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Physicsteve

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Everything posted by Physicsteve

  1. Physicsteve
    May I suggest @ChescoWx spend Christmas with the 12z GFS in Sea Isle?
  2. Physicsteve
    I guess we just live under high pressure forever now. Have had less than 0.5” in the last 2 months (8/21-10/21) locally. On the bright side, blowing the leaves works like a charm. As far winter prospects go, is the cold pooling on the correct side of the globe for us this year? Source regions torching? Bueller? I think I remember seeing an SST map recently that looked ‘better’ than the last 2 years or so from Chesapeake Bay northward.
  3. Physicsteve
    Once again approaching rain went *poof* and dissipated around me but on the bright side the AC finally kicked off for the first time in over a week last night.
  4. Physicsteve
    Got dry-slotted/fizzled precip-wise today but cashed in on the mammatus and glowfest. Consolation I guess, but not if you’re a plant.
  5. Physicsteve
    https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=PHI&issuedby=PHI&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off Mt. Holly’s AFD, you love to see it. Starting Friday beautifully with afternoon storms likely, followed by a perfect summer weekend, unless you're cloudy cool mcbirds. Early June may win most enjoyable weather award. Just hope the storms pan out.
  6. Physicsteve
    Stolen from the MA forum re: deathband https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/60042-the-weekend-rule-saturday-217-the-icon-storm/?do=findComment&comment=7226648
  7. Physicsteve
    Seems like folks around rts 78 and 22 maxed out. What a difference 25 miles (for me) makes! Currently getting some of Agnes’ light snow blob. Maybe another shower or squall later if they can make it across PA.
  8. Physicsteve
    Unofficially officially 3.5” on the trash can lid near the house and 2.5” on the driveway. Some quick differential equations averages that to 3” as of 5am
  9. Physicsteve
    Yeah @Blue Dream and I will be sweating it if that 3k verifies. WWA here for now. Makes it dicey whether to stay up late or wake up psychotically early to watch. Sunny and 41 for now
  10. Physicsteve
    Padding some stats with a moderate burst of nickel-sized parachutes the last 15 minutes or so.
  11. Physicsteve
    Yeah, basically across the river from you and measured 3" of mashed potatoes on the driveway not too long ago. Agree it's let up but hoping we get some stat padding on the way out. Glad I dug out the snowblower but now have to change the oil since it's been a while.
  12. Physicsteve
    First flakes started mixing in around 6 here and everything was coated, street and asphalt driveway included, once it was all snow by 6:30. Moderate to heavy snow currently, and eyeballing 2" on patio table and chairs.
  13. Physicsteve
    Rain and sleet mix at the moment, with some sort of icy accumulation/accretion on the cars. Eagerly awaiting a change to snow.
  14. Physicsteve
    Same. I don't know if Im just content bc snow’s falling or bc in self defense I had severely tempered expectations after losing the bullseye to the southern shift in the last 24 hours. Either way, I take.
  15. Physicsteve
    Light snow since 6am eyeballing 1.5 maaaaybe 2” near Washington Crossing. Mod to heavy to maaaaybe ripping for the last 10 minutes or so. As I write intensity hasn’t slowed but flake size has.
  16. Physicsteve
    Spotty mulch topper so far just NW of trenton. Currently pixie dust so r/s line seems pretty good. Wish it were further away!
  17. Physicsteve
    Adopted a rescue yesterday who’s not house broken so this afternoon and evening should be fun going outside every hour or so. Hoping for enough remaining precip and dynamics to wake up to some snow falling during the morning attempt(s). Think some slush otg is all I can expect here but rooting for the W/NW crew to cash in on some measurable depth. Go Birds!
  18. Physicsteve
    Snowage in Titusville per wifey
  19. Physicsteve
    Not sure what the compressed file will look like but a wall of rain for about 75 minutes, with a 10 minute “lull” throw in there
  20. Physicsteve
    Monsoon-like rains and frequent ctg boomers for the past half hour or more in titusville, near Washington crossing. Impressive stuff
  21. Physicsteve
    Noticed many shrubs and dogwoods budding at our new digs in Titusville (near Washington Crossing) yesterday, this morning daughter and I awoke with allergies, and there are no less than 9 robins having breakfast in the backyard. Obs: spring
  22. Physicsteve
    Agreed. Not that it's the same up top, but for now seems like best case end result will be a lesser version of 1/28-29 to these novice eyes. Again lots of moving parts and interactions that won't start to be well-modeled until tomorrow imo. Who do we have to speak to in order to get some blocking?! Is this still from our winter-for-Super Bowl sacrifices from '17-18? (Worth it)
  23. Physicsteve
    Any obs from the Poconos area? Supposed to be up near Gouldsboro tomorrow morning and wondering how the conditions and infrastructure are faring? Are conditions better, same, or worse than progged? Thanks and sorry for the me-centric post
  24. Physicsteve
    I'm a novice at best so there's the caveat, but based on my understanding of psu's analysis last night looks like the pieces are playing together relatively nicely and piece 'A' has a North-South orientation rather than NW-SE that gfs wide-right was showing. I liked how that example still had a N-S component and wasn't all 'diagonal', which is hopefully closer to reality.
  25. Physicsteve
    My parents got married the next day and had to use my dad’s brother and wife’s rings because theirs were stuck at the jewelers (don’t know why they cut that so close). The way they tell it it started as snow but was supposed to flip to rain overnight but never did. I keep that hope alive whenever in a marginal temp situation.
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