016

 

 

There was a widespread 4-8" the Friday after the blizzard of 96.

This month is reminding me of February 2014 so far with the prospect of multiple winter storms over the next couple of weeks.

I'm puzzled by some of those measurements. There was a report of 31.3" by a trained spotter literally a mere 2 miles from my house. I don't think we ever had more than 20-22" on the ground at one time here. Even taking compaction into account, it seems like such a considerable difference.

3 minutes ago, NJRunner said:

Could this storm break the New Jersey state record for the largest snowstorm? If memory serves me right I believe it was 34 inches at Cape May in 1899, is it possible that Morris or Sussex may break this?

I would think probable.

9 minutes ago, RedSky said:

The signals won't stop that February is a potential blockbuster. -AO/-NAO and even -EPO kicking in. The February 2014 look but not as cold(that was record territory) 

It helps the month starts off with 8-20" snow hehe

February 2015 was the near record cold month. February 2014 was still pretty cold though.

Odd looking snowhole in the Lehigh Valley on the GFS.

44 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

I'm willing to bet that IF guidance is correct in weakening the block and drifting it away from the NAO region,  these Southern hits will begin to shift N. This isn't like the past 2 weeks or so with the shred machine under the block. Like I said a few mins ago and as Iceman has noted, the GFS thump to rain idea is a very valid concern attm. Im less worried about a miss S than I am this tracking too far N or developing too close to the coast. I would NOT want to be in the bullseye at 6 days....period. I dont EVER recall a time (not that it hasn't happened) where a bullseye held up until storm time. Whatever happens will happen tho, I'm not losing sleep over it. I do like where we stand attm.

I'm not certain, but didn't the bullseye of 2/6/10 hold from a week out until storm time? I'm not comparing that with this, I'm just curious.

I go by the rule of getting a threat within five days out before I take it seriously. We'll see how this trends.

Just an incredibly dull stretch of weather. It’s not just the lack of snow, it’s the lack of anything worth following. I don’t consider it cold and dry if temperatures aren’t even below normal.

The word "lackluster" definitely comes to mind for this recent stretch of weather. In addition to the lack of significant storms on the horizon, there doesn't seem to be any interesting temperature extremes either.

1 minute ago, RedSky said:

How much in Hope?

 

About 9.5-10"

6 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Successfully warned everyone I know not to believe in the big numbers that sleet would keep it down at 8" or possibly less

 

I believe even in Orange County, NY most places only had 10-12". Incredible considering that many models had that general area being on the northern fringe a few days before.

If I'm reading the CC radar correctly, sleet is mixing in the southern Poconos and edging into Orange County NY.

4 minutes ago, JoshSnow said:

I wonder what western jersey i80 area is doing right now? 

Mostly sleet here just south of Blairstown in Warren County.

We'll just have to see if round 2 transpires. I honestly have no idea at this point.

Expectations are set at 10-12" here in Northern Warren County NJ.

I'm just bewildered that we could go from confluence being a major factor potentially limiting totals north of I-84, to having the mix line potentially creeping in even well north of NYC. Talk about a fragile setup. 

Can someone post it?