frontranger8
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Everything posted by frontranger8
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Picked up another .11 this morning. .36 storm total. Watching the developing pattern around day 9-10...
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.16" today, bringing me up to .25" last couple days. Looks like maybe another .10-.20" late tonight/tomorrow am. Kinda lame considering how much moisture this storm has dumped west of the mountains.
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Actually had a few random, unexpected showers today. .09". Hopefully a good sign for next couple days.
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I dunno, I have a better feeling about this one. Definitely a different set up than most in recent months. Latest GFS and Euro both actually upped the totals.
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And yet Sep 2020 happened, the second earliest snowfall on record for Denver!
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Depends on how you define "very early" and "storm", but several of the very strong Ninos have featured big early season snowfalls: 1997, 1991, 1972. All within a week of Halloween.
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The NAM was a pretty awful model in general. They should have taken it out back and shot it awhile ago.
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These maps tend to skew dry due to missing data at some stations, but you can see how the last couple of months have been much wetter to the south and east of Denver metro. Northern Front Range has definitely been the screw zone.
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Miss to the south, bummer. Santa Fe has picked up 3.5" from this system.
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I was talking more about the extreme N/S cutoff, not where exactly it sets up. Unfortunately, looks like it may be Parker to Monument. Already half an inch of rain in the Springs today.
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Looks like a very sharp cutoff across the metro area. Could easily be a situation tomorrow where Westminster has .3" and Parker has 1.5". Bummer that we're just a bit too far north to get in on the heavy action. Southern CO from the springs east is gonna get drenched.
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Outlier, unfortunately. All other models taking the big time rain way south.
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Picked up .35" from a couple storms over the weekend here.
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Basically one good downpour the other night here for a total of .15". Despite a good August, we've mostly been in the screw zone this monsoon season.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
frontranger8 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yep, severe cold snaps and huge snowstorms is a common hallmark of Nino falls for the middle of the country, here included. -
Huh? DEN had a low of 67 this am.
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If you look at previous very strong Ninos (1972-73, 1982-83, 1991-92, 1997-98, 2015-16), every one of them had above average snowfall. However, a lot of that is due to some huge fall and spring storms. DJF tends to be a little less snowy than normal and warm to average temps.
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I've done twelve 14ers. Long's Peak was the first, and most challenging. Looking back, I don't think I'd want to do it again. Too many spots where one slip means serious injury at the least.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
frontranger8 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
You're missing the main point. Wasn't about absolute temps, but instead warming relative to forecasts. -
Finished with 2.98" here. Only 1.59" at DEN, definitely a month where they did not represent greater Denver metro well.
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I am a prophet.
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Just got nailed by a storm, almost half an inch. Up to 2.6" on the month.
